Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

What storm

Delayed but not denied it seems but a clean whiff nonetheless on our Germans 

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I looked at eps and I can’t see much difference 12 vs 18.  Maybe 5-10 miles but I don’t see how it would be other than noise.  And it’s a beautiful look!

It ticked east like 5-10mi, yea

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

Just now, weathafella said:

What are we doing recon for now?  The storm is day away from forming.

People noting the ridge over the Pacific and its orientation will influence later events.  Just looking at 500 mb GFS forecast, that ridge now W of Oregon will influence what happens.  Cut off to the West of that will influence that ridge, which will influence what happens downstream

[Go Kart Mozart]

ICON not looking great either so far.  WE may have a problem here,

[MJO812]

Wow the icon is bad

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Delayed but not denied it seems but a clean whiff nonetheless on our Germans 

Same problem as the nam. Early on, out west.

[dryslot]

Its over.

[WeatherWilly]

Icon be gone. 

[JC-CT]

I'm out, see ya next year

[Torch Tiger]

trash model, next

[Go Kart Mozart]

Just now, dryslot said:

Its over.

March 2001

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'm a little unnerved by that developing trend....shitty guidance or not-

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

I'm out, see ya in 20 mins

fyp

[Connecticut Appleman]

NASA has spotted the Cosmic Dildo and they are trying to determine if it will hit eastern North America.

[subdude]

Road trip still on. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Taint concerns decreasing by the run here 

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm a little unnerved by that developing trend....shitty guidance or not-

Yeah, the other shitty model (CMC) will probably be 300 miles east of its 12z run.

[dryslot]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Taint concerns decreasing by the run here 

So is your precip.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

It’s a trash model, but that’s a huge shift in 1 run by the icon 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, dryslot said:

So is your precip.

Hey… I’ll take it over rain lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

Yeah, the other shitty model (CMC) will probably be 300 miles east of its 12z run.

This would be a tough pill to swallow, even for the holier than now contingent that would lecture on buying in at long leads, and not admit they are pissed.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Taint concerns decreasing by the run here 

Nam and icon raising your confidence huh.

[weathafella]

6 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said:

People noting the ridge over the Pacific and its orientation will influence later events.  Just looking at 500 mb GFS forecast, that ridge now W of Oregon will influence what happens.  Cut off to the West of that will influence that ridge, which will influence what happens downstream

I know but wouldn’t raobs be easy without recon for ridge position?

[Torch Tiger]

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

So is your precip.

You worried?

[dryslot]

If this was Wednesday, Then some panic may set in.

[78Blizzard]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm a little unnerved by that developing trend....shitty guidance or not-

Well, I said I might have more runs to toss at 0z, so bye IKON.

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You worried?

No, Weds has been my time frame.

[brooklynwx99]

RGEM actually ticked faster with the southern wave. would look like the ECMWF

[mahk_webstah]

We don’t have straight up easy to see coming storms anymore