paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, canderson said: CTP’s call for Monday Zero LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Do we have any hope that tomorrow surprises everyone on here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: Yep, another noticeable bump on another model. Going to be razor edge I think GFs sim radar has virga all the way up into NY. Fairly extreme difference between it and the actual qpf predicted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 43 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @Itstrainingtime has precious little time to get that last mow in if the GFS is right. I mowed last Sunday and it hasn't grown since. Might give it a touch up if and when snow is coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 hours ago, pasnownut said: all of the jibber jabber about getting weather stations actually has me somewhat interested. Dont worry, I'll just peruse the history here if I decide to invest. Seems pretty cool w/ all the stuff you guys post. Dumb question tho. Is that .71 a digital number that you are shown or do you have to do something special to get it? I have KLNS data to reference for my area, but can tell you that many many times what they get varies greatly from what i get regarding rain snow wind temps etc I actually don’t use a digital weather station for tracking precip. My preferred method is the tried and true cylinder gauge, which I manually check every morning. I use the “official” cylinder gauge with the inner gauge that measures up to one inch before overflowing into the larger outer cylinder. Someone can correct me if I’m wrong but I believe this is the gauge that is required to be used for all Cocorahs members and perhaps even NWS observers? Automated gauges can be very handy and accurate but I still don’t trust them in certain instances. What can I say, I’m just old-school in a lot of ways ha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Do we have any hope that tomorrow surprises everyone on here? CMC continues your hope for late week! That is something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: GFs sim radar has virga all the way up into NY. Fairly extreme difference between it and the actual qpf predicted. I’ll take this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 That radar down south looks like it is coming to us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, paweather said: That radar down south looks like it is coming to us Speaking of that, this post from PSU in the MA is some good info as the flow really is backing. Seeing this WV loops really affirms that there is a big storm coming for someone (as long as it gets far enough north into the cold sector) https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=us&product=wv-mid The WV loop is a thing of beauty. The flow is really backing in the TN valley. This has a classic look for the mid Atlantic! Btw I still like to look at the WV sometimes just to get a feel for the flow. I’ll never forget being in the psu weather center the day before the Jan 2000 storm trying to argue with the meteorologists on duty that it was clear from the WV and IR that the mid and upper levels were way more amplified and the flow was backing much more than any of the nwp was showing over the Miss Valley. They were pretty dismissive…”it’s only 24 hours, the models would be picking up on it” lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Little did she know… too dark? Harsh.....but true.... angelic voice tho......... darker than yours? all seriousness....gone WAYYY too soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I actually don’t use a digital weather station for tracking precip. My preferred method is the tried and true cylinder gauge, which I manually check every morning. I use the “official” cylinder gauge with the inner gauge that measures up to one inch before overflowing into the larger outer cylinder. Someone can correct me if I’m wrong but I believe this is the gauge that is required to be used for all Cocorahs members and perhaps even NWS observers? Automated gauges can be very handy and accurate but I still don’t trust them in certain instances. What can I say, I’m just old-school in a lot of ways ha. An official coop gauge has 8” collection where the stratus gauge is 4”. For the most part they read the same but can get off on either lighter drizzle rates over heavier 1-2” rates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Harsh.....but true.... angelic voice tho......... darker than yours? all seriousness....gone WAYYY too soon. Yes, gone way too soon. And yes, I know who Karen Carpenter is despite having zero overlap of our time on this earth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Up to 59 degrees here now and the sun's been out periodically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Up to 59 degrees here now and the sun's been out periodically.Can’t snow tomorrow if it’s that warm today, lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, CarlislePaWx said: Up to 59 degrees here now and the sun's been out periodically. MDT record today is 62 in 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 This would be seriously like a March storm 50’s the day before and then snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: MDT record today is 62 in 2000. 60 here ground too warm for accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 58 here in southern York county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Up to 59 degrees here now and the sun's been out periodically. what is this sun thingy you speak of? Havent seen it for DAYS,,,,actually tomorrow will be a week for me personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: 60 here ground too warm for accumulation It's only 54 over here. A bit of turn around today. No sun here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Can’t snow tomorrow if it’s that warm today, lol. . there is that increasing sun angle as well..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Not sure if it was mentioned but MDT set (or tied) Min Max records on both Dec 30 and 31. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: You eating a big bag of GFS? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: You eating a big bag of GFS? He’s always snacking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Full sun and 60 out. Beautiful April Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Just enjoying the tracking . I like living on the edge 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 43 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I mentioned yesterday that our best chance was with the Monday event. That late week only looked good on Euro. It appears the late week gets caught up in the fast flow. . That late week system has looked good on everything that goes out that far and their ensembles not named the GFS op the last few runs, though the GEFS has looked like it’s started to support GFS op some with 6 and 12z today lessening it’s snow/QPF mean. Don’t really think fast flow is the issue, I mean this thing coming up tomorrow is in the same fast flow regime. It looks like GFS may be deeper with the mid-week feature over the Great Lakes that reinforces our cold and possibly sets the table for that event (something I mentioned was probably going to be a key for that late week threat). Also might be somewhat faster with the shortwave that would cause the 1/7 event. So could be why that particular model has been squashing it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Parents experienced a 62 degree temp drop within 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Superstorm said: I mentioned yesterday that our best chance was with the Monday event. That late week only looked good on Euro. It appears the late week gets caught up in the fast flow. . Late week has looked good on Every model & ensemble on & off the last few days. We are in good shape for Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Shit, I need to get fitted for a crucifix now don't I? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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