Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    16,988
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Dankles
    Newest Member
    Dankles
    Joined

October Discobs 2021


George BM
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, high risk said:

There isn't much agreement in the timing, but the morning suite of CAMs suggests a really good chance of moderate or even fairly widespread convection over central and northern Maryland either during the dinner or early evening hours.

that's good. i told my husband to fertilize the grass yesterday thinking we'd be rainy today... he hasn't yet asked me when the rain is coming lol 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, mappy said:

that's good. i told my husband to fertilize the grass yesterday thinking we'd be rainy today... he hasn't yet asked me when the rain is coming lol 

               My lawn could use a drink too...  hope that we all cash in.   SPC has put our region in a MRGL risk for SVR, which is consistent with the idea of more organized convection occurring.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, mappy said:

that's good. i told my husband to fertilize the grass yesterday thinking we'd be rainy today... he hasn't yet asked me when the rain is coming lol 

SPC AC 041627

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1127 AM CDT Mon Oct 04 2021

   Valid 041630Z - 051200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
   MID-ATLANTIC/DELMARVA...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Strong to locally severe thunderstorms may occur across the
   Mid-Atlantic States/Delmarva this afternoon and evening.

   ...Mid-Atlantic States/Delmarva...
   It appears that some strong to marginally severe storms, potentially
   capable of localized wind damage, may occur this afternoon and
   evening. The region will be cyclonically influenced by the weak
   upper low centered over the Ohio Valley/Lower Great Lakes and its
   peripheral mid-level cool pocket and modestly strong (20-25 kt)
   southwesterly mid-level winds. Latest visible satellite trends
   reflect steady clearing especially near/east of the Appalachians
   spine across Virginia and Maryland, but also across the
   Delmarva/southern New Jersey. MLCAPE values should reach/locally
   exceed 1000 J/kg, with weak convergence/differential heating along
   the higher terrain/mountains (and front across PA/NJ) expected to
   influence thunderstorm development this afternoon. A steepening of
   low-level lapse rates and a moist environment could support some
   locally strong to severe storms.

day1otlk_1630.gif

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

53 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Lots popping over VA. 

       Yeah, I'm not sure what to make of this.     The HRRR continues to be very emphatic about an active evening, but it doesn't have any of these early stuff.     The current evolution seems to match more of some of the other CAMs which had an earlier, more scattered event.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, Paleocene said:

IMG_20211004_080822.thumb.jpg.2594a1b925972662e535226b73626c38.jpg

I think we're in second summer now, not false fall. Apologies if repost. Went a solid 8-9 days with no AC, but cranked it back on yesterday. Not looking forward to a soupy week.

This is correct right here. Have had soups and chili planned. Said heck with it AC makes it feel cool enough to still make it. Because it is chili eating season. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • mappy unpinned this topic

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...