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Henri: Moderate-Major impacts NYC subforum this weekend, possibly into Monday August 21-23, 2021


wdrag
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NY NJ PA Weather

So when I see something like these observations, I lean towards a track moving due north, maybe shifting to NNW by tomorrow morning rather than going to the NE.  As such, I think the east solution into RI is....questionable.

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Just now, nycwinter said:

looks like it will head into long island after all if it keeps this movement and not rhode island

If it keeps these movements it can be more middle of Suffolk as opposed to eastern maybe 

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I dont see why that ULL wont continue dragging it NNW until landfall(to an extent), the trough cleared out and that ULL is strong enough(clearly, judging by how much/quickly it made it jog west), not to mention there looks to be a legitimate eye on IR now although any intensification thats going on will likely be short lived. The NNW movement may slow down as it approaches landfall but I think we can say at this point the question is not IF it will clip LI but how far west it will make LF on the island, im not feeling too hot about this NNW movement here in Nassau.

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may not look very good in terms of its presentation but you can really see the storm being sucked NNW here, central LI landfall might not be as crazy as some people thought earlier today. Regardless of intensity at landfall, its going to be bad news for us on LI.A8X1bb.gif

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