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Severe Event March 25th 2021


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1 minute ago, VOLtage said:

Those cells in Southern mississippi look like they have lots of potential

Maybe it's too soon to say they dodged another one despite the trimming of the HIGH. That one north of Tylertown looks like trouble down the road.

Of course, I said the same thing about the discrete cells popping in south-central MS last Wednesday and they just kind of died out.

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Just now, TexMexWx said:

Couplet SW of Cave Spring, GA is becoming quite intense. The supercell structure looks like slop but it's probably being scanned from pretty high

yeah it is in a radar hole. The circulation is very intense.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
335 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021  
  
ALC019-252100-  
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-210325T2100Z/  
CHEROKEE AL-  
335 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR  
SOUTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY...  
      
AT 335 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER FORNEY, MOVING  
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.  
  
SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.  

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4 minutes ago, TexMexWx said:

Couplet SW of Cave Spring, GA is becoming quite intense. The supercell structure looks like slop but it's probably being scanned from pretty high

Almost in the same spot as where the next EF4 produced by the same supercell that spawned Tuscaloosa/Birmingham crossed into GA on 4/27/11, although it took a little different trajectory to get there. It also crossed AL-9 north of Piedmont very near Goshen UMC of Palm Sunday 1994 infamy.

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4 minutes ago, TexMexWx said:

Couplet SW of Cave Spring, GA is becoming quite intense. The supercell structure looks like slop but it's probably being scanned from pretty high

Ya agreed, looks like junk on normal reflectivities but velocity scans are still damn impressive. That’s a rough spot for a radar hole. Wouldn’t be surprised at all if that’s still producing a significant TOR considering its history....back to mostly lurking for me. Stay safe down there today and keep the great posts and info coming. 

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New Tornado Warning

Tornado Warning
ALC009-073-252145-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0055.210325T2044Z-210325T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
344 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Blount County in central Alabama...
  Northern Jefferson County in central Alabama...

* Until 445 PM CDT.

* At 343 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Warrior, or 11 miles north of Gardendale, moving
  northeast at 60 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Oneonta, Blountsville, Cleveland, Dallas, Warrior, Kimberly, Locust
  Fork, Altoona, Snead, Susan Moore, Walnut Grove, Trafford, Allgood,
  Fairview, Hayden, Nectar, Rosa, County Line, McLarty and Bangor.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8630 3405 8633 3399 8633 3375 8687
      3384 8694 3395 8684 3395 8679 3403 8672
      3403 8670 3406 8671 3405 8668 3408 8670
      3409 8669 3408 8669 3412 8663 3412 8660
      3419 8655 3420 8655 3425 8652 3426 8645
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 236DEG 51KT 3382 8684

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

25/Owen


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New discussion. 

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

   SUMMARY...Conditions remain favorable for tornadic supercells
   through this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...The air mass remains unstable ahead of a broken line of
   cells from east-central MS into north-central AL, with southerly
   surface winds and warmer temperatures over southern AL aiding
   destabilization. Although these storms are aligned roughly parallel
   to the strong southwesterlies aloft, low-level winds remain
   sufficiently backed to maintain favorable low-level SRH for
   supercells and tornadoes. Effective SRH from objective analysis and
   from area VWPs exceeds 300 m2/s2, with values over 400 m2/s2 for a
   right-moving cell.

   Additional cells have recently intensified over southern MS, and
   these may become better organized as they proceed east into the
   stronger low-level shear environment.
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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 51  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
345 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021  
  
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF   
  SOUTHERN ILLINOIS  
  SOUTHERN INDIANA  
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY  
  SOUTHEAST MISSOURI  
  NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI  
  WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE  
  
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL  
  1100 PM CDT.  
  
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...  
  A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY  
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75  
    MPH LIKELY  
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS  
    TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE  
  
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON  
FROM SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SOUTHWARD INTO WEST TENNESSEE AND TRACK  
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.  RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING WINDS ALOFT WILL  
INCREASE THE RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL, AND A FEW  
TORNADOES.  

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Just now, janetjanet998 said:

 
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 51  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
345 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021  
  
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF   
  SOUTHERN ILLINOIS  
  SOUTHERN INDIANA  
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY  
  SOUTHEAST MISSOURI  
  NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI  
  WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE  
  
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL  
  1100 PM CDT.  
  
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...  
  A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY  
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75  
    MPH LIKELY  
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS  
    TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE  
  
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON  
FROM SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SOUTHWARD INTO WEST TENNESSEE AND TRACK  
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.  RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING WINDS ALOFT WILL  
INCREASE THE RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL, AND A FEW  
TORNADOES.  

 A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY 

That is extremely strong wording.  Wow.

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