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Hoosier

January 30-February 1 Winter Storm

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The GFS has a perfect low track for Iowa, but it's so warm it has rain up here.  It looks wrong.  All other models are colder with all snow for Iowa. 
It probably is wrong. Parallel GFS a little better but probably still too aggressive with its warming aloft in that pattern. GEM and ECMWF solutions have looked more realistic.

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43 minutes ago, McHenrySnow said:

We can't even get slop at this point. I can't believe I moved out here for this! lol

As others have noted GFS maybe too warm. On side note still snowing here. Playing catch up

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Just now, Cary67 said:

As others have noted GFS maybe too warm. On side note still snowing here. Playing catch up

This snow today isn't going to add up to much of anything. 

At least we've had more snow than Fairbanks, Alaska, this month, I guess. 

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Just now, McHenrySnow said:

This snow today isn't going to add up to much of anything. 

At least we've had more snow than Fairbanks, Alaska, this month, I guess. 

areas of cook and lake are gonna see double digits, lol

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It's kind of like watching Game of Thrones over and over again.  Thinking something different is gonna happen

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As of now the UKMET the is furthest south and the GFS is the furthest north, out of OP guidance.

 

 

.

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9 minutes ago, Frog Town said:

It's kind of like watching Game of Thrones over and over again.  Thinking something different is gonna happen

And it always ends with the Red Wedding. 

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Definitely farther south from the latest Euro.... much less snow from Cedar Rapids to northern IL, but perhaps finally a good one for central IL to Indy?

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

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1 minute ago, mimillman said:

Man this thing just runs into a wall on the 12z Euro.

Are you serious, Clark?  What part of the sub does is putter out on??

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Just now, Frog Town said:

Are you serious, Clark?  What part of the sub does is putter out on??

Why don't you have a look

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3 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Definitely farther south from the latest Euro.... much less snow from Cedar Rapids to northern IL.

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

Juicy like the UK.

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5 minutes ago, mimillman said:

North trend gonna happen.Time for revenge

block won't be denied. :D

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Yea not even get remotely invested in this till Fri or Sat. About this time with current storm I was in bulleyes then to Iowa it went. Lol. Hopefully this storm won't putter out as fast as this current storm. Sad we can't get strengthening storms this winter. It's like well I hope this one will weaken slower. Lol. But here's to Euro/Gem being right! Would be nice to see areas south of I80 get some love for a change ;) but can't deny trends this winter so I'm sure it will find a way to push north.

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12 minutes ago, mimillman said:

North trend gonna happen.Time for revenge

Just saying, this was the Euro for today's event around the same time frame :D

 

image.thumb.png.d5229160821231fe6e41fcb4cd0331b6.png

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28 minutes ago, mimillman said:

North trend gonna happen.Time for revenge

It might be easier to get snow in Tallahassee than to jackpot downtown and I-80 in northeast IL/northwest IN these days.

For the current storm, I was way more concerned about the heavier band ending up north even when some models had it here or south.  For this storm, I am a bit more concerned about the heavier band ending up south of us but my view on that isn't as strong as it was for the current storm ending up north.  But maybe it'll work out well for us... one of these has to.

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Just now, Hoosier said:

It might be easier to get snow in Tallahassee than to jackpot downtown and I-80 in northeast IL/northwest IN these days.

For the current storm, I was way more concerned about the heavier band ending up north even when some models had it here or south.  For this storm, I am a bit more concerned about the heavier band ending up south of us but my view on that isn't as strong as it was for the current storm ending up north.  But maybe it'll work out well for us... one of these has to.

Madison went from nothing to 6"+ in 48 hours basically. This isn't over, but I'm less optimistic about this event panning out than I was for today's.

That said, when we're within 72 hours, going to be watching the GEM and RGEM as it was good with today's system.

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59 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Definitely farther south from the latest Euro.... much less snow from Cedar Rapids to northern IL, but perhaps finally a good one for central IL to Indy?

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

Been a long time coming. I think this one has potential 

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1 hour ago, StormChaser4Life said:

Yea not even get remotely invested in this till Fri or Sat. About this time with current storm I was in bulleyes then to Iowa it went. Lol. Hopefully this storm won't putter out as fast as this current storm. Sad we can't get strengthening storms this winter. It's like well I hope this one will weaken slower. Lol. But here's to Euro/Gem being right! Would be nice to see areas south of I80 get some love for a change ;) but can't deny trends this winter so I'm sure it will find a way to push north.

Just hope in the end to say, " Man, the Euro nailed this at 5 1/2 days out" :lol:

 

I know better though....

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25 minutes ago, WeatherMonger said:

Just hope in the end to say, " Man, the Euro nailed this at 5 1/2 days out" :lol:

 

I know better though....

Lol hard lesson learned with this current storm. Watch this one will trend way south of me. Lol

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