CAPE Posted January 15 21 minutes ago, frd said: You are going need a larger gravy ladle. Damn and some freshly ground black pepper. I was thinking more along the lines of, who the fucck needs gravy if you are eating a quality piece of beef. 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 15 HH fellas...pop the cork on the blue for some blue Digital blue...the most sought out blue since breaking badSent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 15 Like you and I and some others have been saying, blocking patterns require some patience, and even then they don't always pay off. Well they normally do in a Nino, and often in a big way. Not as much in a Nina. We are at the midpoint of Jan, and I believe the conventional wisdom was any snow up until now would have been gravy. Ok, so no gravy... Someone else can continue with this metaphor.We didn't even get our utensils Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted January 15 Just now, Ji said: We didn't even get our utensils Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk At least you got a napkin. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Weather Will Posted January 15 WB 12Z EPS. Patience for another 10 days in order, hopefully there will not be another delay....looks good beyond 10 days!!! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
psuhoffman Posted January 15 34 minutes ago, CAPE said: Like you and I and some others have been saying, blocking patterns require some patience, and even then they don't always pay off. Well they normally do in a Nino, and often in a big way. Not as much in a Nina. We are at the midpoint of Jan, and I believe the conventional wisdom was any snow up until now would have been gravy. Ok, so no gravy... Someone else can continue with this metaphor. True. But If we look at every legitimate NAO block (not just a transient bootleg ridge) during Nina’s of the past 30 years it should set the goalposts. And while I’m not expecting 2010 the fact is even in a Nina almost every blocking episode produced at least one good snowstorm. 1996: high bar...nuff said March 1999: several storms January 2000: 1 KU and 2 other storms Dec-March 2000/01: low bar but even that year it did snow but there is a reason that’s remembered as a disaster it was the worst underachiever ever! Feb 2006: 1 MECS Dec-Jan 2011: 1 MECS and a couple minor events March 2018: 1 SECS and a couple minor events So it would be unheard of to get blanked even with our crap Nina climo and bad luck Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted January 15 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: True. But If we look at every legitimate NAO block (not just a transient bootleg ridge) during Nina’s of the past 30 years it should set the goalposts. And while I’m not expecting 2010 the fact is even in a Nina almost every blocking episode produced at least one good snowstorm. 1996: high bar...nuff said March 1999: several storms January 2000: 1 KU and 2 other storms Dec-March 2000/01: low bar but even that year it did snow but there is a reason that’s remembered as a disaster it was the worst underachiever ever! Feb 2006: 1 MECS Dec-Jan 2011: 1 MECS and a couple minor events March 2018: 1 SECS and a couple minor events So it would be unheard of to get blanked even with our crap Nina climo and bad luck You could have stopped at TRUE. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
losetoa6 Posted January 15 HH Day 6 Gfs . This is pretty sig medium range changes . 24 hours ago a se ridge and less blocking 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
psuhoffman Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: You could have stopped at TRUE. That wasn’t for you. Just so someone doesn’t think a Nina means blocking won’t work. Its obviously muted compared to a nino but that doesn’t mean we don’t usually snow. You know that. Just trying to stop a run of panic posts. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted January 15 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: HH Day 6 Gfs 24 hours ago a se ridge One extreme to the other.. but an expected shift given the advertised pattern. We need something a bit in between though lol. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: HH Day 6 Gfs . This is pretty sig medium range changes . 24 hours ago a se ridge and less blocking yep....means supressed instead of cutter. still no blue for you 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
frd Posted January 15 Tasty John Homenuk Recent EPS runs have trended stronger with Greenland blocking in the 5-10 day range again - now a 3 sigma event. There are also hints that a northern stream disturbance will be forced underneath it Days 7-10. If correct, would open door to a Mid Atlantic/Northeast winter storm. 3:14 PM · Jan 15, 2021· 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted January 15 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That wasn’t for you. Just so someone doesn’t think a Nina means blocking won’t work. Its obviously muted compared to a nino but that doesn’t mean we don’t usually snow. You know that. Just trying to stop a run of panic posts. I get it, but at some point the masses need to be able to read between the lines when something isn't stated in a perfectly explicit manner. Kinda tired of putting disclaimers/qualifiers on every post to prevent Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
mattie g Posted January 15 5 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: We’ve had 0.18” of precip in Winchester since Jan 1. You can draw your own conclusions from that. You haven’t had much rain? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wentzadelphia Posted January 15 Happy hour mischief? Much better setup for the event the EPS was signaling Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
losetoa6 Posted January 15 20 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: True. But If we look at every legitimate NAO block (not just a transient bootleg ridge) during Nina’s of the past 30 years it should set the goalposts. And while I’m not expecting 2010 the fact is even in a Nina almost every blocking episode produced at least one good snowstorm. 1996: high bar...nuff said March 1999: several storms January 2000: 1 KU and 2 other storms Dec-March 2000/01: low bar but even that year it did snow but there is a reason that’s remembered as a disaster it was the worst underachiever ever! Feb 2006: 1 MECS Dec-Jan 2011: 1 MECS and a couple minor events March 2018: 1 SECS and a couple minor events So it would be unheard of to get blanked even with our crap Nina climo and bad luck Thanks for the breakdown . I'm curious though of the March 2018. I'll have to look at my records but I'm thinking I got 14 inches here from that storm and more further north . I'd think MECS not SECS but maybe I got the wrong year . Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted January 15 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: Happy hour mischief? Much better setup for the event the EPS was signaling Tired of seeing your phone about to die. You can email these images to yourself and post them here. Only takes like 30 seconds. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wentzadelphia Posted January 15 Gonna get crushed, but nice trend towards EPS and nothing like OP euro. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted January 15 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Thanks for the breakdown . I'm curious though of the March 2018. I'll have to look at my records but I'm thinking I got 14 inches here from that storm and more further north . I'd think MECS not SECS but maybe I got the wrong year . I think that one was a general 6-10. I think I had 7 or so here. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxUSAF Posted January 15 Light blue at 234hrs! 8 weeks of blocking pays off 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted January 15 well here is the gravy .. eta- The beef went south lol 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxUSAF Posted January 15 Just now, CAPE said: I think that one was a general 6-10. I think I had 7 or so here. The equinox storm? I got just over 7”. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wentzadelphia Posted January 15 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: Tired of seeing your phone about to die. You can email these images to yourself and post them here. Only takes like 30 seconds. Ain’t nobody got time for that. Haha, there’s about the same odds of me plugging in my phone before bed as a 2 ft dc snowstorm. this was a solid GFS run. It looked more like the euro early on and focuses on that same wave coming out of the southwest that the EPS did Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
losetoa6 Posted January 15 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: I think that one was a general 6-10. I think I had 7 or so here. I'll have to dust off my trapper keeper and look but I'm 99% sure I got around 14" March 20th and bigger totals north . Yep...13.8" imby Thurmont 16.5" S.York 16-20" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HighStakes Posted January 15 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I'll have to dust off my trapper keeper and look but I'm 99% sure I got around 14" March 20th and bigger totals north . I got 15 but never was more than 12 on the ground at one time. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted January 15 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I'll have to dust off my trapper keeper and look but I'm 99% sure I got around 14" March 20th and bigger totals north . You might be right, according to Mr faith in the flakes' lol. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
losetoa6 Posted January 15 1 minute ago, HighStakes said: I got 15 but never was more than 12 on the ground at one time. I edited above . It was 12"-20 " along m/d line Definitely near Historic for time of year imo . But MECS for sure 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 15 The trough over the Pacific Northwest is killing us! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
losetoa6 Posted January 15 I'm thinking odds are going up for clipper potential I'd think next week day 4-7 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 15 25 minutes ago, mattie g said: You haven’t had much rain? Outside of the event New Years Eve/New Years Day, almost nothing Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
