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Chicago Storm

Winter 2020/2021 Short Range Discussion

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This event was C IL’s version of N IL’s day after Christmas 2009 surprise snowstorm.

Both a product of a potent wave within the 500mb trough.


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This event was C IL’s version of N IL’s day after Christmas 2009 surprise snowstorm.

Both a product of a potent wave within the 500mb trough.


.
Twas a good one.

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

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Blah here. An inch of slushy snow (looks like heavy burst of snow then dry slot), the most underwhelming snow event of the winter so far. The snow has mostly melted in the murky mild air lol. 14.9" on the season.

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3 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

This event was C IL’s version of N IL’s day after Christmas 2009 surprise snowstorm.

Both a product of a potent wave within the 500mb trough.


.

Remember that one. Thought my area received close to 11"

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10 minutes ago, mimillman said:

i'll take my 36 hours of flurries with DAB on grassy surfaces and run

Ironically, my recollection believes big cold upper lows settling over the great lakes have always been good harbingers of switches to a more wintry pattern in January where we've been through a long period of bland. Take it for what it's worth.

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2 minutes ago, Baum said:

Ironically, my recollection believes big cold upper lows settling over the great lakes have always been good harbingers of switches to a more wintry pattern in January where we've been through a long period of bland. Take it for what it's worth.

Honestly i think that sounds right anecdotally

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Looks like a long-duration light snow event from Thu night through Fri night for the western half of the sub, with 1-2" snow possible.  A nice refresher for areas that already have snow on the ground.  Normally not a big deal but with such long periods of benign weather this season it will stand out as a top 5 event for many of us.

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There's definitely some juicier ensemble runs in there. I know that by itself doesn't mean anything beyond a hope, but this one feels good to me.

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25 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

There's definitely some juicier ensemble runs in there. I know that by itself doesn't mean anything beyond a hope, but this one feels good to me.

The surface/upper low tracks suck for like 90% of the sub.  Yeah, it'll snow, but I see little reason for optimism that this will be any kind of meaningful system for most.  To channel beavis... it's January, it should be snowing.

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1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

The surface/upper low tracks suck for like 90% of the sub.  Yeah, it'll snow, but I see little reason for optimism that this will be any kind of meaningful system for most.  To channel beavis... it's January, it should be snowing.

My optimism was along the lines of 3" instead of 2" B)

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49 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Sold.

DAB+ call here

plume mean at ~2 around the area but it's being propped up by a handful of respectable hits

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19 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

plume mean at ~2 around the area but it's being propped up by a handful of respectable hits

Tis the problem

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hard to believe any model will have a handle on the snow shower/squall accumulations layed out by this set up. Just enjoy that'll look like January and it maybe the change in the pattern we need. 

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hard to believe any model will have a handle on the snow shower/squall accumulations layed out by this set up. Just enjoy that'll look like January and it maybe the change in the pattern we need. 
Agree, wouldn't expect a full handle until Wednesday on the specifics. At least we've been looking at the 15th as approximate date of arrival of a better pattern and getting a snow threat in the region around that time is a decent sign. As we've been discussing on the med-long range thread, see no reason to diverge from the thinking that pattern will become more favorable for more frequent snow threats on the last 10 days of the month and into February

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

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