Ghicks Posted January 27 7 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: The GFS was hot garbage. Para looked ok for decent thump to dry slot. It’s pretty much most guidance against gfs so there’s that but then a lot of us are actually rooting for the gfs for Thursday’s system so who knows. If gfs proves to be correct with Thursday system then we will worry about it being right for Sunday which I Doubt will happen. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Buddy1987 Posted January 27 1 minute ago, Ghicks said: If gfs proves to be correct with Thursday system then we will worry about it being right for Sunday which I Doubt will happen. Yea the evolution of the entire system for the weekend is wonky on the GFS. Is it wrong? Not necessarily. Does it have tendencies and known biases? Absolutely. It’s the warmest of the models right now. Between Canadian and GFS, GFS is off by a good 5mb with the high pressure. So we’re talking a 1032 vs 1037 mb hp. Big time difference. Other factor to weigh is the GFS has a very strong vort like Euro middle of the country. Problem is GFS opens up and sends a strung out weak discombobulated mess eastward while the Euro continues to keep its strength. That would have big impacts downstream. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 0Z CMC continues the theme for Sunday with right much ICE. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Buddy1987 Posted January 27 Just now, BIG FROSTY said: 0z CMC Wow!! @BIG FROSTY been awhile man. Glad to see you on here! Getting revved up for the “epic ness” that’s about to occur next several days. 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LibertyStorm Posted January 27 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: Wow!! @BIG FROSTY been awhile man. Glad to see you on here! Getting revved up for the “epic ness” that’s about to occur next several days. Big Frosty and Brick Tamland are back. Maybe they’ll bring some snow with them. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BIG FROSTY Posted January 27 8 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Wow!! @BIG FROSTY been awhile man. Glad to see you on here! Getting revved up for the “epic ness” that’s about to occur next several days. Thanks! I've been around some just not posting much! Heck not really been anything to post about. lol 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wncsnow Posted January 27 UK is a bit further north but still a big hit for NW NC and Southern VA Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 0z UK bringing the goods for the Sunday system! Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 0z UK with around a foot' near Roanoke taken verbatim Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 0Z UK , are you OK? lolSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cyric297 Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 0Z UK , are you OK? lol Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk When is this even valid? lol... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, Cyric297 said: When is this even valid? lol... This is for the Sunday system 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Grayman Posted January 27 19 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: This is for the Sunday system I think the storm comes south Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wncsnow Posted January 27 Euro still looking pretty good. Slightly warmer than 12Z run so far but snow breaking out in NC early Sunday morning/late Saturday night Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wncsnow Posted January 27 Note- This is from both storms combined. Most of the snow in WNC is from Sunday storm and vice versa in eastern NC with Thursday threat. It was a decent run but a slight step back from earlier today Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorthHillsWx Posted January 27 Euro looks slightly improved to me just not the snow map. Better ridging, slightly more south, and the secondary gets going close enough that we may get in the party. Front end thump is diminished somewhat but if we could get the secondary involved further south I don’t think anyone would complain 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
strongwxnc Posted January 27 Note- This is from both storms combined. Most of the snow in WNC is from Sunday storm and vice versa in eastern NC with Thursday threat. It was a decent run but a slight step back from earlier today Fine line like normal for this area. Interest is peaked for now. . Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PackGrad05 Posted January 27 Wake County looks to do better with tonight's system than the weekend system (as of now). I hope it just stays snow or rain.... I don't need ice issues. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Brick Tamland Posted January 27 I think we'll see the Euro look better with the weekend threat as we get closer just like with the storm tonight into tomorrow. I still think it is better with what actually happens than the GFS, but it just has slower trends than the GFS. GFS seems to latch on one solution and hold on to it forever or make huge jumps. Euro seems to be more gradual with its trends. 2 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PackGrad05 Posted January 27 12Z GFS remains unimpressed with sunday's system. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BooneWX Posted January 27 Euro and GFS both show CAD but are wildly different on placement of the high. Going to be interesting to see which caves. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 27 If we end up with 5-6" of snow up here, that has to change the game for a lot of people on Sunday further south. Much of it should still be on the ground, if it occurs like we think it might. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
griteater Posted January 27 Looks like the UKMet moved north this run on the early maps. CMC has some wintry mix I40 north Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wncsnow Posted January 27 Yep models are trending north. Not good. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 CMC with around a foot in my neck of the woods for Sunday... taken verbatim Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Upstate Tiger Posted January 27 Looking at 12 UTC GFS, still like the period of 10th - 12th. Maybe the coldest air of the winter across the upper Midwest just prior to this time frame with some 20 below readings. Looks to spill south and eastward with a possible low development across deep south. Of course this morning's 06 UTC showed a major winter storm for Brownsville and northern Mexico during this time. If Monterey, Mexico and Madrid, Spain (18" on Jan 9) wind up with more snow than me this winter, I'll be pissed Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NCSNOW Posted January 27 47 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: CMC with around a foot in my neck of the woods for Sunday... taken verbatim Hopefully it verefies better than the modeled half foot plus you where getting this past Sunday for tonights storm. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 1 minute ago, NCSNOW said: Hopefully it verefies better than the modeled half foot plus you where getting this past Sunday for tonights storm. Maybe I'll get that half a foot tonight! Who knows Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
strongwxnc Posted January 27 58 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Yep models are trending north. Not good. Many days left for changes to occur but... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites