Ghicks Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: The GFS was hot garbage. Para looked ok for decent thump to dry slot. It’s pretty much most guidance against gfs so there’s that but then a lot of us are actually rooting for the gfs for Thursday’s system so who knows. If gfs proves to be correct with Thursday system then we will worry about it being right for Sunday which I Doubt will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Ghicks said: If gfs proves to be correct with Thursday system then we will worry about it being right for Sunday which I Doubt will happen. Yea the evolution of the entire system for the weekend is wonky on the GFS. Is it wrong? Not necessarily. Does it have tendencies and known biases? Absolutely. It’s the warmest of the models right now. Between Canadian and GFS, GFS is off by a good 5mb with the high pressure. So we’re talking a 1032 vs 1037 mb hp. Big time difference. Other factor to weigh is the GFS has a very strong vort like Euro middle of the country. Problem is GFS opens up and sends a strung out weak discombobulated mess eastward while the Euro continues to keep its strength. That would have big impacts downstream. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 0Z CMC continues the theme for Sunday with right much ICE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 0z CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, BIG FROSTY said: 0z CMC Wow!! @BIG FROSTY been awhile man. Glad to see you on here! Getting revved up for the “epic ness” that’s about to occur next several days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 8 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Wow!! @BIG FROSTY been awhile man. Glad to see you on here! Getting revved up for the “epic ness” that’s about to occur next several days. Thanks! I've been around some just not posting much! Heck not really been anything to post about. lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 UK is a bit further north but still a big hit for NW NC and Southern VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 0z UK bringing the goods for the Sunday system! Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 0z UK with around a foot' near Roanoke taken verbatim Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 0Z UK , are you OK? lolSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyric297 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 0Z UK , are you OK? lol Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk When is this even valid? lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, Cyric297 said: When is this even valid? lol... This is for the Sunday system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 19 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: This is for the Sunday system I think the storm comes south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Euro still looking pretty good. Slightly warmer than 12Z run so far but snow breaking out in NC early Sunday morning/late Saturday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Note- This is from both storms combined. Most of the snow in WNC is from Sunday storm and vice versa in eastern NC with Thursday threat. It was a decent run but a slight step back from earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Euro looks slightly improved to me just not the snow map. Better ridging, slightly more south, and the secondary gets going close enough that we may get in the party. Front end thump is diminished somewhat but if we could get the secondary involved further south I don’t think anyone would complain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Note- This is from both storms combined. Most of the snow in WNC is from Sunday storm and vice versa in eastern NC with Thursday threat. It was a decent run but a slight step back from earlier today Fine line like normal for this area. Interest is peaked for now. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Wake County looks to do better with tonight's system than the weekend system (as of now). I hope it just stays snow or rain.... I don't need ice issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I think we'll see the Euro look better with the weekend threat as we get closer just like with the storm tonight into tomorrow. I still think it is better with what actually happens than the GFS, but it just has slower trends than the GFS. GFS seems to latch on one solution and hold on to it forever or make huge jumps. Euro seems to be more gradual with its trends. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 12Z GFS remains unimpressed with sunday's system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Euro and GFS both show CAD but are wildly different on placement of the high. Going to be interesting to see which caves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 If we end up with 5-6" of snow up here, that has to change the game for a lot of people on Sunday further south. Much of it should still be on the ground, if it occurs like we think it might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Looks like the UKMet moved north this run on the early maps. CMC has some wintry mix I40 north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Yep models are trending north. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 CMC with around a foot in my neck of the woods for Sunday... taken verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Looking at 12 UTC GFS, still like the period of 10th - 12th. Maybe the coldest air of the winter across the upper Midwest just prior to this time frame with some 20 below readings. Looks to spill south and eastward with a possible low development across deep south. Of course this morning's 06 UTC showed a major winter storm for Brownsville and northern Mexico during this time. If Monterey, Mexico and Madrid, Spain (18" on Jan 9) wind up with more snow than me this winter, I'll be pissed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 47 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: CMC with around a foot in my neck of the woods for Sunday... taken verbatim Hopefully it verefies better than the modeled half foot plus you where getting this past Sunday for tonights storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, NCSNOW said: Hopefully it verefies better than the modeled half foot plus you where getting this past Sunday for tonights storm. Maybe I'll get that half a foot tonight! Who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 58 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Yep models are trending north. Not good. Many days left for changes to occur but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Yep models are trending north. Not good. Yeah I was hoping to stay away from the ice. Canadian was a crippling ice storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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