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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2021

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18 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I actually like where this storm is at for now. Cold air comes in from east of mountains which helps too

Yea I agree. I’d actually want it Suppressed until Tuesday jmo I think another thing we need to hope for is an Overnight event. I’m not a “Sun Angle” “Soil temp” guy but I won’t deny it would be rather Difficult at 3PM in Early March. Atleast we have something to keep an eye on that’s all we can ask for at this point

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Next week is really shaping up for a nice stretch of dry and 60s and 70s with the SER flexing.

Should be some ideal bloom conditions for bradfords and others.

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46 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

Yikes. Twenty hours since the last post.  I’m liking the slow northern trend of the low this weekend.  It’s Monday though.  It could be in Maryland by Thursday.

image.gif.92013ddb2dc34d31ef0170b078a152cd.gif

Exactly. I guess no one even cares sadly it’s not a bad look at all for 5 day out

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This is our last shot of the year. If you want one more storm to get emotionally invested in, it’s this.

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5 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

FWIW , the 12z GFS was still suppressed but continued the North Trend from 6Z... 

And the para’s low was mostly unchanged since the last run.  That’s probably a good thing since we don’t want it zipping northward so early.

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45 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

And the para’s low was mostly unchanged since the last run.  That’s probably a good thing since we don’t want it zipping northward so early.

I’d say we want it suppressed until Weds Jmo 

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We will witness the entire life cycle of emotionally driven storm tracking here this week.  People expressing optimisism about supression will evolve to people posting about sun angle and soil temps which will evolve into finger pointing when a warm nose appears on the 48 hour NAM. It will end with ritual mass suicide after DC ends up with a foot and we watch the 20s roll in a mere hours after the precip exits.

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Considering this is likely our last threat to track, why don’t we try something different? What say we start a thread absurdly early (like today) to circumvent any conspiracies surrounding when it’s created?

 

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46 minutes ago, WSchew said:

Considering this is likely our last threat to track, why don’t we try something different? What say we start a thread absurdly early (like today) to circumvent any conspiracies surrounding when it’s created?

It’s honestly not a bad idea since it’s probably our last hurrah.  :lol:  Good way to go out before grilling amid the tornadoes.

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47 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

It’s honestly not a bad idea since it’s probably our last hurrah.  :lol:  Good way to go out before grilling amid the tornadoes.

Let's get one blue pixel on on a clown map first

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1 hour ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said:

Good point but what is the fun in that?

ok

 

have at it 

 

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4 minutes ago, ILMRoss said:

ok

 

have at it 

 

So help me, if you dump on the idea of creating a premature thread, go off and create a thread anyway, and then the storm of the century happens, you had better not take credit for it.  :P

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15 hours ago, nwohweather said:

Looking at the models it looks like Spring is safely here :clap:

I would think your location is the new Florida north with around 9 months of summer and 3 months of spring. The new norm is one meaningful snowstorm every 10 years or so. Nov-March a couple days of highs in the 40's and lows in the 20's. Great place to avoid any winter weather in the southeast and yes you will be having summer weather in your neck of the woods in no time.

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7 hours ago, Jmoon said:

I would think your location is the new Florida north with around 9 months of summer and 3 months of spring. The new norm is one meaningful snowstorm every 10 years or so. Nov-March a couple days of highs in the 40's and lows in the 20's. Great place to avoid any winter weather in the southeast and yes you will be having summer weather in your neck of the woods in no time.

Ha I tell people this all the time, we basically have Jacksonville weather. If you look at the climate data they're super similar.

image.thumb.png.82b1a120d104b62964719cae69486169.png

image.thumb.png.41a70ca9f49f5769bd8f281067aef939.png

Only about a 3-5 degree difference October thru April

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15 hours ago, nwohweather said:

Ha I tell people this all the time, we basically have Jacksonville weather. If you look at the climate data they're super similar.

image.thumb.png.82b1a120d104b62964719cae69486169.png

image.thumb.png.41a70ca9f49f5769bd8f281067aef939.png

Only about a 3-5 degree difference October thru April

Your right. Very true. Pretty close to the same climates. You went from a north pole type of climate to almost a tropical paradise in the winter months down there. 

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20 hours ago, nwohweather said:

Ha I tell people this all the time, we basically have Jacksonville weather. If you look at the climate data they're super similar.

image.thumb.png.82b1a120d104b62964719cae69486169.png

image.thumb.png.41a70ca9f49f5769bd8f281067aef939.png

Only about a 3-5 degree difference October thru April

They don’t call your town Summerville for nothing. 

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