• Member Statistics

    16,739
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    DirectSEO
    Newest Member
    DirectSEO
    Joined
jburns

Mid to Long Term Discussion 2021

Recommended Posts

From RAH discussion this morning.  LOL

The great Appalachian chain has not moved that I have noticed (even
with the Sparta earthquakes and tremors this year)
. So, unless the
high becomes centered to our NNE (arctic air air will not roll down
the eastern seaboard into the Carolina`s). It will stay west of the
Appalachians.
 

 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 6

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
35 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

This is 6z GFS for Tuesday: 12 to 16 Hour Sleet Storm Triad

prateptype_cat.us_ma.png

So...it looks like Atlanta is out of the mix wintry weather ? Yes, No, MAYBE or to early to tell?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Honestly this should be getting more attention. Definitely could be flooding issues with this amount of rain 

qpf_acc.us_ma (30).png

  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Honestly this should be getting more attention. Definitely could be flooding issues with this amount of rain 

qpf_acc.us_ma (30).png

I’ve been thinking the same thing.  Going to be a hard pill to swallow if we day after day of rain and artic air lurking just to our west...

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
42 minutes ago, Buckfever2 said:

So...it looks like Atlanta is out of the mix wintry weather ? Yes, No, MAYBE or to early to tell?

Yes

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

What happened with this weekend's system is notable, in that it did make significant steps colder. Keep in mind the significant shifts that have taken place within 3 days. Doesn't mean this one will turn out moving towards wintry, but an apps runner isn't set in stone, and even if it is impacts before flipping to rain could be significant. I've experienced all frozen storms with a low tracking to my west before (this was in virginia, so a little easier, but still...)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

What happened with this weekend's system is notable, in that it did make significant steps colder. Keep in mind the significant shifts that have taken place within 3 days. Doesn't mean this one will turn out moving towards wintry, but an apps runner isn't set in stone, and even if it is impacts before flipping to rain could be significant. I've experienced all frozen storms with a low tracking to my west before (this was in virginia, so a little easier, but still...)

In the old days, the wright weather days, you would've been banned for behaving like several people have behaved. We are, at a minimum, five days out. For anyone to believe we've reached our final destination with regards to this event is just silly. 

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
In the old days, the wright weather days, you would've been banned for behaving like several people have behaved. We are, at a minimum, five days out. For anyone to believe we've reached our final destination with regards to this event is just silly. 
No doubt about that, you see the 6z right? It brings ZR back into SC, which wasn't seen since 12z Monday. I am not buying that apps rubber because of how dense that arctic air is, but the more amped the low is the more likely it will cut, however a 995ish off the SC coast (if it went that route) would cause one hell of a headache

Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

6z icon would have been a major hit. At this point what’s most critical is the remnants of the Canadian vortex ejecting East Quickly for optimal high pressure placement. We can score a major winter storm even if the surface lows runs west of the apps in that scenario, with the classic high placement you’ll still have a locked in wedge and lower pressures along the Atlantic coast 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, burrel2 said:

6z icon would have been a major hit. At this point what’s most critical is the remnants of the Canadian vortex ejecting East Quickly for optimal high pressure placement. We can score a major winter storm even if the surface lows runs west of the apps in that scenario, with the classic high placement you’ll still have a locked in wedge and lower pressures along the Atlantic coast 

Yep. 0z UKMET actually had something too. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

Yep. 0z UKMET actually had something too. 

@BullCityWx I agree with you brother. Anyone writing this off at this juncture is pure lunacy. The way the models have performed past 72-96 hours and beyond this year would leave any reasonable prudent person to realize giving definitives is a no go right now. 

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, SUNYGRAD said:

From RAH discussion this morning.  LOL

The great Appalachian chain has not moved that I have noticed (even
with the Sparta earthquakes and tremors this year)
. So, unless the
high becomes centered to our NNE (arctic air air will not roll down
the eastern seaboard into the Carolina`s). It will stay west of the
Appalachians.
 

 

Tell em the EURO Suite says Hello

Screenshot_20210210-092210_Chrome.jpg

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, BullCityWx said:

In the old days, the wright weather days, you would've been banned for behaving like several people have behaved. We are, at a minimum, five days out. For anyone to believe we've reached our final destination with regards to this event is just silly. 

I miss those days :(   Anywho.....I see the icy solution is still on the table as we get closer :yikes:

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Whoa guys,  My comment on the NWS comment should have been followed with some silly icon probably.  It was a bit more tongue-in-cheek than how it was likely interpreted.  I highly respect the folks over there and to a great extent they have a thankless job.  Also understaffed from what I'm reading.

That said their stoic drollness in the forecast discussion needs a little spice once in awhile and sometimes they place a nice zinger in there to wake you up.  Props to that. 

This one however lacked the clever wit they usually produce from time to time.  If you are going to drop one in there make it funny.

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Now that I’ve had to delete the last page of crap, keep the discussion on topic and the whining, complaining and unrelated opinions in the designated threads. 
 

Now back to your regular scheduled program 

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Now that I’ve had to delete the last page of crap, keep the discussion on topic and the whining, complaining and unrelated opinions in the designated threads. 
 

Now back to your regular scheduled program 

Yep.  Sorry to take us off point buckeye.

Meanwhile back at the weather...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

Yep.  Sorry to take us off point buckeye.

Meanwhile back at the weather...

:hug:  It’s more the whining, complaining and cliff diving every other model run. Thank you for your understanding :D 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

12Z ICON looks like it could be setting up for something nice, HP moving to the east in conjunction with low pressure over the gulf. If the high can build in first and stay out in front it should be a big run. 

icon_T2m_seus_50.png

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_49.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

Yeah that would be crippling. 

The southern fringes of the wedge warmed up some from 00z but in the heart of the CAD region temps stayed pretty close to 00z. Low did track toward the APPs this run and Miller-B around the southern edge of the wedge to the coast. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.