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Hoosier

September 2020 General Discussion

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2 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

More rain overnight and this morning has boosted my weekly total to 6.12".  Much of this rain has soaked into the soil, so the rivers across eastern Iowa have barely risen at all.  This is how you end a drought.

Indeed, it's been great to see.  

Ended up with another 0.99" since last evening, pushing the event total (starting last Sunday morning) up to 7.54".  DVN is going to end up pretty close to 8".  Pretty productive setup to be sure.  

Looks like we may see our first peek of the sun in quite awhile later on this afternoon.

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On 9/11/2020 at 10:12 PM, Hoosier said:

No guarantees but one of the better sneak attack hurricane potentials in the Gulf in a while. 

 

#michiganhurricane

 

Quote
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
          with gusty winds may still occur.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
          against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
          tornado situation.
        - ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

 

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Exciting forecast

At least there will be sun

 

.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the
mid 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the
lower 70s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. East winds 5 to 10 mph in
the evening becoming southeast after midnight.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Then temperatures
falling into the mid 60s by evening.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Highs
in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 70s.

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8 hours ago, Hoosier said:

prcp_mpe_m2d_tot.png.3db36ea87efe27c3cda6bf2c6c4dc501.png

Yeah it is just a little parched here in my county. Another T last night which does not helps things at all. Ground is concrete hard in my yard.

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49 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

Obviously smoky in the upper levels today. I guess to many it looks like a veil of cirrus. The sun should have that tell-tale red glow again towards sunset.

 

Yep. DTX just released an update about this:

000
FXUS63 KDTX 141411
AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1011 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2020

.UPDATE...

Mid/upper level trajectories have taken the smoke plume from nrn
California and the Pacific Northwest into the Upper Midwest and Great
Lakes region. Satellite representation and visual observation suggest
the high altitude smoke overhead is quite opaque. So even though some
of the morning strato cu has been and will continue to dissipate,
afternoon sun is going to be very filtered through the upper level
smoke. This seems to suggest more or less filtered sunshine today as
opposed to outright sunny skies. So an update will be issued to
increase sky cover today. Otherwise, the going forecast looks
reasonable.

 

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On 9/11/2020 at 9:12 PM, Hoosier said:

No guarantees but one of the better sneak attack hurricane potentials in the Gulf in a while. 

Here she goes

Trends may be improving for NOLA, but getting worse for areas farther east.  Mobile/Mobile Bay is of growing concern.

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23 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

The smoke looks extremely extensive today.  Appears to be stretching all the way toward the east coast.

Yeah we might have weeks of this

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23 hours ago, Hoosier said:

prcp_mpe_m2d_tot.png.3db36ea87efe27c3cda6bf2c6c4dc501.png

That could be a double-edged sword. As needed as that rain was, now that the heat and growing season are nearly over, drying out in the ground takes longer. There's going to be plenty more precip this fall, so now flooding may be the next concern down the road.

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4 hours ago, Hoosier said:

g16_20200914_215115_02.thumb.jpg.d71e594fda737c30d1ac422b2812026d.jpg4eywl1.jpg.7e1879163b0a02753d59176ba4f4e324.jpg

It is incredible up here in the UP. It is so thick that the entire sky was milky white and the sun was very filtered. 

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1st official low in the 40s for Detroit since June 14th. Low was only 49 at DTW and 48 at DET, but temperatures hung around 49-50 for about 6 or 7 hours. Had all the windows closed and it was still about 65 in the house this morning. Fall is here. Got down to 40 at White Lake and 37 at bad axe. 

 

 Incredible to think, but on this date in 1939 Detroit hit 100゚. Easily the latest 100 on record, it was a 3 day heatwave that was unprecedented for the time of year.

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48 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

1st official low in the 40s for Detroit since June 14th. Low was only 49 at DTW and 48 at DET, but temperatures hung around 49-50 for about 6 or 7 hours. Had all the windows closed and it was still about 65 in the house this morning. Fall is here. Got down to 40 at White Lake and 37 at bad axe. 

 

 Incredible to think, but on this date in 1939 Detroit hit 100゚. Easily the latest 100 on record, it was a 3 day heatwave that was unprecedented for the time of year.

Third official low in the 40's at YYZ. For most of the burbs it’s our 5th. YYZ got down to 41F last night. It'll likely get down to the mid 30's later this week. The source of this weekend’s cold is straight from the Arctic.

I'm sure your excited about the onset of Fall knowing Winter isn't too far away. :lol:

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Hoping no precip occurs here Wed/Thu.  If it doesn't, could start to put together a fairly impressive streak of precipless days. 

It's that and tracking smoke from fires a couple thousand miles away.  You have to entertain yourself somehow.

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Tomorrow looks like 80+ at ORD for the first time since the 7th.  It got me thinking how there are probably only a handful of 80+ days left... at best.  Summer is slipping away, as it always does.

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16 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Tomorrow looks like 80+ at ORD for the first time since the 7th.  It got me thinking how there are probably only a handful of 80+ days left... at best.  Summer is slipping away, as it always does.

So I ran the stats on this of course.  Wouldn't you know, the average number of 80+ days in Chicago from 9/16 onward is pretty much exactly 5 days.  

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34 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Tomorrow looks like 80+ at ORD for the first time since the 7th.  It got me thinking how there are probably only a handful of 80+ days left... at best.  Summer is slipping away, as it always does.

Summer ended on the 3rd.

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There's a shot that some of the smoke may make it down to the surface tomorrow in portions of the region, immediately following the frontal passage.

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2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

Summer ended on the 3rd.

I concur, my guess is if tomorrow doesn't yield 80F, Milwaukee is done with 80F days.  I won't go full Spartman though.

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