Tropical connection NYC forum area Sun-Wed, 8/2-5/20- Tropical Storm Isaias

[NJwx85]

This line was really well modeled on the 12z guidance.

[Rjay]

3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

This line was really well modeled on the 12z guidance.

The thunderstorm is meh.  The winds are awesome though. 

[Nibor]

It's been almost 8 years since Sandy. That's a long enough time elapse for trees that were not vulnerable then to be vulnerable now. That is if the winds verify as strong as they're being forecast. Could be pretty substantial tree damage.

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, Rjay said:

The thunderstorm is meh.  The winds are awesome though. 

Yeah it wasn’t modeled to be severe, just the beginning of much more to come.

Its probably on the verge of being a Cat 2. 

[jm1220]

4 minutes ago, Rjay said:

The thunderstorm is meh.  The winds are awesome though. 

Yeah, rain is probably moderate with it here. Edit-never mind, now torrential but wind died down. 

[jm1220]

Just now, NJwx85 said:

Yeah it wasn’t modeled to be severe, just the beginning of much more to come.

Its probably on the verge of being a Cat 2. 

I wonder how the models overnight will incorporate the strengthening happening now. It won’t have much time to weaken before it’s here. 

[psv88]

Lost power 

[nycsnow]

Can someone take me off 5 post a mod! I been on it forever I think I’m forgotten lol

back to storm 119mph in eye wall

I can’t post my radarscope says only 1.95

[jm1220]

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

Lost power 

Mine flickered but luckily came back on. 

[David-LI]

0z NAM showing with stronger winds for the coast this run it seems. Can any1 confirm? I'm terrible at reading maps, specially being colorblind

[Prue11]

7 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Lost power 

From what a 30mph gust? Lol

[uncle W]

I'm hoping this storm does not track west of the city...if it does we could see some strong winds from the south south east and less rainfall...I'd rather see more rain and less wind...not looking forward to power outages from this...Hazel in 1954 was a much bigger hurricane but tracked well west of the city...winds were clocked at 113mph on the roof of 17 Battery place in lower Manhattan...

[Prue11]

What’s the likelihood of actually seeing 60-80mph gusts on the island? I’m gonna believe it when I see it I’m sure 40-50 will occur 

[donsutherland1]

1 minute ago, justinj said:

From what a 30mph gust? Lol

Some areas had wind gusts in excess of 50 mph. JFK recorded one such gust.

[Rjay]

8 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Can someone take me off 5 post a mod! I been on it forever I think I’m forgotten lol

back to storm 119mph in eye wall

I can’t post my radarscope says only 1.95

How long has it been?

[Prue11]

1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said:

Some areas had wind gusts in excess of 50 mph. JFK recorded one such gust.

His location is  in Commack and I’m working about two miles away from Commack and it was nothing impressive at all

[jm1220]

Just now, Will - Rutgers said:

Better than they were this morning, at any rate.

I wonder if this strengthening burst will be enough for hurricane warnings up further on the coast? 

[nycsnow]

2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

How long has it been?

Legit years lol

[e46and2]

1 minute ago, justinj said:

His location is  in Commack and I’m working about two miles away from Commack and it was nothing impressive at all

we had a few gusts that seemed to be around 50mph.

[David-LI]

Can we discuss 0z NAM? Winds seem stronger

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, David-LI said:

Can we discuss 0z NAM? Winds seem stronger

Less than an inch east of I95. In northern VT by tomorrow at this time 

[NYC10023]

 

[donsutherland1]

Some rainfall amounts from the thunderstorms that moved through the NYC area as of 10 pm:

New York City-JFK: 0.13” (52 mph gust); New York City-LGA: 0.35”; New York City-NYC: 0.54”; Newark: 0.34”; Teterboro: 0.20”.

[kat5hurricane]

That was some fierce ass wind here in Whitestone for a quick 10 minutes or so, torrential rain too and then it was gone just like that.

[MJO812]

983 latest recon pass

State of emergency declared in NJ

[Big Jims Videos]

4 hours ago, Sportybx said:

The worst part of this storm . Is going to be everyone who wasn’t prepared because no media coverage. Then tomorrow 2 hours before it hits everyone is running wild for supples 

Are you kidding me no media coverage? We've been on this for days.  

[psv88]

23 minutes ago, justinj said:

From what a 30mph gust? Lol

Large branches down around my neighborhood. 

[larrye]

11 hours ago, wkd said:

Loads of posters were saying it couldn't hit NJ because of climo, disregarding the fact that a large blocking ridge negated an ots solution.

Understood. But you can't just throw away climo. You just USE climo as with any other forcasting element ... as something to factor in but with probabilities or not at 100% guarantees.

[PB-99]

100 mph gusts off the coast of NC.

[NJwx85]

12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Less than an inch east of I95. In northern VT by tomorrow at this time 

Slightly stronger storm, slight tick East, stronger winds make it further inland.