LibertyBell Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 8 minutes ago, Barman49 said: Another freeze warning issued. What's the latest we've had one issued for the area? Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk I thought there was "no cold air anywhere on the planet" all winter, where did this unwanted nuisance cold come from anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Record low 850mb temperatures this morning. These are the times when I wish we had learned to modify the weather already.....scientists modify everything else, so why not this? as the old saying goes "everyone talks about the weather, but no one does anything about it." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Record low 850mb temperatures this morning. is this in concert with the extremely warm Gulf causing all this severe weather? how are these cold airmasses able to get this far south so late in the season? I'm rooting for a solar flare to bake us now lol since longer days seem to be useless for warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 On 4/14/2020 at 10:24 PM, Allsnow said: Lol. Are warmest temperature will probably be in January then in April this year lol if we dont hit 70 at all in April I'm going to root for moving the Earth to Venus's orbit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: if we dont hit 70 at all in April I'm going to root for moving the Earth to Venus's orbit. Speaking of which...Check out Venus in the western sky after sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 13 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: if we dont hit 70 at all in April I'm going to root for moving the Earth to Venus's orbit. Hey atleast its not warm and nice out! Makes it feel better staying indoors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 11 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: Hey atleast its not warm and nice out! Makes it feel better staying indoors true but it's killing me on allergies. Good thing I have a year's supply of Benadryl at home lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 16 minutes ago, doncat said: Speaking of which...Check out Venus in the western sky after sunset. Thanks for the heads up! Also a rare treat if you can wake up before 5 am..... in the southeast sky Mars, Saturn and Jupiter in that order......nice contrast in colors too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 31 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: is this in concert with the extremely warm Gulf causing all this severe weather? how are these cold airmasses able to get this far south so late in the season? I'm rooting for a solar flare to bake us now lol since longer days seem to be useless for warmth. Yeah, the record Gulf SST’s helped fuel all the severe weather this month. The strong -EPO blocking near Alaska and -NAO allowed a piece of the TPV to drop into New England today. Notice how that block near Alaska pushed further east from the March position. Just a slight shift in concert with the -NAO flattened out the SE Ridge and delivered the cold. March April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 56 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, the record Gulf SST’s helped fuel all the severe weather this month. The strong -EPO blocking near Alaska and -NAO allowed a piece of the TPV to drop into New England today. Notice how that block near Alaska pushed further east from the March position. Just a slight shift in concert with the -NAO flattened out the SE Ridge and delivered the cold. March April Goldberg still keeps talking about the pattern flipping in early May. btw, In the village I live in which has a pop of around 17 K, we already have 300+ cases. Not going outside anywhere. We have lots of stray cats outside and I just heard on the news that two cats have tested positive and they have symptoms of the virus. omg the cats might be more dangerous than the mice- and there are stray cats outside my house lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 22, 2020 Share Posted April 22, 2020 Knyc hasn't had a positive departure day since the 14th..sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 22, 2020 Author Share Posted April 22, 2020 Overnight, readings could approach or even break some daily record low temperatures in parts of the region. The forecast lows for April 23 for select locations on the 12z MOS were as follows: Albany: 22 (record: 26, 1975); Bridgeport: 32 (record: 30, 1982); Islip: 32 (record: 31, 1982 and 1989); Newark: 33 (record: 32, 1933); Westhampton: 21 (record: 25, 2018); and, White Plains: 29 (record: 26, 1982). A storm coming out of the Ohio Valley tomorrow will lead to increasing clouds during the daytime. Showers and periods of rain could move into the area during the afternoon or evening. Temperatures will likely stay well below normal through Friday. Overall, readings will likely average generally below normal to near normal with a few warmer than normal days across the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions through most of the remainder of the month. Warmer than normal conditions could return near the end of the month or just afterward. Past cases that saw the NAO average -0.750 or below during April 1-5 with warmth in the East, as occurred this month, saw the development of a trough in the East after April 10. That trough typically persisted in the means for 1-2 weeks. Looking ahead to May, 73% of cases that saw one or more days where the NAO fell to -1.000 or below during April 1-10, 1950-2019, as was the case this April, wound up with a warmer than normal May. However, uncertainty about the May outcome has increased. The MJO was recently in Phase 1 at an amplitude in excess of 1.500 for two days. During the 1981-2019 period, the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above for two or more years in six cases: 1988, 1990, 1995, 1997, 2005, and 2010. During May, three (50%) were cooler than normal; two (33%) were near normal; and, one (17%) was warmer than normal. Ultimately, two-thirds of those cases went on to have a warmer to much warmer than normal summer. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.7°C for the week centered around April 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.62°C. Neutral and occasionally warm ENSO conditions will likely prevail through mid-May. ENSO Region anomalies could begin a steady cooling during late April or May. The SOI was -2.67 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.660. On April 21, the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.800 (RMM). The April 20-adjusted amplitude was 1.719. February 2020 saw the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly increase by more than 0.50°C. Such a development has typically occurred before a warmer than normal summer. In all such cases, a warmer than normal spring was followed by a warmer than normal summer. Based on recent MJO data, the probability of a warmer than normal summer has increased. Such a summer is now likely in much or all of the East. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 91% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal April. April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 51.5°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Head Adv ? lol https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-120.59349060058597&lat=34.642247047768535#.XqDnhSN_OHs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Friday's storm trending south-northern parts of the area get very little now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 31 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Friday's storm trending south-northern parts of the area get very little now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 The last 8 days of April are averaging 54degs., or about 3degs. BN. Month to date is -1.1[50.6]. April should end at -1.6[51.4]. 41* here at 6am. 42* at 7am. 48* by 11am. 50* by 12:30pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Would have been a KU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Sleeting currently here with a temp of 37 lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Pings in Brooklyn, lmao more frozen at 44 at the end of April then at 37 in February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Sleeting now in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockawayRowdies Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Flurries here in Rockaway borough.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 23, 2020 Author Share Posted April 23, 2020 Morning thoughts... Yesterday, some parts of New York State into northern New England saw some snow. Snowfall amounts included: Albany: 0.1”; Binghamton: 0.6”; Buffalo: 0.7” (old record: 0.2”, 1986); and, Caribou: 5.5” (old record: 4.6”, 1989). This morning, temperatures fell to unseasonably to unseasonably low levels across the area and the Northeast. Low temperatures included: Albany: 28; Bridgeport: 32; Caribou: 21 (tied record set in 1994); Islip: 33; Poughkeepsie: 27; Westhampton: 20 (old record: 25, 2018); and, White Plains: 34. At 8:15 am EDT, a system coming eastward was bringing rain to parts of Illinois, Indiana and along its warm front heavy rain and thunderstorms were poised to move into the Atlanta area, which has already received 30.32” precipitation this year, which is 14.18” above normal. Showers and periods of rain associated with that system will move into the New York Metro Area and suburbs later today or this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Light snow currently on the uws!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Just now, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Light snow currently on the uws!!! yea seeing that here too, thought I was hallucinating, lol don't really keep records or have the best memory but this would def be up there for latest I've seen snow fall (with or without accumulations) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 5 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: yea seeing that here too, thought I was hallucinating, lol don't really keep records or have the best memory but this would def be up there for latest I've seen snow fall (with or without accumulations) The crazy part is that it’s 41 degrees. Shows you how cold it is aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: The crazy part is that it’s 41 degrees. Shows you how cold it is aloft. And dry, subcloud level, dewpoint in the teens in NYC. Humidity in the 30% range, lends to the evaporative cooling effects in sustaining frozen precipitation in the mid 40s at surface. This is the latest in April, I too recall having light snow/sleet in Queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 10 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Light snow currently on the uws!!! yup! snow shower in the Bx. 41. Can't remember seeing snow flakes this late within NYC before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 getting a little snow and sleet at the moment...we are paying for the warm winter we had...1919 comes to mind...a nothing winter but a cold ending to April... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted April 23, 2020 Share Posted April 23, 2020 Snowing ever so slightly at Nassau/Suffolk border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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