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Tar Heel Snow

One More Shot: Feb 20-21 Event

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My confidence is definitely decreasing now for NGA Mtns outside of the highest elevations. NAM is extremely consistent with the mid level temps being an issue. I don't trust any model showing 6+ hours of rain changing over to snow. 

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The setup was different but I feel like there are some parallels to the Christmas storm of 2010 with this one. It's a late bloomer, models are all over the place, and there is big potential for overruning to over perform 

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5 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

The setup was different but I feel like there are some parallels to the Christmas storm of 2010 with this one. It's a late bloomer, models are all over the place, and there is big potential for overruning to over perform 

That’s a good point. It crossed my mind today. This is about where the euro was at this point in time as well

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2 minutes ago, DopplerWx said:

wow, on 3km nam charlotte gets rid of the warm nose after hr48 and then we have an all snow sounding if sfc temps cooperate. interesting...

Pulling for y’all. 

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