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WxUSAF

December 11 Frontal Wave Snow Event

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Last ob from me tonight, 36/34, I think it’s mostly rain, but some drops looked more mangled than others. See y’all around 5am, good luck!

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16 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Nothing here except wind.  As expected.

Glad to see you’re in mid season form already!  Seriously though you have to move out of that precip shadow you live in. I witnessed the same phenomenon in central PA living east of the Alleghany spine.  Anytime there was any southwesterly wind component it was death to our precip.  It was soul crushingly frustrating. 

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Glad to see you’re in mid season form already!  Seriously though you have to move out of that precip shadow you live in. I witnessed the same phenomenon in central PA living east of the Alleghany spine.  Anytime there was any southwesterly wine component it was death to our precip.  It was soul crushingly frustrating. 

Southwesterly wine sounds interesting to be honest. Tell me more. 

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Just now, psuhoffman said:

It’s very dry 

Well played, sir. 

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Have no idea if this was expected, boom, bust, or whatever, but I'll take it to assume the HRDRPS was right all along

 

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4 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

The latest HRRR has snow falling over D.C. at 1:00 A.M.

 

I'm not impressed with the initial band for DC.  I think the secondary band has a chance of whitening the ground....

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Is it actually catching the micro climates?


FV3 is very stubborn (probably too much so) about UHI. It always tries to snow hole DC. Good idea in practice, but often leads to funny maps.

So to answer your question, I do think it tries to catch the microclimates.

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This thing really fizzled. Big win for DR NO and dry air.  Some models from last night had warning criteria snow in a few spots. Now we're down to "Oh look flakes"

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