ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Hard to tell with the awful free graphics, but the Ukie looks like it is between the GGEM and GFS. Closer to GFS though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Hard to tell with the awful free graphics, but the Ukie looks like it is between the GGEM and GFS. Closer to GFS though. Earlier you mentioned the high hanging on longer and secondary development occurring sooner . Without really checking in much tonite is that what we have seen on some models ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: File that run away in the "how many inches of GGEM snow do I have this year" folder The Mastiff folder 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Earlier you mentioned the high hanging on longer and secondary development occurring sooner . Without really checking in much tonite is that what we have seen on some models ? Yes the 00z suite has trended that way so far....of course we all wait for the really important model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Ukie looked near the BM and then intensified moving NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Earlier you mentioned the high hanging on longer and secondary development occurring sooner . Without really checking in much tonite is that what we have seen on some models ? How much for Philly 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Happy Thanksgiving everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 CMC has a stronger high north of the lakes than any other model. Looks like the GFS from a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Happy Thanksgiving everyone. Happy turkey day um cmc has got to be one of the worst models but it’s basically a snowstorm. So we got euro somewhat eps mostly frozen, ukie looks colder than all. Gfs sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Thermals on CMC at all levels above looked much colder than GFS for entire duration, well below 0C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 UK solutions blows for alot of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 That GEM model would deform from my area points north through s NH and back into the Berks. Take the clown map and shove it- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That GEM model would deform from my area points north through s NH and back into the Berks. Take the clown map and shove it- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: UK solutions blows for alot of SNE. Its further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 41 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Its further south It doesn't make much sense to me. It stalls just inside the BM, and produces very little precip., except for one area of se NYS. NYC gets about 2", so keep your pants on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 That UK run is a real blitz....the clownage is on crack. It goes bonkers while passing just inside the BM, and drizzles out like 2" of snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 I've got 3.5" with the current storm over New Mexico as of 20 minutes ago at my place. Airport is around an inch, but the heaviest snow should come in over the next six hours. We're negatively correlated to snow in the coastal NE in El Nino years, and only average about 10". Obviously 3.5" isn't 10" - but the odds are 6/10 here for an above average Oct-May when November sees accumulating snow. Philadelphia correlation (r-squared) in 28 El Ninos through 2018-19 is close to 0.3 with El Nino snow in Albuquerque. Not as strong for Boston/NYC/Baltimore/DC, but it's not real weak either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Euro looking cmcesque 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Euro looking cmcesque It's the Quebec thing...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Euro looking cmcesque Yea, with like a third of the QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, with like a third of the QPF Well beggars can't be choosers. Looks a little weaker than the 12z run.. Someone might want to take the honors and jinx us all by starting a thread. It won't be me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, with like a third of the QPF Euro qpf is more realistic. However this is a long duration event and a lot of enhancements aren’t modeled well this far out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Euro qpf is more realistic. However this is a long duration event and a lot of enhancements aren’t modeled well this far out. Hell.....didn't that CMC +that was posted show a max of 3"? A third of that is serviceable. Off to bed.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Euro just trended to the cmc in regards to the precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Looks sloppy but keeps cooling so good trends at d4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro qpf is more realistic. However this is a long duration event and a lot of enhancements aren’t modeled well this far out. Yup...no complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Looks icy south of pike too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 And a little more during the day Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 57 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Euro just sipped a Canadian Ale... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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