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Tyler Penland

2019/2020 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread.

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Just now, wncsnow said:

I'm out driving around and we have some light rain and drizzle in parts of McDowell.. Its going to be a skating rink later if the wind doesn't pick up

Yes I was thinking the same thing. As you mentioned, only saving grace is if we get some good wind blowing through here. I think that batch in some form makes it across the mtns too so that will add to it as well. Wouldn’t be too concerned if temps were only going to be around 30 but NWS says 22. 

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11 minutes ago, Hvward said:

 

Thanks man! Would love to see that deformation feature showing up on the KMRX Radar give everyone a surprise dusting-1” tonight.

Anytime! 

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16 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

Yes I was thinking the same thing. As you mentioned, only saving grace is if we get some good wind blowing through here. I think that batch in some form makes it across the mtns too so that will add to it as well. Wouldn’t be too concerned if temps were only going to be around 30 but NWS says 22. 

Yeah, no winds here. It'll be a Kerrigan / Harding special in the morning! 

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Got home from work to find a couple of inches in the ridge on my property when I walked the dogs.. I know many of us didn’t get as much as we had hoped, but it snowed today. For this Winter, that’s ok.

DC0DA9F5-5425-4835-84C5-A75B6C9CD613.jpeg

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We have about a inch and a half here, was hoping for more but I’m not gonna complain, I’ve learned to thank God for the amount he did give us. FYI this pic is took up the mnt looked to be about 4 to 5 inches.

Also how do y’all make the image fit the screen better.

9B19089D-0F22-42DA-9C28-6FBDE6C71747.jpeg.35ecd2f7f8206c3181cdebf717434f1e.jpeg

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20 hours ago, wncsnow said:

My forecast-

Haywood/Jackson/Swain- Generally 2-5

Buncombe/Madison/Henderson- Generally 1 to 3

Yancey/Mitchell/Avery- 1 to 3 inches

Asheville City- 1.5

Boone- 1.5 

Hendersonville- 2

Marion/Morganton- 1 inch grassy areas 

Rutherfordton- .5 to 1 inch grassy areas 

Jackpot for WNC- Rainforrest- 5.5 inches 

Snow will fall most of the day but will gave trouble accumulating due to low rates and marginal temperatures. 

 

 

My forecast turned out ok but I missed out for Rainforrest and was a bit high in some other areas. I thought I was conservative but not enough. Each storm is a learning experience..

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Well, add another dusting to the 2019-2020 resume. Torn between wanting a big snow and being ready for fishing/topless Jeep weather. To all of you that really cashed in, congrats! 

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What a winter in Boone, another dud. Around an inch. Sad when places in eastern NC get more in one storm than we’ve had all season. Congrats to the folks down East!

 

Drove from Boone to Norfolk Virginia this afternoon/evening. Consistent snow from Winston Salem to Norfolk. Didn’t hit accumulations until Henderson, NC. Took HWY 52 in Virginia and the conditions deteriorated the further east we went (temp stayed steady at 34). Passed 8 snow plows in total heading west on 52, one about every 7-10 minutes. Caught up to 0 trucks heading east lol. About 15 minutes outside of Norfolk started to get into a rain snow mix and temp of 36. It’s now mostly snow, very wet snow that’s not accumulating well.

 

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Euro still looks interesting and that is the best trough I've seen all winter. We will see though. Like everything else we will monitor it. 

 

It has snowed all night here. We have picked up another half inch. We actually have moderate snow falling now but this stuff is super dry. It has been very steady though. 

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Euro still looks interesting and that is the best trough I've seen all winter. We will see though. Like everything else we will monitor it. 
 
It has snowed all night here. We have picked up another half inch. We actually have moderate snow falling now but this stuff is super dry. It has been very steady though. 

The joys of living in the mountains of WNC. In other news, it’s 27 here. Wonder if they rain from yesterday could roll back today :)


.

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22 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

I ended up with 3.5...enough to get me over 32" this season.  I'm in range of last season's total now, just need one or two decent snowfalls and I might catch up to it.

I bet you get 4 to 6 inches later this week with the NWFS

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17 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I bet you get 4 to 6 inches later this week with the NWFS

I'm not sure that the atmosphere can support that kind of snowfall this season.  That would be sweet though!

11/12/19: 2"
11/24/19: 1"
12/1-2/19: 2.75"
12/10-11: 2"
12/14/19: 1.25"
12/17/19: 1"
1/4/20: 1.75"
1/7/20: 1.5"
1/20-21/20: 3"
1/25/20: 1"
1/27/20: 3"
1/30/20: .75"
1/31/20: .75"
2/2/20: 1.50"
2/8/20: 3.50"
2/9/20: 2.50"
2/20/20: 3.50"

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7 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I hope you are right. 

I think the setup for later next week is the best of the season for NWFS. The orientation of the moisture looks good and with the ,low bombing out near the northeast it could be a good one...

The GFS looks juicy 

snku_acc.us_ma (2).png

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6 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

I'm not sure that the atmosphere can support that kind of snowfall this season.  That would be sweet though!

11/12/19: 2"
11/24/19: 1"
12/1-2/19: 2.75"
12/10-11: 2"
12/14/19: 1.25"
12/17/19: 1"
1/4/20: 1.75"
1/7/20: 1.5"
1/20-21/20: 3"
1/25/20: 1"
1/27/20: 3"
1/30/20: .75"
1/31/20: .75"
2/2/20: 1.50"
2/8/20: 3.50"
2/9/20: 2.50"
2/20/20: 3.50"

For sure! Seems like if there is a way for us to get screwed we will.

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I think the setup for later next week is the best of the season for NWFS. The orientation of the moisture looks good and with the ,low bombing out near the northeast it could be a good one...
The GFS looks juicy 
677428708_snku_acc.us_ma(2).thumb.png.7c1dee04b3f6c7e3a69a978584605bb8.png


Agreed this is a great NWF setup.
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1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

I think the setup for later next week is the best of the season for NWFS. The orientation of the moisture looks good and with the ,low bombing out near the northeast it could be a good one...

The GFS looks juicy 

snku_acc.us_ma (2).png

Already more excited for this than whatever you call this last storm. Time to catch back up for the season!!!

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37 minutes ago, Hvward said:

 


Agreed this is a great NWF setup.

 

On a side note Hunter, if I ever see you apologize for a missed forecast again, I am going to come up to Candler and smack you upside the head. Lol. Dude, you were all over this thing and provided an immense amount of knowledge along the way. Thermals screwed up the bottom line but who cares, you forecasted the system very well.

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30 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

We haven't had any shortage of snow events up here.  Just no robust events.  Maybe this next one will be different.  

I'm gonna disagree for the northern counties, weve had maybe 2 "potential" NWFS events this whole winter. Like there have been flakes falling from the sky 6 maybe 7 times at the most this whole season which is well below the average number of opportunities.

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i often hear blacksburg mention west of the blue ridge in their forecasts. in weather terms, what area would that encompass. sorry if this seems like a stupid question. newbie here.

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2 hours ago, wncsnow said:

I think the setup for later next week is the best of the season for NWFS. The orientation of the moisture looks good and with the ,low bombing out near the northeast it could be a good one...

The GFS looks juicy 

snku_acc.us_ma (2).png

Of course as soon as i post this the Euro looks less impressive and doesn't dig the trough as deep..

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On a side note Hunter, if I ever see you apologize for a missed forecast again, I am going to come up to Candler and smack you upside the head. Lol. Dude, you were all over this thing and provided an immense amount of knowledge along the way. Thermals screwed up the bottom line but who cares, you forecasted the system very well.


Thank you. Shouldn’t let people get to me, but at times it happens.

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