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OBS thread 2P Mar 3-10A Mar 4 (snow, possible sleet s fringe)


wdrag
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4 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Seems outside of mid-lower Manhattan my 3-6 inch call for the city is about on target, maybe the North Bronx can get a bit more than that but roughly that should be the totals. 

3”-6” was proper. I’m gonna end with 5”-6” here in Whitestone, Queens. Brooklyn will end with around 3”.

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We really lucked out yesterday and tonight.  Assuming no more sleet, I think we make it to 6" pretty easily and maybe 7" if we get any backbuilding or pivoting as the low goes by (it's off of Cape May now.  Feel bad, though, for all the folks SE of 95 in SE PA/SNJ, who have mostly gotten 1-3" due to mixing and had their warnings downgraded to advisories, as per below.  

National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1242 AM EST Mon Mar 4 2019

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
Low pressure was centered about 100 miles off Cape May around
midnight. The low will continue deepening and moving to the
northeast. It should pass off Cape Cod shortly after daybreak.

The back edge of the precipitation extended across the
Susquehanna River Valley in Pennsylvania, as well as central
Maryland around midnight. It will continue to work its way
eastward, moving across our forecast area between 2:00 and 5:00.

Snow will continue in much of eastern Pennsylvania and northern
New Jersey. The mixed precipitation and rain in northeastern
Maryland, Delaware, extreme southeastern Pennsylvania and
southern New Jersey will change to snow before ending. The north
wind in our region will back to the northwest, bringing
additional cold air into our area.

Snowfall totals to the northwest of the Interstate 95 Corridor
should be mostly in the 4 to 8 inch range. A Winter Storm
Warning remains in effect for that area until 7:00.

The Winter Storm Warning has been downgraded to a Winter
Weather Advisory along the Interstate 95 Corridor south of
Trenton, as well as in the northern coastal counties of New
Jersey. Snow and sleet totals there should be generally 1 to 3
inches.

Map of Forecast Area

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1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

Holy crap under 40 dBZ blob right now and it's pouring snow.  Won't last too long, but wow.  As of 11 pm, we had 3.75", so 1" in the last hour, which is a nice increase.  32F still here in Metuchen.  Sleet line looks to be almost at the Raritan now, though.  Make it stop.  

So, just got in from shoveling in the midst of moderate to heavy snow. As of 12 am we have 4.5" of new snow, so 0.75" over the last hour. The sleet made 2 more runs at us, getting as far north as the Raritan, but apart from 5-10 minutes of mixing about an hour ago, it keeps collapsing back to our south (thank you rates). Fluctuating between 31 and 32F.  Pouring snow again, since I came inside.  I love shoveling in the absolute dead of night with heavy snow falling.  It's almost incomprehensibly beautiful out there right now, especially with the light rain and then wet snow, combined with little wind collaborating to allow everything stick to the trees.  If you haven't yet, get outside and go for a walk.  

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2 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

We really lucked out yesterday and tonight.  Assuming no more sleet, I think we make it to 6" pretty easily and maybe 7" if we get any backbuilding or pivoting as the low goes by (it's off of Cape May now.  Feel bad, though, for all the folks SE of 95 in SE PA/SNJ, who have mostly gotten 1-3" due to mixing and had their warnings downgraded to advisories, as per below.  


National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1242 AM EST Mon Mar 4 2019

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
Low pressure was centered about 100 miles off Cape May around
midnight. The low will continue deepening and moving to the
northeast. It should pass off Cape Cod shortly after daybreak.

The back edge of the precipitation extended across the
Susquehanna River Valley in Pennsylvania, as well as central
Maryland around midnight. It will continue to work its way
eastward, moving across our forecast area between 2:00 and 5:00.

Snow will continue in much of eastern Pennsylvania and northern
New Jersey. The mixed precipitation and rain in northeastern
Maryland, Delaware, extreme southeastern Pennsylvania and
southern New Jersey will change to snow before ending. The north
wind in our region will back to the northwest, bringing
additional cold air into our area.

Snowfall totals to the northwest of the Interstate 95 Corridor
should be mostly in the 4 to 8 inch range. A Winter Storm
Warning remains in effect for that area until 7:00.

The Winter Storm Warning has been downgraded to a Winter
Weather Advisory along the Interstate 95 Corridor south of
Trenton, as well as in the northern coastal counties of New
Jersey. Snow and sleet totals there should be generally 1 to 3
inches.

Map of Forecast Area

Yeah we did, it appears we had some of the best numbers, or better ones ( some are doing better than here ) for a change, but areas not far away did not do well; parts of Brooklyn for example, and E Brunswick, though they canceled school early ( their only snow day this year ) but in a year of nothing from Nov to the sleetfest a few weeks back, it's nice to see a couple snowstorms in our area. That March sun will vaporize it though. Can't have it all.

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1 minute ago, weatherpruf said:

The sleet seems to be kinda random. It isn't sleeting here but it is a bit north of me and south of me. Strange.

Yeah I'm finally getting some sleet here. Was just outside and we're just about up to 5 inches. At the very least we're making it to the low end of the NWS 5 to 8 inch forecast. Still a little ways to go, so I still think there's a decent chance we get to 6.

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3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah I'm finally getting some sleet here. Was just outside and we're just about up to 5 inches. At the very least we're making it to the low end of the NWS 5 to 8 inch forecast. Still a little ways to go, so I still think there's a decent chance we get to 6.

Still got snow here for the time being. Weren't we all supposed to rain at some point?

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