Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 2011 and no not even close at H5. Yeah 2011. This has some def similarities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Hard to envision we taint much on that NAM run. Maybe pasty 33-34F snow for a time on the coast. Rain reserved for the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GansettBay Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Any chance my hood (Newport) goes all snow on this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 15 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: What's H5? First winter on the board Its upper dynamics on the models, do you look at models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 15 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: What's H5? First winter on the board 500 millibar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah 2011. This has some def similarities None really 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 2, 2019 Author Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Its upper dynamics on the models, do you look at models? I just don't usually hear them worded that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: None really there's a low 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 6 hours ago, OceanStWx said: That sounds like a pretty solid place to be. I'd like to see trends towards deeper mid levels if I'm going to adjust up. I don't start shift again until Sunday night, so I'm just the clean up crew. Hopefully you wont be going in to play barber again like the last storm............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This reminds me of that Jan 27 2013 snowbomb . Dropped like 16” in 8-10 hours overnight I don’t think this will even come close to that. That thing was a beast...near blizzard conditions that night. This thing is wimpy compared to that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 2011 and no not even close at H5. Not close at all. That one was a powerhouse...this is nothing of the sort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hopefully you wont be going in to play barber again like the last storm............ By the time I get in, we’re going down with the ship. X has it tonight though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: By the time I get in, we’re going down with the ship. X has it tonight though. That's good, That map that is out is quite bold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 I hope we don’t run into the same issue as last night with convection robbing a good deal of moisture and the heaviest precipitation remaining south and east (speaking for CT). 500 kinda looks like crap and there doesn’t look to be a true 700 low here. There is potential for solid banding, but where does it set up? Flow aloft is still pretty crappy too. Hoping to be able to make a map around 5:30 when I can get to my laptop...or after the wolf Pack game 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This reminds me of that Jan 27 2013 snowbomb . Dropped like 16” in 8-10 hours overnight That’s called “The Buzzsaw”, and it was 2011, 2 weeks after the Blizzard of 2011. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Not close at all. That one was a powerhouse...this is nothing of the sort. None of the CIPS analogs are really good matches at all when I looked. The #1 one of 1/18/84 may be the best its not even that close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 So this one is sailing in uncharted waters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: None really If you looked, you’d see .. yes.. yes there are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: None of the CIPS analogs are really good matches at all when I looked. The #1 one of 1/18/84 may be the best its not even that close Ya I don’t know what he (DIT) was talking about, tomorrow is nothing like what he was talking about in 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just a little different, 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 NWS cut the snowfall forecast here in Enfield from 7-11" to 4-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 I’m going to end up going my conservative self tomorrow and then we’re going to get whacked I think I was focused on Bufkit soundings too much with last night and didn’t properly scout mid levels and other factors. Maybe 3-6” southern CT (mixing SE?) and 1-3” N CT? Or maybe go 2-4” N CT and 4-7” S CT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 This is very reasonable, Good job X 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I’m going to end up going my conservative self tomorrow and then we’re going to get whacked I think I was focused on Bufkit soundings too much with last night and didn’t properly scout mid levels and other factors. Maybe 3-6” southern CT (mixing SE?) and 1-3” N CT? Or maybe go 2-4” N CT and 4-7” S CT. Take 'em up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, DomNH said: Take 'em up. Congrats on the 18z nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 2, 2019 Author Share Posted March 2, 2019 GooFuS incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I’m going to end up going my conservative self tomorrow and then we’re going to get whacked I think I was focused on Bufkit soundings too much with last night and didn’t properly scout mid levels and other factors. Maybe 3-6” southern CT (mixing SE?) and 1-3” N CT? Or maybe go 2-4” N CT and 4-7” S CT. Seems low based on guidance but who knows. I was thinking 4-7 n conn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Congrats on the 18z nam. Meh. I enjoy the meteorology but I'm all set with the result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 21 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: By the time I get in, we’re going down with the ship. X has it tonight though. I’m guessing he wants to melt it all and get the greens in shape by Easter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I’m going to end up going my conservative self tomorrow and then we’re going to get whacked I think I was focused on Bufkit soundings too much with last night and didn’t properly scout mid levels and other factors. Maybe 3-6” southern CT (mixing SE?) and 1-3” N CT? Or maybe go 2-4” N CT and 4-7” S CT. BUFKIT omega/soundings are only as good as the model you're using. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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