Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 32 minutes ago, yoda said: Its Day 10 of the EURO... but since I am trying to learn: With that h5 in W Canada... is that good or bad? Also, looks like the Pacific isn't helping much as the PNA ridge is very small nosing into AK Dont think we want the nao ridge linking up with the flat ridge GOM. Like others said get something to cut between them ie keep the nao and GOM flat ridge (or whatever you want to call it) separate and that's a solid look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 34 minutes ago, osfan24 said: I agree. It hasn't been the worst pattern of all time, but it's been pretty close. The "big storm" of the season so far hit a relatively small area, and an even smaller area got the more significant totals thanks to a few localized bands that formed. Other than that, it's been pretty much a shutout winter other than a few very, very light events that were basically coatings to an inch. There's been very little to track, and as ugly as it has been for us, those north of us have had it even worse. There's really a rather small area between Columbia or so and parts of Southwest VA that have had a decent to good winter so far thanks to each having a pretty good storm. That event was a "fluke" kind of because it came during a very short window with a favorable look and something just came along at exactly the right time, took the perfect track, maxed potential, and even then half that snow was from some weird inverted trough type deal at the end. But I don't begrudge anyone their snow...I am genuinely happy for them, but I don't expect to continue to get that lucky if a similar pattern persists. I think Philly is having results more in line with the reality of this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 37 minutes ago, yoda said: Its Day 10 of the EURO... but since I am trying to learn: With that h5 in W Canada... is that good or bad? Also, looks like the Pacific isn't helping much as the PNA ridge is very small nosing into AK No trough in the east and no heights out west. How is that a good look?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Euro is colder/deeper with the trough d12-14 but appears to be similar with last night having 2 camps with no middle ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Euro is colder/deeper with the trough d12-14 but appears to be similar with last night having 2 camps with no middle ground. AK ridge is generally more amped and in better position late in the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: Euro is colder/deeper with the trough d10-13 but appears to be similar with last night having 2 camps with no middle ground. GEFS is the same but the 12z just had more members come over to the blocky/cold camp. But the meager snowfall on some of those members is really "ice" from some crazy west track that NEVER actually happens and is always in that GEFS skewing the mean high. (why the GEFS is always 2-3" higher than the EPS). But yea...still 2 obvious camps with some NICE eastern trough blocky snow looking members and some huge eastern ridge members. Regarding the "ridge hooking up with the mid latitudes" thing... that is a product of the NAO ridge not being a true cut off block on some members which is what we need. If the NAO is a true block it will force the trough in the west to cut under it. If it's just a weak ridge the trough out west can pump the ridge ahead of it and link the two up into a full latitude ridge. That wont happen if we get a true NAO block. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Euro is colder/deeper with the trough d12-14 but appears to be similar with last night having 2 camps with no middle ground. Lots of west tracks, nice tracks, and suppression on the members. Pretty easy to see if we get a true block than we have a good chance in the 10-12 day time. Most members have at least some semblance of a storm in the south during that time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2019 Author Share Posted January 31, 2019 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 When RIC and the beach get more snow than the Piedmont... This will never hold up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 This would work just fine 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Liking that west-based -NAO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2019 Author Share Posted January 31, 2019 I wonder what meltdown @Bobchill will wake up to tomorrow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, Ji said: I wonder what meltdown @Bobchill will wake up to tomorrow Probably you complaining that the GFS took away 3 inches of your snow for next weekend lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, Ji said: I wonder what meltdown @Bobchill will wake up to tomorrow Take the image above and change the reds to blue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 That storm off our sw coast looks a lot more potent than it did at 12z at the same time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Wait...what? But but but what about last night's runs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Looks like things may be lining up just right for next weekends storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 7 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Looks like things may be lining up just right for next weekends storm. Misses us south this run but next weekend looks primed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2019 Author Share Posted January 31, 2019 Probably you complaining that the GFS took away 3 inches of your snow for next weekend lolDidn't know it gave me 3 inches for next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Misses us south this run but next weekend looks primed. You're right . Spoke to soon. Rookie mistake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, Ji said: 17 minutes ago, yoda said: Probably you complaining that the GFS took away 3 inches of your snow for next weekend lol Didn't know it gave me 3 inches for next weekend Talking about the Feb 10 to 12 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Follow up storm looks better. 50/50 and -Nao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2019 Author Share Posted January 31, 2019 We haven't even started this weekend. Too early to worry about next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: We haven't even started this weekend. Too early to worry about next weekend Shut up Chuck 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 11 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: You're right . Spoke to soon. Rookie mistake. That's okay lol. We get nailed a couple days later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2019 Author Share Posted January 31, 2019 Shut up Chuck The non lands are warming 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Weeklies look very good. March is winter-like. After the warm-up next week, goes right into extended winter. Looks active too ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Lol classic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Lol classic LOL ha ha , really this time :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, Chris78 said: That's okay lol. We get nailed a couple days later #epicpattern #itsrealthistime 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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