CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Looks like 2-4 for BOS/here. Down half of what I thought. Harvey probably not liking the 6-12. Feel like we could see some nasty ice west of me and into Nw RI and CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like 2-4 for BOS/here. Down half of what I thought. Harvey probably not liking the 6-12. Feel like we could see some nasty ice west of me and into Nw RI and CT. Euro really really did well on the mid and upper levels. Once I saw that 5/6/7 runs in a row..you had a feeling more ice less snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Well if Scott is that negative, so am I, winter sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Anyone got the 6z Euro curious to know if it warmed at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Man this storm and winter pretty much can eat it. I’m all set. Good luck to north country. Scooter you called this early we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Torch not shocked w any outcome in this scenario but what a way to sucker punch a area on day 8 or more of model watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Scooter you called this early we shall see It’s fine up your way. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: It’s fine up your way. Enjoy. Ya...listen snow numbers are slashed everywhere , just I will stay below freezing big snows NNE as powderfreak ....wait Ginxy thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pretty much. These cold temps in the 20s prior to 7a really scream arctic antecedent air. What a pissah. And just like this winter has, this low will probably plow through my fanny as well. lol glad you werent around in the 80s then, this was a yearly occurrence back then. No one seems to be able to give a proper answer, what causes a pattern that gives us suppression that alternates with coastal huggers? We had that in the 80s and we have that now. The winters were colder back then but much less snowier. They had this same pattern though where storms either went way south when it was cold enough to snow and then they hugged the coast at other times- so we got screwed from all different directions. I refuse to believe it was just "luck" it happened every year, and this year is just like that. Was it because of the MJO (back then too?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: lol glad you werent around in the 80s then, this was a yearly occurrence back then. No one seems to be able to give a proper answer, what causes a pattern that gives us suppression that alternates with coastal huggers? We had that in the 80s and we have that now. The winters were colder back then but much less snowier. They had this same pattern though where storms either went way south when it was cold enough to snow and then they hugged the coast at other times- so we got screwed from all different directions. I refuse to believe it was just "luck" it happened every year, and this year is just like that. Was it because of the MJO (back then too?) I was. I’m 39. It’s a frightening throwback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: lol glad you werent around in the 80s then, this was a yearly occurrence back then. No one seems to be able to give a proper answer, what causes a pattern that gives us suppression that alternates with coastal huggers? We had that in the 80s and we have that now. The winters were colder back then but much less snowier. They had this same pattern though where storms either went way south when it was cold enough to snow and then they hugged the coast at other times- so we got screwed from all different directions. I refuse to believe it was just "luck" it happened every year, and this year is just like that. Was it because of the MJO (back then too?) Your not gonna receive many answers today man , women and children should hide If things ticker another hair milder aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Torch not shocked w any outcome in this scenario but what a way to sucker punch a area on day 8 or more of model watching I still think this ends up cooler at the sfc, but yeah, that’s why it’s useless obsessing over details at d8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: I still think this ends up cooler at the sfc, but yeah, that’s why it’s useless obsessing over details at d8. A colder rain, great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 fyi--what a hoot if the amounts in the 90% probability played out. EDIT: the ice map isn't embedding right. The new ice map is icier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I was. I’m 39. It’s a frightening throwback. ah, nostalgia..... in the words of the immortal Billy Joel, "the good ole days weren't always good." https://www.billyjoel.com/song/keeping-faith-7/ ‘Cause the good ole days weren’t Always good And tomorrow ain’t as bad as it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 It could happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: It could happen... Don’t fear the reaper ....the sleet reaper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: A colder rain, great. I’m jealous if you sneak in a dew of 50F. My driveway needs to melt asap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: I still think this ends up cooler at the sfc, but yeah, that’s why it’s useless obsessing over details at d8. Yeah It’s staying below 32 almost down to w 2/3 of CT coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I believe we maybe at the bargaining stage .... anyway we’ll see it we late tickle se . 6z gfs didn’t seem to go nw w thermals stayed torchy thou Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just catching up. Man, I may be wrong about the sleet getting a good fight. But we'll see, still have a feeling we'll see a fight between 06z-12z from pike to ASH. Looks like some of the guidance is starting to get a better clue on the surface track though...06z GFS finally came southeast with sfc low...still way too warm at sfc though but we are not going to see a track into interior SNE like it was attempting earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah It’s staying below 32 almost down to w 2/3 of CT coast I haven’t looked at enough to comment for down there, but if these midlevels had been like this all along (no gloom and doom from the late warm trends) we’d probably be saying to watch for the CAD to overperform and the low to hug the south coast and go over the canal or something. Maybe we can get a tick south at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This is why we don’t throw huge totals out as forecasts 3 days before game time...go conservative. That first BOX map was destined to go down in flames... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: This is why we don’t throw huge totals out as forecasts 3 days before game time...go conservative. That first BOX map was destined to go down in flames... TWC still have 3ft for N MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: I haven’t looked at enough to comment for down there, but if these midlevels had been like this all along (no gloom and doom from the late warm trends) we’d probably be saying to watch for the CAD to overperform and the low to hug the south coast and go over the canal or something. Maybe we can get a tick south at 12z. I'm counting on Messenger shifts to maximize my snow. Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: This is why we don’t throw huge totals out as forecasts 3 days before game time...go conservative. That first BOX map was destined to go down in flames... How about the TWC forecast? I hope Brian kept that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: TWC still have 3ft for N MA? Start high, you can always adjust higher. Are you fashioning tiny helmets for your flock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Man this storm and winter pretty much can eat it. I’m all set. Good luck to north country. Yup... writing has been on the wall down here for a few runs. Bright side is, any snow at work should be minimal. Going in at 630am tomorrow, shouldn’t be a long day... probably will even before well before both games start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: This is why we don’t throw huge totals out as forecasts 3 days before game time...go conservative. That first BOX map was destined to go down in flames... Ha. Then I see State College wasn't the only one going big on this one when perhaps they shouldn't have. Even as late as last night, they had the 8-12 inch gradient running through Harrisburg, PA to just north of Allentown, PA which many thought was considerably overdone. Turns out we might have been right as they have backed off considerably with this morning's new forecasts and updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Just catching up. Man, I may be wrong about the sleet getting a good fight. But we'll see, still have a feeling we'll see a fight between 06z-12z from pike to ASH. Looks like some of the guidance is starting to get a better clue on the surface track though...06z GFS finally came southeast with sfc low...still way too warm at sfc though but we are not going to see a track into interior SNE like it was attempting earlier. What makes you change your mind? I am not home. What changed on modeling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Kev gets his ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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