#NoPoles Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: It did, though. Most went from getting zero snowfall, to several inches. Obviously we have only had one storm...yes the gradient pushed further south so that is a change...but the pattern before was also a gradient winter interspersed with cutters...so we are still sticking with the gradient pattern interspersed with cutters(going with the next storm on deck is a cutter)...so if the only change is that the gradient shifted further south...ok yes, it has for that one storm so far...but my perception is that it really wasnt that much of a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Right ...right because that is physically the end of the perennial solar nadir ... which begins November 10 and ends on that Feb date... every year... A 6th grade complexity Earth -sun relationship facet that for some reason (gee I wonder why) doesn't seem to penetrate some individuals in this short-bus forum My house faces due south so my driveway is bathed in sun. Sitting in my car earlier soaking in full sun felt amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 minute ago, #NoPoles said: Obviously we have only had one storm...yes the gradient pushed further south so that is a change...but the pattern before was also a gradient winter interspersed with cutters...so we are still sticking with the gradient pattern interspersed with cutters(going with the next storm on deck is a cutter)...so if the only change is that the gradient shifted further south...ok yes, it has for that one storm so far...but my perception is that it really wasnt that much of a change. Its not as large of a change as we want, agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: And light fall rates melting on wind shields due to increasing solar irradiance, despite cloudy skies and subfreezing temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 34 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: What's the over/under for how many days until somebody makes a sincere post about sun angle starting to effect daytime snow chances? I'm guessing we get one by the weekend. Your late, It was already mentioned two weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hi my first thought when I think of you isn't "funny". I can search for more adjectives if you like, such as perky, provocative, relentless, determined. Thinking of you though reminds me that Ryan is sometimes really funny. Top 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 44 minutes ago, weathafella said: Dendrite that would be Brian. His rise wasn't subtle. It was sudden, it was like "bam! that dude is funny!" It was a revelation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Your late, It was already mentioned two weeks ago. Who??? MPM, Whineminster, Taunton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Wow that’s impressive. Was it around the same for BDL? It was certainly one of the most impressive cold shots I’ve experienced. Yes sir....Bradley saw it's coldest High temp in almost 40 years yesterday(since 1981) at 4 above for the high temp. Super impressive that's for sure. This was colder than everything since 1981 at BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Who??? MPM, Whineminster, Taunton? The sun angle thing...not that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 On 1/16/2019 at 3:54 PM, leo2000 said: Hopefully some big blizzards come soon. As we are entering the end of the "winter"as the sun angle starts getting stronger. Just a few weeks away. 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Who??? MPM, Whineminster, Taunton? , Oh leo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Euro not sucking through 144? Tip's relaxation below 35n maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Right ...right because that is physically the end of the perennial solar nadir ... which begins November 10 and ends on that Feb date... every year... A 6th grade complexity Earth -sun relationship facet that for some reason (gee I wonder why) doesn't seem to penetrate some individuals in this short-bus forum Jesus, chill...its a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jesus, chill...its a joke. Right!!??....Holy heck the guy constantly compares this forum with a Mental Institution lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Judah hanging on for dear life: "However the MJO is expected to trnasition to five and six over the next two weeks. MJO phases 4-6 favors ridging over eastern North America with mild temperatures and troughing over western North America with cold temperatures. It is not obvious to me that the MJO is influencing North American weather. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2019 Author Share Posted January 22, 2019 11 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: My house faces due south so my driveway is bathed in sun. Sitting in my car earlier soaking in full sun felt amazing I like those too... those moments when your in a kind of "nook" that's cozy. It's an autumn and spring phenomenon. Sometimes on that rare April day when April isn't being the more typical asshole, I like those faux mild moments like that. Those moments that actually cause Keven pain ... thank god! But uh, we get that in October sometimes going the other way. An early chilly air mass in a calm wind over saffron leaf fall with still relative sun warmth has its splendor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2019 Author Share Posted January 22, 2019 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Right!!??....Holy heck the guy constantly compares this forum with a Mental Institution lol... and the same people get freaked out by it for a reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2019 Author Share Posted January 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jesus, chill...its a joke. It's a joke that happens because people want to vent their frustrations .. which is fake. It's a baggage -based joke - that's eye-rolling and I'm going to bite back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What a lucky woman. Ha, I get better attention from my 5 year old when talking weather. Usually 30 seconds into a scientific explanation she will interrupt with.... So is it going to snow? and how much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Day 8 EURO has a upper 970s SLP over extreme NW ME lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's a joke that happens because people want to vent their frustrations .. which is fake. It's a baggage -based joke - that's eye-rolling and I'm going to bite back. No, it was just a joke on my end. Baggage? I'll leave that alone- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Strange evolution for that storm on the 12 Euro @hr180 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Day 8 EURO has a upper 970s SLP over extreme NW ME lol N NY/N VT crushed... cold air nearby for SNE, but its in the upper 40s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Day 8 EURO has a upper 970s SLP over extreme NW ME lol That would be it for me...my frustration would propagate onto the keyboard. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Strange evolution for that storm on the 12 Euro @hr180 I’m long gone for that storm if it’s another Rainer / Vt bound Looking forward to tracking that for 30’model cycles then having it go poof w this fast flow split jet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m long gone for that storm if it’s another Rainer / Vt bound You probably should have done this a couple weeks back, Because you know, That sun angle...................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Day 8 looks like one of those "pattern flipper" type storms lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2019 Author Share Posted January 22, 2019 19 minutes ago, MJOatleast7 said: Judah hanging on for dear life: "However the MJO is expected to trnasition to five and six over the next two weeks. MJO phases 4-6 favors ridging over eastern North America with mild temperatures and troughing over western North America with cold temperatures. It is not obvious to me that the MJO is influencing North American weather. " While I don't speak to his exact motivation for making that statement - assuming he really did ... - my own impressions of the MJO significance arrives me to a similar conclusion. The MJO is just another index in a myriad of them ...Each can be dominate at any given time ...masking the influence of the others because its magnitude/forcing is much bigger... Then, the given index fades ...and some other gets its turn; it then masks influence, and it seems like it's the whole game. All the while, some of these indexes are even effected by the other ...given time dependencies... If the surrounding hemispheric medium is in phase with the MJO ... it will "seem" like the MJO is driving the whole thing... when what it may (most likely...) be doing is only enhancing. Folks should read up on "destructive" vs "constructive" wave interference in physics - it'll help elucidate what this is all about... and perhaps open a door to a deeper understanding of why say ... Phase 8 did A but this time it did X ...and that goes to other Phases ... as well, why NAOs and PNAs and WPOs and all of them are at times more than less seemingly correlated to resulting patterns. All that, which represents the maelstrom of the atmosphere, creates a reality where there are no absolutes. Because a Phase 8 this did that, but didn't do that the next time... and on and so on, the correlations are never 1::1. And in fact, there are no indexes that correlated perfectly with either adjacent indexes, or patterns. ... But some can and do correlated very highly... As far as the MJO in the here-and-now: I see that as almost identical to that which preceded the recent Phase 8... I recall several weeks ago this wave was in Phase 5 and was segmented with similar timing intervals, as well... similar magnitude separated from the COD/inner region. The wave painfully unfurled through Phase 6....then 7... finally 8... I wonder if we're just going to repeat that whole cycling ... regardless of whether it seems to(or not) correlate with patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 9 minutes ago, yoda said: Day 8 EURO has a upper 970s SLP over extreme NW ME lol I'm guessing it didn't take a roundabout route thru the North Atlantic to get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 6 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Day 8 looks like one of those "pattern flipper" type storms lol. To set up the mega NAO ridge for May lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.