Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 I mean ... if this were ever to pass UNDER Long Island ... which I almost wonder if it could even physically do that... ho ho ho ho... 1978? 1947? ... 1888? MORONS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I mean ... if this were ever to pass UNDER Long Island ... which I almost wonder if it could even physically do that... ho ho ho ho... 1978? 1947? ... 1888? MORONS! Morons? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Morons? Oh... you probably haven't seen "Princes Bride" - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Check out the 12z EURO lol... 968mb SLP at the VT/Canada border at 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, yoda said: Check out the 12z EURO lol... 968mb SLP at the VT/Canada border at 168 Nice to see models showing a more -NAO. I think the 25/26 will be the next big storm, that PNA looks really nice too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Good thing we go with ensembles this far out because op euro doesn’t look so good in the lr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 That's probably pushing the limit in SD for that particular lat/lon in the mid levels... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That's probably pushing the limit in SD for that particular lat/lon in the mid levels... Tip, I think we are the only two New England board members who experienced the Cleveland Super Bomb. This looks similar IMO. -30c reaching Kentucky??? WTF is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That's probably pushing the limit in SD for that particular lat/lon in the mid levels... And here you were saying the PV can't totally go in under at our latitude.....all kidding aside, that's pretty funny to see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That's probably pushing the limit in SD for that particular lat/lon in the mid levels... How about these wind chills in the Dakotas wth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 if perhaps for muse only ...you know, there is a 1978 ness about all this... like, this 20-21st thing is some how a dirty analog for that year... then, (D10) Euro with a dirty analog for the Cleavage Super Boob ... then, what happens after ? heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Oh... you probably haven't seen "Princes Bride" - Inconceivable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: And here you were saying the PV can't totally go in under at our latitude.....all kidding aside, that's pretty funny to see that. Ha ha... I've been doing that a lot lately ... saying one thing than the models deliberately challenge... Although, in my defense... I did say "... wonder if that is physically possible" - not really that it can't. I just don'te recall ever seeing sub -486 dm atmospheric abyss S of LI.... . OH, do I WANT to see that? f' yes! but I think something like that would be the very first time that has happened. - if that is not the very first time that image above ever happened either. wow - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Euro tries to go Nov 50 on us with that d10 system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Euro tries to go Nov 50 on us with that d10 system. Trees being uprooted out of the snow pack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Trees being uprooted out of the snow pack Ice encased flying tree debris in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 21 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Tip, I think we are the only two New England board members who experienced the Cleveland Super Bomb. This looks similar IMO. -30c reaching Kentucky??? WTF is that? Yeah ...it came to mind... but it's actually an analog that's weakened by the fact that the gradient is so strong... That's not saying anything to cyclogenic parameterizaton of this run's look ... I'm talking specifically about the evolution aloft. This run does subsume... at 144 hours, you can see a 'dent' in the isohypsic layout up there in NW Canada... shortly after that trips over the flow and races SE (like a roller coaster toppling the big arc) ...the arc amplifies N and that induces the western end of the SPV to crash S over the boarder... But, the ally-'oop S/W is by then down in TX (or so...) and the two end up dangerously collocated in by the time it all mashes up in the western OV... That total behavior is very similar ...if not eerily so ... buuut, doing so with 8 close isotachs that's a hugely unusual circumstance, one that even beats out the CSB by multiple SD when also considering the scale of total involvement in that integrated storm energy - ... that's really not believable.. .but that's another discussion. As is... the hyper gradient limits the total comparative value - I think... curious what other Mets think. Isn't there also an analog tool but oh wait... probably not available with gov shut down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Ha ha... I've been doing that a lot lately ... saying one thing than the models deliberately challenge... Although, in my defense... I did say "... wonder if that is physically possible" - not really that it can't. I just don'te recall ever seeing sub -486 dm atmospheric abyss S of LI.... . OH, do I WANT to see that? f' yes! but I think something like that would be the very first time that has happened. - if that is not the very first time that image above ever happened either. wow - Nearing peak winter climo. If there was ever a time for this to be physically possible it would be the end of January/early February... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How about these wind chills in the Dakotas wth - 63 ?! yeeeeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Trees being uprooted out of the snow pack Scooter says there won’t be any snowpack after the furnace cutter Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 Breath taking model run with those -30 C, 850 mb temperatures/plume wrapping around the cyclone in a 70 mph maelstrom ...right over Lake Michigan. When that relaxes on the next panel folks better hope it doesn't do it all at once cause that would trigger one hell of a seiche wave event in Chi Town for one... But the open water under that kind of cold - that's ludicrous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: if perhaps for muse only ...you know, there is a 1978 ness about all this... like, this 20-21st thing is some how a dirty analog for that year... then, (D10) Euro with a dirty analog for the Cleavage Super Boob ... then, what happens after ? heh '78 has been one of Ray's analogs in his seasonal outlook. I might substitute another word for that LR Euro map. "Inconceivable!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 hours ago, Hoth said: Do you happen to remember what 850s looked like for that huge cold blast in February '16? I'm just wondering for comparison's sake. This was the peak of it in the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 12z Euro Ensembles show a storm signal offshore at Day 9. Some of the individual members are quite strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: if perhaps for muse only ...you know, there is a 1978 ness about all this... like, this 20-21st thing is some how a dirty analog for that year... then, (D10) Euro with a dirty analog for the Cleavage Super Boob ... then, what happens after ? heh My main analog this season. HM and I were pimping that analog on twitter last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: This was the peak of it in the northeast. Thank you. So -40s is a totally different league. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 20 minutes ago, Hoth said: '78 has been one of Ray's analogs in his seasonal outlook. I might substitute another word for that LR Euro map. "Inconceivable!" Hadn't seen this...sorry for redundancy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Thank you. So -40s is a totally different league. Wow. Yes it would be...but the 2016 cold shot was actually centered a bit below 850mb once you take into account lapse rates....we had colder 850 temps in 2004 and yet 2016 crushed those numbers. ORH recorded their coldest temp since 1957 in the 2016 outbreak. The anomalies were greater down in the 925mb range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: And here you were saying the PV can't totally go in under at our latitude.....all kidding aside, that's pretty funny to see that. Looks like a graphic from "The Day After Tomorrow." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, HimoorWx said: Looks like a graphic from "The Day After Tomorrow." Or The Dawn Awakening: Volume 33: Rain on the Cape 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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