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Bob Chill

January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast

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3 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Hard to tell on IWM, but it looks like 1.25” qpf for DC on the NAM thru 31 hrs.  Oh, NAM.

Even if you us the standard short range nam reality adjustment it's still .60

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Still coming down hard after sunset tomorrow evening, according to the NAM.

I would've never expected a deform band like this a few days ago.

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1 minute ago, JakkelWx said:

NAM doing NAM things.

Lol our yards look to get crushed even tho we flirt with the 850 mb 0 line as the coastal gets cranking.

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Just now, Chris78 said:

Wow!!!!

namconus_apcpn_neus_12.png

And it's not even finished. Still coming down. Maybe that 8" SREF mean in NE MD isn't as crazy as I thought. Or the NAM is just being the NAM. But still.... 

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1 minute ago, MN Transplant said:

It is just hanging around all afternoon.  1.5”+

Damn. Even .75 is a crushing. Good 6z and 12z so far

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Just now, Snowman. said:

Most Weenie NAM run ever.

It's top 5 for the circumstance, but it has a long way to go before approaching the #1 status lol. 36-48 hours before Nemo in Feb 2013 in Boston, it had 55-60" near the metro. Nothing has come close haha

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If this was 60+ hours away, I'd dismiss it immediately, but we're inside 36 hours and we have the NAM nuking most of us. I don't know what to make of this... it's one of the most stunning runs I've seen in ages.

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Just now, Bob Chill said:

Damn. Even .75 is a crushing. Good 6z and 12z so far

Storybook DC special unfolding and even does well way up here ..great run!!

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Look at the trend map. This has been coming. it was only a matter of time

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