BuffaloWeather Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 radar looks pretty lame with no strong bands anywhere, be surprised if someone gets 2' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 25 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Nothing here so far That will be the theme for the whole event for us. Luckily my job for the next several days is at 1700 ft just north of Springville, should be a fun time hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: radar looks pretty lame with no strong bands anywhere, be surprised if someone gets 2' Yeah I’m surprised at how crappy radar looks... hopefully the shortwaves coming through will enhance the snowfall otherwise we’ll see max totals closer to 1’ than 2’... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 About 1” of snow with light flurries just north of Springville... not off to a good start to this event, have a gut feeling that KBUF was way over zealous with this event... as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, WesterlyWx said: About 1” of snow with light flurries just north of Springville... not off to a good start to this event, have a gut feeling that KBUF was way over zealous with this event... as usual. Slow down boys...the upstream looks great, plenty of moisture to work with for the next 36 hours and no shear. Also every channel I watched stated nothing was really going to get going until later today so let's let it play out. Ok done being the voice of reason, my next post will be fire and brimstone!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Woke up to a couple inches here on the western side of the Tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Back edge is starting to show itself but does it come to and end for a time drys out and then the fun begins? Really windy though I can attest to that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 13 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Slow down boys...the upstream looks great, plenty of moisture to work with for the next 36 hours and no shear. Also every channel I watched stated nothing was really going to get going until later today so let's let it play out. Ok done being the voice of reason, my next post will be fire and brimstone!!! Its still raining here, lol, smh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 hour ago, manhattanandcatskills said: About a half to 3/4 of inch in Delhi, 1550' with very light snow continuing... 2" - 3" on the hilltops at 5:30 this morning. A lot different than Delhi proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Light snow here right now but the temperature is still at 34 so it’s not sticking yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Don't you just love how that High pressure just HAS to move SE at the same time the Low is moving NE this weekend? Just in time to squash it... Tough winter so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Looks like we get the lull after-all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 If only last nights deluge was snow, we'd be buried. It's just amazing how easy it is for the atmosphere to rain, but when it comes to snow it seems like its always confused for some reason, lol! Super windy here though as thats a lock with this event, high winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Looks like we have to wait for this next batch of moisture to get things going again as temps aren't cold enough for a response yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Agreed. Slow pathetic start. 3k NAM at 12z looks great for the SE Ontario region. I see Tim is on back on the forum. Everything coming together. Upstream looks good. Big streamers off Georgian Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Snow coming down a bit better here north of Springville. About 1.5” down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Tidbits site has been acting real clunky. Is the shutdown hurting it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 This looks to be a entire south shore enhanced event. My guess advisories and warming to be expanded later today. Monroe county may get a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 High Rez Canadian which is doing well right now, keeps us dry till 7-8 pm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Hi Res NAM really lights up overnight for entire south shore. Will be interesting to see if that lobe of moisture and shortwave ignite the lake this evening. The cold air is still lagging behind so I don't think we have to start panicking just yet. Also, I realize this is literally as weenie-ish as you can get, but Hour 384 on the 12z GFS is pretty much the most perfect Miller A one could hope for. Almost looks like 93. What a beaut, enjoy it while you can as it will be gone by the 18z run. haha. The East coast is active though over the next few weeks, we just can't get the timing right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 South shore should light up around 4 or 5. Go all night to about noon tomorrow. I could see someone getting a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 37 minutes ago, tim123 said: This looks to be a entire south shore enhanced event. My guess advisories and warming to be expanded later today. Monroe county may get a warning. It occurred to me too! The only down side will be the strong winds. We’d like to see a little more time over the lake. High end advisory for Eastern Suburbs. Including Walworth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 We may be headed into a stretch of cold and stormy not seen since the 70s. From now into march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Dave may be a case where airport does better that lake shore because of winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Dave may be a case where airport does better that lake shore because of winds Could be the case in CNY also. Hills south of SYR will do well with these winds, nearer the lake may get blown over. Seeding may help...and maybe some wind reduction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 At least it will be coolder this evening, hopefully we can cash in on some decent ratios.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 17 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Hi Res NAM really lights up overnight for entire south shore. Will be interesting to see if that lobe of moisture and shortwave ignite the lake this evening. The cold air is still lagging behind so I don't think we have to start panicking just yet. Also, I realize this is literally as weenie-ish as you can get, but Hour 384 on the 12z GFS is pretty much the most perfect Miller A one could hope for. Almost looks like 93. What a beaut, enjoy it while you can as it will be gone by the 18z run. haha. The East coast is active though over the next few weeks, we just can't get the timing right. Interestingly enough, the GFS, IIRC, does a pretty good job at predicting these big storms/signals well in advance. Sandy, 93 are two examples that the 'American' model grabbed on to a week in advance. Granted, this is way more than a week, but keep watching! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just cleaned up. 3 to 4 inches of very heavy, wet snow. Light snow falling right now. Waiting upon the lake effect snow now. This is when elevation helps. 15 minutes down the road 500 to 700 feet lower in Williamstown they didn't get anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 King City radar is looking better... https://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=wkr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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