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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Which I hope doesn’t translate to July 5 days in a row of 71, 69, 70, 70 and 71 with 4 of the 5 days rain
  2. TWC has 80’s for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday next week
  3. Isn’t is funny that suddenly KBUF and KSYR are now in the same ballpark as KROC and KART?
  4. I think it’s hilarious that ALL modeling has come in underdone and no one wants to fix it. It’s been snowing in Williamsville since 3 and ellicotville has about 3” otg yet somehow NO ADVISORY for the southern tier!
  5. Already mixing with snow in Williamsville. Temp 40
  6. So my question is, why Cleveland, at a lower level than KBUF is in the 5” range and NF dusting? Dynamics are there and timing is right with overnight precip.
  7. I tried to join but Captcha kept repeating and not letting me past that point. Tried four times…pretty sure I’m human…
  8. Looks like the 6z GFS wants to keep winter around periodically through months end…
  9. This. It’s the new norm. I’m certain there isn’t much forecast skill or true modeling this far out, but what other anomaly would it be? 10 months out of each year now are AN with 2 BN. On a side note, end of April does look cold (relatively speaking)
  10. Really I have to ask, I know the department of redundancy department, 2 degrees warmer just 60 miles away? From the FWIW department, the eastern end of Lake Erie is full of ice and 32 degrees…yet somehow…
  11. That’s not a “thanks” emoji that’s a championship emoji…GSB W
  12. Travelled through this last night on way home with family from Orangeburg NY. 81 N about 45 miles south of Syracuse, right through the city then about 35 east on 90 was a mitigated disaster. Cars literally stopped in lanes of traffic on 81 N causing ridiculous delays and treacherous roads made it that much worse. Pretty sure at one point it was 3-4” hour rates, pitch dark and in the hills.
  13. Just going to comment. Looks like chances right into the first full week of April. We should be used to this by now though. It’s been this way for the past 5 or so years
  14. I would tend to believe in 2 days that outlook will be solid blue over the Great Lakes and North East. Could be pretty cold too as those anomalies on the euro and gfs would have temps in the 30’s.
  15. So the 18z GFS continued the colder look by months end and doubled down. Rather wintry look.
  16. I think with ratios, especially Friday night-early Saturday is when we’ll see our best accumulation.
  17. NAM seems to have gone rogue with the Far East solution…my thoughts are the overrunning event Friday night had more juice than previously modeled
  18. Seems like the models are adding more QPF back west towards WNY. Each model has raised the amounts an 1” or 2. Most now show a 4-6” swath or more.
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