Still heavy snow in Williamsville and yes a definite shift to the south soon…but it might oscillate around a bit later today and tonight. Winds don’t veer until tomorrow so someone or several of us might be in for a surprise.
Agreed. Every satellite pic of Lake Erie have shown great open areas on the East end and slush ice in the central basin. Snowing moderately here now as well and this could surprise.
So I take umbrage with the Euro. It’s south of the other models which means the warm air tongue isn’t in play which means a colder overall solution .4 at KBUF but 4”? 10-1? Toss. It would equate with ratios of 15-1 to 7”.
I do believe 6-10” is the WNY/Niagara Frontier area. Southern tier is a bit less due to sleet. Enhancement will play a key role from 90 corridor north to Lake Ontario.