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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Ahhh but it does show quite a bit of enhancement which I believe will play out, and really the Euro is in its own at this point
  2. Depends on the transfer. If the primary holds on longer then no. Not surprisingly the models are struggling with this.
  3. Yeah I’m thinking the central southern tier towards Binghamton. WNY as Devin posted looks 6-10” with enhancement and ratios.
  4. I’d like to say I’ve never seen the NWS so confused but I’d be lying…
  5. Wolfie you’re the guru of NWS text posts…any idea where/why the NWS stated a lull in precip for Thursday night??? Do they have a secret model or are they just losing it???
  6. Which if you look at the LR globals they all show the Niagara Frontier with the least amount of QPF…this SHOULD be the exact opposite with those wind trajectories
  7. Oddly I’ve always felt March was October, April was September, may was August and June and July were on their own.
  8. True whiteout with the frontal passage. Can’t see across street. Insane.
  9. GFS has been fairly consistent in showing that system for late next week as a cold one with lots of moisture. I have to believe this COULD be a pretty big system in terms of accumulation, one where even Matt could enjoy in on the fun…maybe…
  10. Never officially lost my pack in Williamsville either, about 3” we’re left in the yard picked up about 4” over night and snowing lightly ATM.
  11. I’m backing off in the amounts in Northern Erie as well, 1-3” tops. At this point I also don’t believe Niagara or Orleans counties receive warning level snows.
  12. Had a birdseye view from my truck today while in the 90. That area of the Buffalo River was jammed with ice throughout and the water level was no more than 2-3 feet from the bottom of the Harlem Rd bridge.
  13. Only the people on this blog pull for treacherous conditions while traveling…
  14. KBUF down to 36. I think that high end amount has a 70% chance of occurring. That lines up almost identical to the GFS has been showing for about 36 hours now. Williamsville down to 35…we’re right there
  15. Temp down to 37 already in Williamsville. Things are ahead of schedule IMO
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