Wolfie you’re the guru of NWS text posts…any idea where/why the NWS stated a lull in precip for Thursday night??? Do they have a secret model or are they just losing it???
Which if you look at the LR globals they all show the Niagara Frontier with the least amount of QPF…this SHOULD be the exact opposite with those wind trajectories
GFS has been fairly consistent in showing that system for late next week as a cold one with lots of moisture. I have to believe this COULD be a pretty big system in terms of accumulation, one where even Matt could enjoy in on the fun…maybe…
I’m backing off in the amounts in Northern Erie as well, 1-3” tops. At this point I also don’t believe Niagara or Orleans counties receive warning level snows.
Had a birdseye view from my truck today while in the 90. That area of the Buffalo River was jammed with ice throughout and the water level was no more than 2-3 feet from the bottom of the Harlem Rd bridge.
KBUF down to 36. I think that high end amount has a 70% chance of occurring. That lines up almost identical to the GFS has been showing for about 36 hours now. Williamsville down to 35…we’re right there