Thinksnow18
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Everything posted by Thinksnow18
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That’s Blizzard worthy
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This is pure snow globe stuff
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That heavy snow is now in Williamsville…big dendrites probably 1”/hour stuff.
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I thought the exact same thing earlier! 19 felt like 32 in the brief sunshine we received today.
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Has the jester dethroned the king?
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I look at the pattern change next week in a good way for us snow lovers. After the 48 hours or so of puke mild air, we get into several waves that could bring some substantial snows to the CWA. As I believe BW pointed out earlier there will be a stalled frontal zone somewhere near NY and PA with slit of energy riding along it. If it’s far enough to our SE we could be in for some appreciable snows during that stretch.
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Just for local hydro issues alone I’m hoping that does not happen. There is alot of water in this snowpack and every creek around here is deeply frozen over. Would be a local disaster.
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I agree about the snow piles, especially street corners in the busier roads. I’m not going to complain though as just a month ago we were staring at grass and mud. What difference a month makes.
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About the same here in Williamsville. 4” would be great.
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Snow rates are the same as the last post…I’m guessing at this rate 4” not out if the question which would be about 6” in 2 days. I can’t remember the last time we had this healthy a snowpack and it’s just getting better.
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It’s heavy snow in Williamsville with very tiny dendrites. If they were a bit healthier this would definitely over perform
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Just going to mention it’s actually borderline +SN right now. Very small flake size but visibility has really dropped. About an 1 1/2” new snow.
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And that’s as of 8am
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And the towns people rioted after all the snow suddenly disappeared…
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Way to go D!
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And IIRC the RGEM was excellent with the last lake effect event. Hoping you guys in the southtowns get a good hit. And if we do receive another 6-10” in much of WNY through the end of the week the snowpack will be the deepest area wide in some time.
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Isn’t 240 exactly where the event that hammered Williamsville south to Lancaster last time? Maybe the lack of residence time?
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Agreed. There was great snow in the southtowns this past storm but the definite majority was up north. Niagara county got rocked and had to close schools beyond MLK day. What’s weird is for once the airport has more snow that many southtowns locales, and that’s definitely not the norm.
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The southtowns crew did not get the 90% of the synoptic, the northtowns were over 20” in most cases and almost 2 feet in parts of Niagara county. Might have your storms confused?
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Must be on a 250/255 flow?
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I’ve witnessed blizzards, heat waves over 100 degrees, tropical systems, severe weather of all types…but I’ve never experienced cold like that. That’s something I would like to feel.
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I’m calling you the great Kreskin of snow predictions. The NWS text this am repeats exactly what you stated regarding the “sneaky” LES opportunity for Saturday night Sunday morning for Buffalo.
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Yes that was the 6z GFS. They switched places
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Couldn’t help but notice the clipper pattern for next week is all over the place. The 0z; 6z and 12z are all very different for next Tuesday in regards to placement of the clipper. What concerns me is it shifting north of us again like thus mornings LP and we get into this 3 days of dry Arctic and one day of upper 30’s and mix precip.
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I think there has been a good deal of data to suggest the new GFS is superior to the ECMWF. The GFS has lead the way so far this winter sniffing out the track and the consistency within 4-5 days lead time. It may not be the best just before the event but I’ve noticed the other models playing catch-up to the GFS…might change but I’m not expecting it.
