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stormtracker

December 9/10 Storm

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1 minute ago, osfan24 said:

Wow, it would not take much over the next 24 hours to put Nova and even DC into some good snow. Still probably not much north of that, but maybe some flakes or light snow.

But as mentioned I think that’s virga?

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4 minutes ago, cae said:

That's composite reflectivity.  The NAMs have been giving us a virga storm for a while.  North of DC much of that doen't reach the ground.

Yea ...most likely correct about the virga but it looks pretty though

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I've gotta say, this is really thrilling to watch, even though it probably won't go all January 2010 on us.

If anything, it shows that good north trends can happen, even if it isn't north enough for most of us this time. Hope it buries Richmond and Fredericksburg.

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3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

3k has the IR deform band in place. Radar will catch up at 0z

nam3km_ir_us_26.png

With that look, you'd think the storm would at least reach Philly.

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5 minutes ago, WesternFringe said:

You don't think the 3KNAM is a legit model within 24 hours onset?  I am asking this seriously

The 3K NAM has a whopping 0.0" of precipitation for anywhere north of Woodbridge.

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2 minutes ago, snjókoma said:

The 3K NAM has a whopping 0.0" of precipitation for anywhere north of Woodbridge.

Don't worry. You'll be plastered in the .01 contour in 6 hours 

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1 minute ago, Ji said:

Weve made no progress day if your in northern virginia points north

Dude, what are you talking about? We went from nothing to radar hallucinations overhead. That's yuuuuuge

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Just now, stormtracker said:

True. And we prob won’t make much at this point. It’s  interesting to watch but I think we’re at peak norther

See you at 00z

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31 minutes ago, Ji said:

You guy do realize that not one legit model gives us precip right? Even with all the north trends today

The south move 2 days ago meant the typical 50-75 mile north trend at the end will just make this an epic tease. 

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12 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Definitely one of the tightest zero to .50 gradients I've seen in these parts. Usually there's a pretty wide .1-.25 contour on the edge of the heavies. 

Agreed. Wonder if that will spread out a bit. 

 

Cant help thinking that we’ve watched this time period for 3 weeks or more, tracked this storm for 10-12 days, and it’s going to be a MECS that we miss by a hundred miles or less. :unsure:

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4 minutes ago, snowmagnet said:

Where? 

50% chance snow from NWS for MBY in middle Calvert County. 40% tomorrow night. Hoping the percentages go up!!

92CD5E88-F14C-41DA-B096-89E7DBE0CDFE.jpeg

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30 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Agreed. Wonder if that will spread out a bit. 

 

Cant help thinking that we’ve watched this time period for 3 weeks or more, tracked this storm for 10-12 days, and it’s going to be a MECS that we miss by a hundred miles or less. :unsure:

I hope we do ok here in RIC, but it will feel bittersweet if folks up north don’t cash in as well. Really appreciate the work y’all do and hoping this one shares the love with y’all.

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