WesternFringe Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 BobChill is back, things must be trending well! MBY went from a 150 mile yard whiff on Thursday to likely 4 to 8" in my county north to south. It has been fun tracking this storm since November. NWP is pretty awesome. Will the Canadian take the crown for this storm, with regards to our subforum at least? I know we don't know yet, but I am curious as to what you all think at this point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 @BristowWx here it comes man!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 00z should be really fun tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 Precip is farther north than 12z. Still light stuff but hey. It’s something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Whoa NAM. Looks like DC will be the cutoff this run but EZF is approaching 0.75.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 I've noticed the northern extent of the precip has been stuck at TN all day -- time for a change! http://sirocco.accuweather.com/sat_mosaic_640x480_public/rs/isarun.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: @BristowWx here it comes man!! You are solid! It does make it up to my house on that recent depiction. It doesn’t stay long but it’s something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Whoa NAM. Looks like DC will be the cutoff this run but EZF is approaching 0.75.” Yeah, it upped amounts around EZF quite a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 One more RGEM ensemble map. Mean qpf as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Looks like 6" or so at EZF this run? wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 NAM QPF divides DC in half. SE DC ~0.1” while NW DC 0.0”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 Dammit. Is 50 miles too much to ask for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Woah 3k is way more amped then 12z and 6z runs. For those on the northern fringe I'd feel good with what you see right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: Dammit. Is 50 miles too much to ask for. We just got 50 miles. Another 50? Ok why not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Dammit. Is 50 miles too much to ask for. Heck, 15 miles would put DC in 0.25”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Comparing 12z total QPF at 36 to 18z at 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 You guy do realize that not one legit model gives us precip right? Even with all the north trends today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 We really need that Hudson Bay shortwave to deepen and lower the confluence ne of us. That seems to be the feature to focus on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 3k hr 21 VA may steal NC's snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Verbatim the NAM would have a couple inches of snow in Easton. I could drive from virga/pitty flakes in my yard to maybe some legit snow heading to work on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, Ji said: You guy do realize that not one legit model gives us precip right? Even with all the north trends today 0z will change that. .01" INCOMING! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3k nam at hr 27... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, JakkelWx said: 3k nam at hr 27... Well damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ji said: You guy do realize that not one legit model gives us precip right? Even with all the north trends today Maybe not for you, but for the southern part of the LWX CWA yes it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Comparing 12z total QPF at 36 to 18z at 30 0.1” for MBY almost 0.2” for yours. Gotta like the trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: Well damn Feels a little like January 2010 a bit. I lived in Arlington then, went from like pity flakes to 6” 24-36 before. I’m in Fredericksburg now, wonder what happens this time. Every model run im more and more invested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 It’s happening. So glad VDOT brined on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 A lot of virga on the 3k NAM though. Total QPF for those hours over DC have yet to record anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 8 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: 3k nam at hr 27... That's composite reflectivity. The NAMs have been giving us a virga storm for a while. North of DC much of that doesn't reach the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, nj2va said: 0.1” for MBY almost 0.2” for yours. Gotta like the trends. And like 0.7” for mine, that’s a crazy shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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