Animal Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 3 hours ago, NycStormChaser said: Euro is interesting for the interior this week. My Holly Nws is calling for our another bonafide rainstorm. what did it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 11 minutes ago, Animal said: My Holly Nws is calling for our another bonafide rainstorm. what did it show? We have to see how much cold air is available when the storm comes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 you weenies should be more excited about the deep snowcover building in eastern canada w/ these systems. that will be an important source of low level cold air once we get into the nino-favored part of late winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 "Waiting !Patiently!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 Isotherm’s winter forecast is out on main thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 Wow isotherm calling for a good winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Wow isotherm calling for a good winter When he’s on board, pretty much feel like this is a wrap. Was waiting for his views. He cooroborates most forecast out there and while February seems pretty universal as a cold/snow month, I am more interested in his December call. Much to love here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 25 minutes ago, bkviking said: Isotherm’s winter forecast is out on main thread. I would love for his forecast to verify, it's been a while since we had a great December. Almost unanimous agreement that February will rock. Dec-Jan are the toss-ups, forecasters either have Dec cold and snowy or January but not both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 Had a low of 34 here. Its funny now NYC is usually one of the last places to have a freeze. Places like Huntsville, AL, Charlotte, Raleigh, DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Atlantic City have all had there 1st freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 18 minutes ago, dWave said: Had a low of 34 here. Its funny now NYC is usually one of the last places to have a freeze. Places like Huntsville, AL, Charlotte, Raleigh, DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Atlantic City have all had there 1st freeze. Might have a shot Thursday. Even ewr made it down to 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 24 minutes ago, dWave said: Had a low of 34 here. Its funny now NYC is usually one of the last places to have a freeze. Places like Huntsville, AL, Charlotte, Raleigh, DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Atlantic City have all had there 1st freeze. Had a low of 31 here in bed stuy Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 8 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Had a low of 31 here in bed stuy Brooklyn Staten Island Too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 Still no freezing low here, 33 again last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 The 6-10 and 8-14 say it will be very dry after the 17th., but the OP shows 6 straight days of rain. Another conflict to be resolved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 Big shift on the EPS to much stronger Scandinavian blocking day 6-10. It has near record November 500 mb heights . This turns the NAO more negative with the colder trough remaining in place over the Eastern US. The -EPO is also forecast to continue longer than just 3 days ago. New run Old run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 15 minutes ago, bluewave said: Big shift on the EPS to much stronger Scandinavian blocking day 6-10. It has near record November 500 mb heights . This turns the NAO more negative with the colder trough remaining in place over the Eastern US. The -EPO is also forecast to continue longer than just 3 days ago. New run Old run November's of Scandinavian ridge dominance and the following Jan-Feb December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 47 minutes ago, bluewave said: Big shift on the EPS to much stronger Scandinavian blocking day 6-10. It has near record November 500 mb heights . This turns the NAO more negative with the colder trough remaining in place over the Eastern US. The -EPO is also forecast to continue longer than just 3 days ago. Models are playing catch-up in the opposite direction now. If that Scandinavian blocking gets any more widespread then it would really temper the late November warm-up. They've also been too quick to break down the western/Alaskan ridging. It's not out of the realm of possibility that November ends up BN despite the record warm start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 4 hours ago, bkviking said: When he’s on board, pretty much feel like this is a wrap. Was waiting for his views. He cooroborates most forecast out there and while February seems pretty universal as a cold/snow month, I am more interested in his December call. Much to love here. Thanks very much for the nice compliment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 22 minutes ago, Isotherm said: Thanks very much for the nice compliment. Hey, it’s well deserved. I may lay low the past decade(s) (WWBB, Eastern) but am quite an astute observer and for years pay particular attention to your forecasts . Ultimately they are the best. Been around long enough to know how important your point of view is to any thoughtful prediction of seasonal forecasts. Kudos, as it is deserved as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 Possible snow next weekend ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 11, 2018 Share Posted November 11, 2018 32 minutes ago, bluewave said: It would match the colder November and December risks that we typically see with a La Nina. The SOI has been positive since October as the ENSO regions have warmed to El Nino levels. A delayed coupling between the ocean and atmosphere would produce more of a back end El Nino with colder risks in February and perhaps March. So it could be a best of both worlds type of winter. Front end cold La Nina and back end cold El Nino. It's been a long time since we have had a wire to wire winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Possible snow next weekend ? First decent fantasy clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 And 2nd. Kinda looks like a sleety setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 So with the changes that were made ,,,, what are the thoughts of the FG3 will it be any better at digesting the info and getting it correct ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 First time this season I’m approaching freezing at 9pm. Colder than last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 2 hours ago, Ericjcrash said: And 2nd. Kinda looks like a sleety setup. 0z nam and icon continues this theme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 0z nam and icon continues this theme Yeah. But I would like to see thermals of ICON other than surface (which are surprisingly good for mid November). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 ICON Clown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 29 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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