Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[WintersComing]

Ryan upping the totals again

[Damage In Tolland]

Ryan texted 12-18 n CT

[JC-CT]

Don't look now, but the GFS would have this be the second biggest storm over the next 7 days.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's amazing how all of the biggies trend in favor of SNE in the past decade.

Oh' gee, I hadn't noticed.  

I remember the days when big coastals would tend towards hugging as we got in closer.  

[Mr. Windcredible!]

given the overnight and morning trends...I find it laughable that Upton is sticking with a WWA here.  Support is there for 6"+ right down to the shore...maybe the beaches in New London county are held to under 6". 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Over a foot on your fanny.

We hope, but I would not be happy with the forecast...lol. Still, tough when it's so marginal. At least staying directionally correct is a step better. 

[WintersComing]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Don't look now, but the GFS would have this be the second biggest storm over the next 7 days.

Wrong thread

[subdude]

45 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

My best guess for Mass.

18-24" locally 30"

elevation is our friend. 

[CoastalWx]

Don't forget that even if it starts as snow, it won't do much above 33F in terms of sticking. 

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, WintersComing said:

Wrong thread

No it was specifically referring to this storm. Sucka

[STILL N OF PIKE]

These o.e.s snows r serious at times

ASH to Peabody 

32 till Chelmsford now 34/ 35 by route 1

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's amazing how all of the biggies trend in favor of SNE in the past decade.

We got bigguns’

[Hoth]

7 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Don't look now, but the GFS would have this be the second biggest storm over the next 7 days.

Saw that. What a March to remember if that pans out.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

These o.e.s snows r serious at times

ASH to Peabody 

32 till Chelmsford now 35 by route 1

Some of it is CF enhanced. Slight temp/dewpoint difference there. But also, means temps off the deck are chilly.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

These o.e.s snows r serious at times

ASH to Peabody 

32 till Chelmsford now 35 by route 1

It's been ripping here at time...we have briefly gotten into moderate a couple times. Good several tenths stuck to everything except pavement.

[weathafella]

OT but GFS says do it again Monday 

[WintersComing]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

No it was specifically referring to this storm. Sucka

hahaha...thought I had ya.  That is pretty crazy for the 12th though.

[butterfish55]

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Something to note. All of these meso models seem to be pretty cold and trending colder.

15z hrrr has warning snow for all of se mass now

And we don't have a watch, warning or even an advisory.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

28 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

wrong thread

oops

27 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

How much you expecting there?  12-14"?

12-18” if things break right top end could be reached. GL out there

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Some of it is CF enhanced. Slight temp/dewpoint difference there. But also, means temps off the deck are chilly.

Was 35 for a moment Now 33 rte1 By 114 N peabody

[NeonPeon]

2 minutes ago, butterfish55 said:

And we don't have a watch, warning or even an advisory.  

I think if the relevant period wasn't after the PM commute, and especially overnight, they might err on the side of caution, but as is they can wait and see what manifests.

[bobbutts]

16 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's amazing how all of the biggies trend in favor of SNE in the past decade.

uh oh, I saw the lower qpf this morning.  NAM got sliced in half from those weenie runs yesterday. 

[WintersComing]

No one has started a nowcast thread yet?

[Buddy1987]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

oops

12-18” if things break right top end could be reached. GL out there

 

it's really gonna have to rip man. Somewhat unimpressed thus far.

[Damage In Tolland]

So naked .. so free

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

it's really gonna have to rip man. Somewhat unimpressed thus far.

On schedule. the meat was scheduled to move in after lunch hour.

[WintersComing]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

So naked .. so free

I figured it was you that Tolland PD was looking for

[WintersComing]

2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

it's really gonna have to rip man. Somewhat unimpressed thus far.

Huh?

[Dave5]

New Map

[Ginx snewx]

AGAKT

overall across much of the interior, expect a good amount of
snowfall with amounts  around 8-14 inches with higher amounts across
the Berks and Worcester Hills thanks to upslope flow from the
anomalous easterly jet. The CT Valley region will also see shadowing
from this effect and tried to show that in the forecast