RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: I see the 32 line comes pretty close to the 84 corridor at hr 63. That’s fine, i prefer to play with fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Stayed all snow just NW of PSM. If this is as far as warm layer will get, like some of you are thinking, then I feel pretty good about this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Everyone. Let’s see what else 12z brings. Really? I don’t think anyone uses it. They just look at it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Lock that sucker in. Two maxes this run, Mid Atlantic and up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: This is why I love the NAM. Keeps me entertained until the big guys rip it out east like usual Classic over-amped NAMMY type run. I dunno. Matches up with the 6z GEFS pretty darn well, which had an unsettling number of members run the slp right over PVD/BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: That is not a good run for either of us. Even I don't do so well over here on the western end, hopefully a compromise between the Euro and nam for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Two maxes this run, Mid Atlantic and up here. Not This..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, WintersComing said: Not This..... Tucked in low is not your friend and that was a nasty dryslot ripping up thru CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Another Nick Foles runSeems synoptically possible... just a matter of phasing and closing earlier, such that it is spent by the time it reaches our lattitude, and correctly scoots east and is not an inland cutter due to the blockBut how can the Euro be so wrong... 5 consistent runs inside 96hrs... either this once again proves beyond a doubt that something is ill with the Euro, or it's just Nam's fun encore before curtains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: This is why I love the NAM. Keeps me entertained until the big guys rip it out east like usual Classic over-amped NAMMY type run. Final sensible weather impacts are of course likely not right in this case. BUT there were some big changes through 48 at H5, showing a sharper trough and higher downstream UL heights. Those changes are likely at least on the right track and will likely be reflected in other guidance going forward... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Really? I don’t think anyone uses it. They just look at it . Well not a huge factor unless the rest of 12z agrees. Reggie still not in range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Two maxes this run, Mid Atlantic and up here. Your area is tricky. Best dynamics south perhaps? Left with dryslot and wrap around maybe ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Tucked in low is not your friend and that was a nasty dryslot ripping up thru CT. Ya...think most of us would like to see it set course right towards the elbow and into the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Really? I don’t think anyone uses it. They just look at it . You hugged it like a teddy bear last Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I would not be so sure the Euro is wrong, Especially if your just using the Nam as a reference.............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Live and die by each model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Good Lord....look at the 3K at hr 56 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your area is tricky. Best dynamics south perhaps? Left with dryslot and wrap around maybe ? His area is the least tricky, ha. Go big for Maine or go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 At any rate, just another run but does show possibility if the sw’s interact earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 That NAM run looks exactly like the amped up ENS members of the GEFS and EPS. There weren't a ton of the EPS but a few of them that showed that. GEFS had a bunch more. I'm with wxniss though... I can't see the EURO being wrong 5 runs in a row. That's a tough pill to swallow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, powderfreak said: His area is the least tricky, ha. Go big for Maine or go home. I agree interior Maine is 1-2’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 The 3K basically stalls it right off Jersey coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I said this a few days ago, but this really is a Miller A/B system. In fact this is looking more Miller A over time, with a late phase after becoming vertically stacked around hr 72... Would be <980 mb storm if we could bring forward the timing of that final phase by 12 hours or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your area is tricky. Best dynamics south perhaps? Left with dryslot and wrap around maybe ? Not with the Euro, Nope, Not tricky at all, Kicks east out over the cape because of blocking, Has not been any model run that shows anything you have mentioned for up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Here comes the ICON....go big or go home baby!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I agree interior Maine is 1-2’ NAM is too far west for me... I think I'd dryslot between the forcing closer to the coast and the mid level magic over NY State, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, WintersComing said: The 3K basically stalls it right off Jersey coast Yea hrs 55-58 are just nuts with the LP sitting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: His area is the least tricky, ha. Go big for Maine or go home. I saw what he was trying to do, I mentioned a dryslot over central CT because that's what the Nam had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: NAM is too far west for me... I think I'd dryslot between the forcing closer to the coast and the mid level magic over NY State, lol. No way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Yea hrs 55-58 are just nuts with the LP sitting there. Yea, and pinwheels the dryslot right through central Ct.. Again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.