February is upon us - pattern change is in order

[40/70 Benchmark]

Shunted.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

Of April '97 style man-snow.

Yeah, 3"+ qpf on 10:1 ratio or a shade less.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, dryslot said:

Yeah, 3"+ qpf on 10:1 ratio or a shade less.

4 inch qpf

[Ginx snewx]

12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

What a beast on the coast over 60 hrs of gusts from the east NE. Geez that's 5 to 6 tide cycles with a 1000 mile fetch

No joke on this part of the Euros look. That's a serious issue 

[Baroclinic Zone]

11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I know you know better but thumpity thump thump . If anyone would post a Dec 92 snow map that would be cool and relevant.

Yeah?  How much fall in Taunton and Foxboro for that?  No memory of that.

[Damage In Tolland]

25 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Here's the Euro clown map..

Time to make this it's own thread or still too far out?

That is a replica of 92. 18 here, 3-6 Valley 3 feet ORH 

[wxsniss]

31 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That's what we want, We don't need it holding back  the s/w in the SW or this will never make it up here before hitting the brick wall.

12z EPS/GEFS mean remains squashed south of 12z Euro / GFS runs...  we'll see, we have a ways to go. A race between blocking vs. the shortwave tracking from the southwest and interacting with northern stream. Current ensembles make me think we are feeling out where to stake the northern-most goalpost.

[CoastalWx]

We EPS

[powderfreak]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Shunted.

Yup.  Needs less shunt.

[backedgeapproaching]

Pretty crude 92 map.

http://www.weatherarchives.org/index.php?/topic/80-december-10th-12th-1992-noreaster/page-2

 

 

[CoastalWx]

The euro ensemble is beautiful 

[Ginx snewx]

Any requests?

[CoastalWx]

Jesus days and days.

[CTWeatherFreak]

36 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Subsidence in the Valley a la December '92? Edit: Nevermind. Snow map, not QPF.

That is just whack.  A 12+" differential over a 30 mile span in a synoptic event?   

[Baroclinic Zone]

Odd that I don’t recall a 12” snowfall just before Christmas.

[EastonSN+]

3 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said:

Pretty crude 92 map.

 

Even coastal Fairfield county had 6 inches the last day

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

12z GEFS mean remains squashed south of 12z Euro / GFS runs...  we'll see, we have a ways to go. A race between blocking vs. the shortwave tracking from the southwest and interacting with northern stream. Current ensembles make me think we are feeling out where to stake the northern-most goalpost.

I would feel real good if i was in your area right now.

[powderfreak]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The euro ensemble is beautiful 

There are a lot that are really far south... like cut-off at Delmarva.

I want to see some over BGR lol.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That would nail the coffin for me. I may never recover.

We’ve had a good run here, but if I score 2 niches and Worcester gets 3 feet... that may be the end of this hobby for me.

That is basically what the euro shows

[CoastalWx]

Jesus many would be happy. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

We’ve had a good run here, but if I score 2 niches and Worcester gets 3 feet... that may be the end of this hobby for me.

That is basically what the euro shows

It can and will happen. Dumb.

[EastonSN+]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Jesus many would be happy. 

Coasties too?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Coasties too?

I mean less than interior,  but that is sick on the mean. I know PF just mentioned some members well south. 

[ORH_wxman]

Here's my map i made years ago of Dec 1992

 

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It can and will happen. Dumb.

That euro run is worst case for people south of the pike. So close they can smell the snow... but the only thing they have is flooding rain.

[EastonSN+]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Here's my map i made years ago of Dec 1992

 

 

Looks good. Coastal Fairfield county in CT had 6.

[8611Blizz]

Aside from the "days and days of snow" comments how long are we really talking about? 48 hours? 72?

[CTWeatherFreak]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Here's my map i made years ago of Dec 1992

 

 

How Painful is that for we in the valley..    Ouch

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Jesus many would be happy. 

Its 5.5-6 days out....but the guidance is strangely in good agreement right now and the consensus absolutely annihilates ORH county and S NH...esp east slopes. That synoptic setup is tailor-made for the east slopes of the Berks/ORH hills/Monads.

 

A lot can change still obviously.

[dryslot]

I think i remember why now i don't remember that storm.