Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I might not even get to that. 14 inches for the rest of the year with 7 weeks left, I will take the over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Take a look at radar along the East Coast. So much for your strung out low eh? Excellent salient points earlier about qpf and MSLP. The pope would have hated the Leon years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Hell, I all I need is about 35 or so more to get to the seasonal average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 If we didn't know any better just a look at the animated Intellicast national precip type map, we would think a snowstorm is enroute. The Atlantic giveth and the Atlantic taketh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Hell, I all I need is about 35 or so more to get to the seasonal average. 2 weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2 weeks? End of season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: End of season I have seen your area pick up 35 in a heartbeat in this pattern. Riding the gradient, will it happen probably not, has it happened, countless times. I would feel pretty damn good if I was in your shoes right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I have seen your area pick up 35 in a heartbeat in this pattern. Riding the gradient, will it happen probably not, has it happened, countless times. I would feel pretty damn good if I was in your shoes right now Don't bother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Don't bother. YOu've been cranky, lately! Still down with the flu? 25.5/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: YOu've been cranky, lately! Still down with the flu? 25.5/16 I'm cool, but I have to LOL at your complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 NAM has some front end snow, but seems like an ice look from nrn ORH, Berks, to srn VT and NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I have seen your area pick up 35 in a heartbeat in this pattern. Riding the gradient, will it happen probably not, has it happened, countless times. I would feel pretty damn good if I was in your shoes right now At this point it is quite possible that you make climo and he doesn't but that could happen while he still has a 20" week at some point so climo is kind of a weird analogy but it's our only reference point. I am sure there are many people who wouldn't mind being below their season average on the year if they got two 20" storms instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: NAM has some front end snow, but seems like an ice look from nrn ORH, Berks, to srn VT and NH. NAM would be pretty classic SWFE. Good burst of advisory snow on the front with big CAD over the interior leading to prob a lot of icing. Theres a pretty good high north of CAR as the system comes in so we will have to watch. If that high position does not change, then frequently we will see models tick colder as we get closer to go-time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: NAM would be pretty classic SWFE. Good burst of advisory snow on the front with big CAD over the interior leading to prob a lot of icing. Theres a pretty good high north of CAR as the system comes in so we will have to watch. If that high position does not change, then frequently we will see models tick colder as we get closer to go-time. Yeah I find it hard to believe the low center jams into the interior with something like that. Even gives BOS like 3" or so. Definitely wintry verbatim north of pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM has some front end snow, but seems like an ice look from nrn ORH, Berks, to srn VT and NH. Let’s see if we can get all snow north of 90 and just ice south and stay under 32. That’s as good as we can do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 QPF jackpot for Bob today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: QPF jackpot for Bob today? These weak strung out lows rarely deliver heavy regionwide qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: These weak strung out lows rarely deliver heavy regionwide qpf I'll take a pass on any QPF today thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 We QPF. Some heavy rain moving into SNE later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: We QPF. Some heavy rain moving into SNE later. Congrats SE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Radar says someone is getting soaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 10 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agree. I like Wednesday...not a blockbuster, but could herald the start of the second half. I think we can agree on that one model run haha.. 00z's across the board came in a tick warmer everywhere for that event. 'Not any more or less sold on how that will evolve, though... It's actually a perfect run to exemplify/why Will and I surmised yesterday, one should be vigil of the 'unmanned firehose' pattern. Ever so subtle deviations at the anchored end, being essentially whatever comes through ~ 130 W... tends to move systems, in whole, more readily N or S back here in the east...and with the pancaked nature of flow... the gradients are very steep over short distances, and 50 miles means cold rain vs a foot of blue...etc etc. I also think "...the second half" has already been heralded as a big huge poke in the butt bust. After the fact? ...we are in fact three weeks into the 2nd half by scientific meter ..which agreed, that's just an arbitrary distinction along the linearity of time...and the climate for any given season will do what it wants to do, regardless.. However, for brevity and not having an other metric to effectively categorize the way things are going? The 2nd half is so far a big huge turd mistaken for an apple. So many guidance sources had, also for lack of better words, quite elegantly deceived with a big pretty blue deep vortex on extended this and that ... resting it on top of a GW southern height berm ...Most chose a path of excitability before reason when seeing that monster. It's not just the lay-user of this material either... I've heard hopes and promises from talented Mets in the field so none of this is a knock on anyone. Sometimes you get the bear, ...sometimes, the bear gets you. Right now the tele's look like schit of the first order stench.. The PNA utterly betrayed like 10 days worth of suggestive favorable modality ...which could be proven false; if that's an edge for one to hold out hope. I'm inclined to think that's choosing delusion over despair, given to this unmistakable tenor so for this season to reduce events at least excuse ... one that I think actually makes a good deal of sense in retrospect, as the flow has been again ... for the third year in a row, a compression madness. It's a sinister mitigation too... because there are storms there, in time... varying frequencies and intensities depending on x-y-z tint to the pattern et al.. But over the course of that on-going model/enthusiast/co-dependent bi-polar life (joke), it is concealing that perhaps the top 1/3rd of system mechanics are routinely gobbled up and damped out by the ferocity of the overbearing compression. In any case, ... we may have a couple cycles where the firehose sends this mid week deal back west... then a couple where it comes back colder before we settle on whatever in this Caligulan winter next introduces us to how it screws us too... enjoy your winter. End commiseration - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Congrats SE Mass Thus my congrats to Bob earlier. Rain or snow they are QPF central. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 33 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: QPF jackpot for Bob today? Qpf and snow Jack will be the sw adks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 I mean second half of the favorable peroid, John. I'm not as down on things as you, I guess...as much as it blows to waste a month plus of mid winter, I went into the season expecting that, as a modified Jan 2006 ensued. However I will stand by my assertion that this winter, too will bounce back, despite current guidance...just as I did in my belief that the lull would be more protracted than guidance while an epic early February was being flagged. We'll see- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Tickle south and a lot of QPF on the Pope low for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 12z gfs trended colder but still sucks for anyone south of the NH/VT/ME border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Lets get today out of the way, I'm ready for weds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: 12z gfs trended colder but still sucks for anyone south of the NH/VT/ME border That's several inches of snow near the NH border with some ice likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Looks like some ice up this way as well, With that high to the north, I'm looking for this to tick some more south over the next day or two and remain all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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