CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 The ARW and EPS control runs. One of the last few tricks up weenie's sleeves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 22 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Through it all...the only common denominator has been the disappointment of the usership; it's why I question whether the event itself is all that important to the lot of the users, and mostly...it's the modeling cinema before hand that drives them to whinge. People like ..thrive and addict for the drama more so in the models - it really seems that way. The fervor during these things is tepid by comparison. heh. Isn't that why people get into weather forecasting? I mean the term "forecast" is a prediction or estimate of future events, or better yet in the 1600s its definition was "conjectured estimate of a future course"...it would seem folks love weather forecasting for the challenge of figuring out what is going to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The ARW and EPS control runs. One of the last few tricks up weenie's sleeves. The old ETA on E-Wall was a great one... now we've got the Swiss, German, Japanese, Canadian models to find the right solution, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Interesting divergence on the GEFS. Clearly 2 camps. Run is drier than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Somebody slipped the 18z GFS a roofie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The old ETA on E-Wall was a great one... now we've got the Swiss, German, Japanese, Canadian models to find the right solution, ha. Swiss has had some success down here...at least with temps. Anyways I think this comes west a bit as we head through the runs tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Somebody slipped the 18z GFS a roofie. If you dump all the southern solutions you get a solid solution. If you drop the northern solutions, you get a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 The GFS has been so bad this winter you really can’t use it at this range for any major storm system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 GEFS starting to get it LR Gonna be a fun Feb kids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 The GFS showing a storm about 3 days out... doesn't look like a paste bomb is gonna happen because low pressure will be relatively weak in my opinion... there is some cold air feeding into this storm but the track isn't far enough north to deliver significant accums for the New England part of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: GEFS starting to get it LR Gonna be a fun Feb kids Please! My dogs are looking at an ice rink...we need to replenish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 49 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: If you dump all the southern solutions you get a solid solution. If you drop the northern solutions, you get a whiff. GEFS is a solid 4 to 6 snow for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: GEFS is a solid 4 to 6 snow for SNE And 12z was 6-8". Just stating what I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Regression is the wrong direction, We will have a pretty good idea by 12z tomorrow bar any last minute surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Isn't that why people get into weather forecasting? I mean the term "forecast" is a prediction or estimate of future events, or better yet in the 1600s its definition was "conjectured estimate of a future course"...it would seem folks love weather forecasting for the challenge of figuring out what is going to happen? He really loves to psycho analyze us...I personally love the chase, the roller coaster, the swings and trying to figure out what is likely and what is not. It’s a hobby dood. About Time he gets out of his basement and lives a little. Just accept that humans are who we are and maybe joining us once in a while is cool to. Living in outer space looking down upon us has to be a very lonely place, eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Maybe an 07-08 gradient like pattern upcoming?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: GEFS starting to get it LR Gonna be a fun Feb kids I don't need any convincing, Good times ahead, I'll ride the fence anyday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: Isn't that why people get into weather forecasting? I mean the term "forecast" is a prediction or estimate of future events, or better yet in the 1600s its definition was "conjectured estimate of a future course"...it would seem folks love weather forecasting for the challenge of figuring out what is going to happen? It’s why people live single , solo lives . Human interaction can prove difficult Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 There is definitely a very cold signal ahead. I believe we’ll equal or do better than we did earlier in terms of cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: There is definitely a very cold signal ahead. I believe we’ll equal or do better than we did earlier in terms of cold. Without any real blocking, Looks to be active and not supressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27, 2018 Author Share Posted January 27, 2018 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: Isn't that why people get into weather forecasting? I mean the term "forecast" is a prediction or estimate of future events, or better yet in the 1600s its definition was "conjectured estimate of a future course"...it would seem folks love weather forecasting for the challenge of figuring out what is going to happen? No reason to react there. Just an observation ... and one amply supported by evidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27, 2018 Author Share Posted January 27, 2018 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: There is definitely a very cold signal ahead. I believe we’ll equal or do better than we did earlier in terms of cold. The EPO is sickly deep. And these depictions of ridging are among the the most amplified I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Without any real blocking, Looks to be active and not supressive. Everything time it lifts out or plunges in something fun can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Everything time it lifts out or plunges in something fun can happen. Lol I found that out at age 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol I found that out at age 15 Same, lol, Oh wait, This is weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s why people live single , solo lives . Human interaction can prove difficult lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: Too bad this system is day 7... why can't it be a 24 hour prog? Because it would hurt even more when it whiffed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 No way it's as cold. That trough is too far west. Anyways, NAM will blow again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No way it's as cold. That trough is too far west. Anyways, NAM will blow again. Looks like sh it, Something you're into lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like sh it, Something you're into lately. We sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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