Weatherexpert Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Can't tell if you're serious or trying to be funny. We will see who has the last laugh when you're buried in snow with no power food or friends. Jk lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: rgem is nw and far deeper through hr 39 Yea its really tucked and actually rains here for a while. Tossed until further notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: Yea its really tucked and actually rains here for a while. Tossed until further notice. Where are you look at it, I'm behind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said: Oh yeah, you’ve been “away”. Bet that wasn’t much fun today! Uh, No and i need to hit the road again to go back to Portland........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Thru hr 36, The 18z Reggie looks several tics west of the 12z run at hr42 It had a hiccup run at 12z after being one of the more amped guidance over the past couple days at least based on those 84 hour maps haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just to add to the hype. SREF plumes for OWD and several members over 18" with the mean ~12". More over then under! QPF henceforth are going to go bonkers. Somebody's going to get screwed. I have no dog in the fight, therefore no emotional invest. Dime to dollar I'd bet a sub 960mb traversing 100 miles either side of the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: Where are you look at it, I'm behind Its through 48 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 If I'm looking at the right time frames, 18Z is up to hour 48, and it looks like its going to be significantly better for CT and central areas than 12Z was. By a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, powderfreak said: It had a hiccup run at 12z after being one of the more amped guidance over the past couple days at least based on those 84 hour maps haha. Well it came back amped....lol, Going to be some stupid qpf numbers when they come out up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: If I'm looking at the right time frames, 18Z is up to hour 48, and it looks like its going to be significantly better for CT and central areas than 12Z was. By a lot. You are and it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Hi Res NAM gives me 2 qpf. Wowzers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Box AFD emphasizing the possibility for more westward trends due to convection/latent heat release and downstream ridging... "Also another contributing factor could be convection/latent heat release building a stronger downstream ridge yielding a track closer to the coast. ... Will models continue to trend westward in later runs? Given the amplitude of the long wave pattern, system developing over the Gulf Stream and convection possibly building the downstream ridge more than models are simulating all suggest an eastward trend is unlikely with some additional westward adjustment possible. We`ve been told recon flights will collect data shortly and this will likely help improve model performance." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: If I'm looking at the right time frames, 18Z is up to hour 48, and it looks like its going to be significantly better for CT and central areas than 12Z was. By a lot. Post a screeny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: SE Mass would seem to lose quite a bit to rain. Yes they are on that run verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 RGEM... yes please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, WintersComing said: Post a screeny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Box AFD emphasizing the possibility for more westward trends due to convection/latent heat release and downstream ridging... "Also another contributing factor could be convection/latent heat release building a stronger downstream ridge yielding a track closer to the coast. ... Will models continue to trend westward in later runs? Given the amplitude of the long wave pattern, system developing over the Gulf Stream and convection possibly building the downstream ridge more than models are simulating all suggest an eastward trend is unlikely with some additional westward adjustment possible. We`ve been told recon flights will collect data shortly and this will likely help improve model performance." That should have the reverands Attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said: Ugh....... Wait for Thursday, ride the sled. Going to ride this weekend, Probably freeze my Azz off though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Rgem is a crusher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 RGEM and 3K Nam, along with some individual eps ensembles seemed to be the most tucked in guidance. Then 12k NAM/UKMET/EURO/GGEM/GFS a bit further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I wouldn’t worry much about mixing with that track away from the canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Somebody post up the extended Reggie QPF maps when they come out I’m on mobile and on the road thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2018 Author Share Posted January 2, 2018 Verbatim, the RGEM is showing rain , but I doubt it would be. It's cold all the way down below 925mb. I think that would be a pasting 10-15mi off the canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Somebody post up the extended Reggie QPF maps when they come out I’m on mobile and on the road thanks Im trying to refresh but i dont think they are out yet, not sure when they usually come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Im trying to refresh but i dont think they are out yet, not sure when they usually come out. On the meteo center site they don’t come out until probably five or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Can't see RGEM soundings but not sure how it's figuring R/S that far northwest into southeast MA... 850/925s plenty cold at least to canal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 congrats Ginxy on that RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 My guess as mentioned before is I think it all boils down to where that Deform zone sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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