HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: I was at Sugarloaf for two 500 year events. One was the 1998 ice storm and there other the April 2007 Nor' Easter with 100" of snow. Sugarloaf was lucky in 1998, everything S of Kingfield was devastated. I remember coming up through Belgrade Lakes region on Rt 27 and the damage was breathtaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Sugarloaf was lucky in 1998, everything S of Kingfield was devastated. I remember coming up through Belgrade Lakes region on Rt 27 and the damage was breathtaking. Sugarloaf had a deeper cold airmass which allowed us to alternate with sleet. This kept damage to a minimum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Hows the forcing look in SNH/MHT area Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 12 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Hows the forcing look in SNH/MHT area Friday You ageo. You north wind. You cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 We snow, We ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 How does the mid-coast region fare in these types of set-ups? If the drain's coming from the N/NE, I imagine we stay on the cool side. 25* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 7 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: How does the mid-coast region fare in these types of set-ups? If the drain's coming from the N/NE, I imagine we stay on the cool side. 25* It depends on how far up the Midcoast. Pit2 is in a decent location, but up towards RKD can torch pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: It depends on how far up the Midcoast. Pit2 is in a decent locations, but up towards RKD can torch pretty quickly. Thanks--my concern never goes past Pit2. Perhaps the Kennebec provides a channel for the cooler air to slide down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: It depends on how far up the Midcoast. Pit2 is in a decent locations, but up towards RKD can torch pretty quickly. Amazed how quickly they can light switch on temps as soon as the winds veer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, moneypitmike said: Thanks--my concern never goes past Pit2. How far out on those necks are you? Sagadahoc County is a tough one to forecast for. Night and day sometimes between the area near 295 and the necks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: How far out on those necks are you? Sagadahoc County is a tough one to forecast for. Night and day sometimes between the area near 295 and the necks. I'm about 1 mile north of Rt. 1, 2 feet from the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You ageo. You north wind. You cold. I mean for Snow. I know im cold. Dentrite's area was mentioned for good snow growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 7 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'm about 1 mile north of Rt. 1, 2 feet from the river. In the 12/12 event, it took IWI 4 hours longer than RKD to climb above freezing and then only managed a high of 35 for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 NAM coming in juicier and colder for Friday in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 0z NAM is pretty cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 11 minutes ago, CT Rain said: NAM coming in juicier and colder for Friday in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Looks like cold air drains pretty good down the HV and CTRV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 22 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I mean for Snow. I know im cold. Dentrite's area was mentioned for good snow growth. Looked pretty decent for snow there. Some lift on the DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Nam is probably a quarter inch of ice here.. We take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Pretty cool to see the NAM showing that sfc CAA with the mesolow/cold tuck down in MA. Falling temps in NE MA all Sat morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Pretty cool to see the NAM showing that sfc CAA with the mesolow/cold tuck down in MA. Falling temps in NE MA all Sat morning. Yeah and I would shave off several ticks verbatim in that whole area since the NAM warms it way too quick overnight it seems. We tucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Nam is probably a quarter inch of ice here.. We take A lot of that is snow at the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 We do torch by Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2017 Author Share Posted December 21, 2017 Take 'em down. Take 'em down. The corollary of the first commandment of forecasting is to expand "Thou shalt not use GFS 2m temps" to all model guidance in strong ageostrophic setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Tucky then torchy on the NAM Saturday night. Bit of a different evolution on Saturday with that srn s/w moving up. Hopefully the front end anyways gets colder as we close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Tucky then torchy on the NAM Saturday night. Bit of a different evolution on Saturday with that srn s/w moving up. Hopefully the front end anyways gets colder as we close in. Yeah it is definitely a different evolution. Not too far from all snow to a bit of glaze on front end... then torch it as the second wave cuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 We just did this same type of deal a couple storms back with cold air damming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 The WU forecast here is strange, it has snow from 3-6pm and then rain for the rest of the storm. They call for a high of 43F on Saturday, while the NWS has 51F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, Sugarloaf1989 said: The WU forecast here is strange, it has snow from 3-6pm and then rain for the rest of the storm. They call for a high of 43F on Saturday, while the NWS has 51F. We have 35F for BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 That's a big thump of snow on the front end on the 0z Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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