SnoSki14 Posted November 7, 2017 Share Posted November 7, 2017 I don't see how we're going to see sustained BN temps with such a deep trough on the west coast despite the development of high latitude blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 7, 2017 Share Posted November 7, 2017 1 - 5 BN 6 - 10 N to AN 10- 15 BN Nothing would be sustained until after day 10 "if" blocking occurs. The models still think it develops . That trough on the west coast backs up towards the Aleutians after day 10. If you get height rises from HB out to Greenland than you will suppress the ridge in the SE and the trough will get stuck there. We don't need anything sustained , 5 day periods are better than what you saw the last 2 years. You may do better then that . If blocking does develop then it's game on , you're just going to have to see if the EPS is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Well to be fair I'm just looking to see if there are snow opportunities, so yeah it doesn't have to stay BN as long as a pattern develops down the line that could give us our first snowfall. I've heard a lot of discussion around Thanksgiving time for snow but that's way out there obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted November 8, 2017 Author Share Posted November 8, 2017 Follow me on Instagram at @nycweathernow #nycweathernow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 First 3 weeks of Dec. look bloody red, on the CFS. JB acknowledges the sauna-looking December appearance, but insists it is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Who in the blue hell is ace? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 7 hours ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Follow me on Instagram at @nycweathernow #nycweathernow Don't forget to like and subscribe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 8 hours ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Follow me on Instagram at @nycweathernow #nycweathernow Got a twitter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 24 minutes ago, nesussxwx said: Got a twitter? https://mobile.twitter.com/common_squirrel?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, BxEngine said: https://mobile.twitter.com/common_squirrel?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted November 8, 2017 Author Share Posted November 8, 2017 No twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 They have a pretty funny guess the snowfall thread in NE anyone want to start one here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 10 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: They have a pretty funny guess the snowfall thread in NE anyone want to start one here? Go for it. Funniest response gets to 5 post @Rjay for a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 On 11/7/2017 at 6:43 PM, SnoSki14 said: I don't see how we're going to see sustained BN temps with such a deep trough on the west coast despite the development of high latitude blocking. Euro supposedly showing 1-2 weeks of sustained cold for Thanksgiving week and the week after that. You can get it even with a deep trough in the west if you have a steep ridge in the middle- it's called an Omega Block! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 3 hours ago, Paragon said: Euro supposedly showing 1-2 weeks of sustained cold for Thanksgiving week and the week after that. You can get it even with a deep trough in the west if you have a steep ridge in the middle- it's called an Omega Block! Well now they're showing more of a +PNA, which gives me more confidence on a sustained BN period. It's far less risky than an Omega Block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 Why have a fall banter thread with no fall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 People freaking out over models showing blocking in mid-November is insane. New England may even see rain from these threats. We have had great patterns in June, but it doesnt mean it will snow. I dont take any threat seriously until after December 1. Yes, i know we have gotten snow in October and November a few times in the past thirty years, but those are the exception and not the rule. If the models look the same in 2 weeks i will get more intrigued, as of now its fantasy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, psv88 said: People freaking out over models showing blocking in mid-November is insane. New England may even see rain from these threats. We have had great patterns in June, but it doesnt mean it will snow. I dont take any threat seriously until after December 1. Yes, i know we have gotten snow in October and November a few times in the past thirty years, but those are the exception and not the rule. If the models look the same in 2 weeks i will get more intrigued, as of now its fantasy. If there was something else to talk about id agree with you (and it would mean less angry texts from rjay lol)...but man its boring af right now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 10 minutes ago, psv88 said: People freaking out over models showing blocking in mid-November is insane. New England may even see rain from these threats. We have had great patterns in June, but it doesnt mean it will snow. I dont take any threat seriously until after December 1. Yes, i know we have gotten snow in October and November a few times in the past thirty years, but those are the exception and not the rule. If the models look the same in 2 weeks i will get more intrigued, as of now its fantasy. Glad we don't live there – LI or SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Glad we don't live there – LI or SNE. I'll take that bet. $20 your location doesnt see a 6"of greater snowfall before Dec 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 1 hour ago, psv88 said: I'll take that bet. $20 your location doesnt see a 6"of greater snowfall before Dec 1? I’ll happily take that bet. He’s in a great spot with the potential pattern! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 1 hour ago, psv88 said: I'll take that bet. $20 your location doesnt see a 6"of greater snowfall before Dec 1? That would be a terrible bet regardless of the month. I'd feel good about a sig snowfall though. Make it 4" and I'm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 39 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: That would be a terrible bet regardless of the month. I'd feel good about a sig snowfall though. Make it 4" and I'm in. 6” is probably really only 4” anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC10023 Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 8 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: 6” is probably really only 4” anyway thats what she said ba dum dum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 27 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: 6” is probably really only 4” anyway Speak for yourself! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 Presented for your viewing pleasure, the CFS opinion on December, based on the latest 40 runs: Do Not Stare at it, out of fear of cauterizing your retinas. Some of the individual runs have Hudson Bay 30 degrees above normal. It is just a game folks. This Too Shall Pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 3 hours ago, psv88 said: People freaking out over models showing blocking in mid-November is insane. New England may even see rain from these threats. We have had great patterns in June, but it doesnt mean it will snow. I dont take any threat seriously until after December 1. Yes, i know we have gotten snow in October and November a few times in the past thirty years, but those are the exception and not the rule. If the models look the same in 2 weeks i will get more intrigued, as of now its fantasy. I agree with your main point here. It's November, right. The thing is, seeing blocking show up for the end of Nov. like this, is kind of what you want to see in a la nina. The ratter years, for the most part, didn't have it. That's what it's all about right now, at least for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 Super excited for tonight’s cold. The reason being all the vegetation. I don’t think there has ever been such extreme cold with over 50% vegetation in the city and on the island. I fully expect sensitive trees to dump all there leaves tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Super excited for tonight’s cold. The reason being all the vegetation. I don’t think there has ever been such extreme cold with over 50% vegetation in the city and on the island. I fully expect sensitive trees to dump all there leaves tomorrow night. even out in suburban nj the tropicals are still alive. mass carnage tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 What a ripoff, this cheap midnight high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now