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WeatherFeen2000

Fall 2017 Banter Thread

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For shytz and giggles, I don't think I've ever seen any models ever pop up a storm in the near future lower than 900 millibars. Today, the GFS 18z showed a 897 millibars hurricane for next week somewhere around the Bermuda Triangle.

IMG_0530.PNG

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26 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

I think irma misses everyone! At least I hope.

It would have to thread the perfect needle for it to miss everyone. Don't forget the Bahamas's and Bermuda. Right now I would like both those places for a direct impact

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NYC Fall temperature and precipitation averages...

September 1st to November 30th... monthly average and seasonal average...

....Temperature.....................................................Precipitation........................................................

decade...Sept...Oct...Nov...Ave........................Sept.....Oct....Nov....Total...

1870's...65.3...55.5...42.2...54.3.....................3.41"...3.55"...3.66"...10.62"

1880's...66.2...53.9...43.2...54.4.....................4.18"...3.17"...3.54"...10.89"

1890's...67.7...55.5...45.1...56.1.....................3.38"...3.59"...3.76"...10.73"

1900's...68.1...57.2...45.7...57.0.....................3.84"...4.39"...1.91"...10.14"

1910's...66.8...57.9...45.0...56.6.....................

1920's...67.8...56.8...45.6...56.7.....................3.54"...3.39"...2.65".....9.58"

1930's...68.7...57.4...46.2...57.4.....................

1940's...68.7...58.7...47.5...58.3.....................3.70"...2.42"...3.59".....9.71"

1950's...68.3...58.6...47.1...58.0.....................2.36"...3.68"...3.80".....9.84"

1960's...67.7...58.2...47.3...57.7.....................3.85"...2.45"...3.73"...10.03"

1970's...68.3...56.9...47.6...57.6.....................4.73"...3.88"...4.91"...13.52"

1980's...68.6...57.0...47.7...57.8.....................3.58"...4.01"...4.97"...12.56"

1990's...68.0...57.7...47.6...57.8.....................4.18"...3.85"...3.41"...11.44"

2000's...68.6...57.0...48.6...58.1.....................4.91"...5.23"...3.77"...13.91"

2010's...70.4...58.4...48.1...58.6.....................3.96"...4.01"...3.16"...11.13"...2010-16 ave...

1870-.

2009.....67.8...56.8...46.2...56.9.....................3.85"...3.66"...3.55"...11.06"

1980-

2009.....68.4...57.2...48.0...57.9.....................4.22"...4.36"...4.05"...12.63"

...............................................................................................................................................

Coolest........Warmest........Wettest.........Driest....

51.7 in 1871...61.8 in 1931...22.13" in 1913...4.00" in 1908

51.8 in 1887...61.8 in 2015...22.04" in 1977...4.67" in 1909

52.3 in 1888...61.2 in 1961...21.68" in 2005...4.93" in 1881

52.3 in 1875...60.7 in 1946...20.01" in 1972...4.97" in 1931

52.3 in 1869...60.3 in 1900...19.93" in 1983...5.02" in 1879

52.7 in 1917...60.3 in 2005...19.60" in 1882...5.32" in 1965

52.7 in 1873...60.2 in 1941...19.53" in 1889...5.76" in 1901

52.8 in 1883...60.1 in 1979...18.79" in 1894...5.77" in 1941

53.1 in 1880...60.0 in 1985...18.58" in 1944...5.83" in 1914

53.2 in 1889...59.9 in 1990...18.53" in 2011...5.96" in 1948

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This looks dangerous! It would be a disaster for our area possibly way worse than Sandy!

the GFS 06z depicts hurricane Irma hitting our area around 8am eastern time for next Sunday. Take a look below

 

IMG_0548.PNG

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Hurricane Irma: Euro track looks identical to the MAM track up to Cape Hatteras. I think Cape Cod and especially Cape Hatteras should be on the look out with Hurricane Irma.

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4 hours ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

Hurricane Irma: Euro track looks identical to the MAM track up to Cape Hatteras. I think Cape Cod and especially Cape Hatteras should be on the look out with Hurricane Irma.

The Euro does not show a track near Cape Hatteras

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3 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

Hey @Rjay @BxEngine can one of you guys pin this thread? Thanks in advance 

I only answer to @rjaysucksworstmodever

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19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Think about it 

I think that's off for the Gulf Stream but that's a pretty narrow area. Thats about the only area that's advantageous to a tropical system above 35 north  

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2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

I think that's off for the Gulf Stream but that's a pretty narrow area. Thats about the only area that's advantageous to a tropical system above 35 north  

It measures OHC, Rutgers is pretty spot on but more of this, like today

DJox26-XoAAv2XB.jpg

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Just now, Ginx snewx said:

It measures OHC, Rutgers is pretty spot on but more of this, like today

DJox26-XoAAv2XB.jpg

I know what it measures OHC is definitly higher then shown in the Gulf Stream. It kind of shows it but I think it's more expansive then that.

Tomorrow is day 7 here on Long Island of swell above 10 seconds and 4 foot. That's pretty rare around here, unfortunately this isn't California in that regard.

if we make it past 10 days we are in the company of the greats like Felix 95 

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I got a chance to watch the new jetty building operation the other day when I was down in Long Beach. Pretty impressive job at beaches like Neptune where all the boulders are piled up on the beach by a stream of trucks. The beaches especially on the east sides of the new jetties have really gotten longer. It's becoming more of a walk from the boardwalk to the ocean than it used to be as the longshore current piles up the sand against the new jetties.

 

 

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