friedmators Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 137 SFMR in that relatively recent pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 16 minutes ago, thess said: Cruise ship exodus: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Just now, psv88 said: Yea no hint of nw movement yet. The east coast should be breathing a huge sigh of relief. Worst case scenario clearly avoided If it doesn't actually come onshore it's unlikely it loses more than maybe 15-20 mph so it would still be a Cat 4 or high end 3. What people MAY be overestimating though is how much it will strengthen once it gets away from Cuba. It probably has 24 hours at most and it may be beaten up just enough it would need more than that to ramp back up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Cuban landfall isn't sold yet. Still has a pretty decent window to gain some latitude. Not sure why the past 20 posts seem so absolute on a Cuban landfall, given almost no guidance brings the eye actually on shore. Although guidance has been wrong in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Yea no hint of nw movement yet. The east coast should be breathing a huge sigh of relief. Worst case scenario clearly avoided Not yet. Looking a little better though. Can almost rule out a track east of Miami. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Irma is still on the NHC track that keep the center off of Cuba: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/storm.php?&basin=atlantic&sname=11L&invest=NO&zoom=4&img=1&vars=11111000000000000000000&loop=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: Worst case scenario clearly avoided As the hurricane hasn't even made landfall yet, this could be one of the more irresponsible posts I've read throughout this entire 240 page thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigtenfan Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Yea no hint of nw movement yet. The east coast should be breathing a huge sigh of relief. Worst case scenario clearly avoided As much as I would like to believe that with my house in Boca i am not quite ready to breath that sigh of relief yet. Last year I was in Boca for Matthew and I remember being spared the predicted 80 -100mph winds by a 2-3 hour wobble to the N as opposed to the otherwise NW direction that very afternoon. It is not going to take much of a back east track to put the east coast right back in the full cross hairs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Look at the radar bro. I call it as I see it. It's right on track...bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, psv88 said: Yea no hint of nw movement yet. The east coast should be breathing a huge sigh of relief. Worst case scenario clearly avoided Just way way way to early to keep saying this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Look at the radar bro. I call it as I see it. You need a weenie tag and a 5 post limit. Anyway, cloud tops are indeed showing some cooling over the last hour after warming earlier this morning. We'll have to see at what point Cuba becomes a hindrance to the circulation versus helping it to 'tighten' up. Regardless of the landfall point, it seems fairly likely the Keys are going to get a nasty surge. Somewhat surprised chasers are sitting out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Euro is south and into Cuba at hour 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 On Lo-res looks like 12z Euro landfalls in Cuba. If not, it's definitely south of yesterday's game-changing 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the distinct eye of Hurricane Irma was located by a reconnaissance plane and Cuban radars near latitude 22.0 North, longitude 76.0 West. Irma has been moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), but the hurricane should resume a west-northwest motion later today. A turn toward the northwest is expected by late Saturday. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should continue to move near the north coast of Cuba and the central Bahamas for the rest of today and Saturday, and be near the Florida Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Ouch. 24 hours out the 12z EURO shows a direct landfall on Cuba. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 CONTINUE DISCUSSION HERE: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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