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NJwx85

Major Hurricane Irma

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Folks..there is no need for two dozen people to answer the same question.. if you see someone else has already answered a  basic question please refrain from responding. One or two people answering is more than enough. 

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As far as surge goes in Florida, I am worried that even it does weaken, that this will be like Katrina and produce a cat 5 level surge even if it landfalls at sat a cat 3.

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The 2011 population in Barbuda was only 1,638. If it really did kill 1,000+, that's a sizable chunk of the whole civilization.

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How much is high tide in Miami going to play into storm surge base off of current timing... this is the tide schedule for miami for sunday

miami tides.jpg

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1 minute ago, pazzo83 said:

60+% of the entire population seems like a ton - man I hope that is wrong.

ABS TV is reporting just one confirmed fatality so far on their Facebook page. 

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5 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

Holy ****, A THOUSAND people? I knew it would be bad, but not that bad

There are 1,638 people on the entire island.  Not likely.

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The ABS- TV (Antigua and Barbuda) are reporting ONE fatality on Barbuda. Not one thousand people dead.

However they are also reporting "90 percent of the housing stock on Barbuda is decimated"

.. implying that the large majority of the ~1600 people who were on Barbuda have been left homeless or severely damaged homes. 

 

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Just now, eyewall said:

Yeah I think 1,000 deaths is very inaccurate. That is an irresponsible tweet.

I listened live to the Prime Minister's report from Barbuda and his sat phone audio quality was terrible. Sounded to me like he said "1 fatality". No one should take the 1,000 report seriously until we get more info. Hopefully it's wrong.

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Holy ****, A THOUSAND people? I knew it would be bad, but not that bad


Reading the responses to that tweet the 1,000 seemed to be referring to the number homes destroyed, not lives lost


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video out of St Martin reminds me of tsunami 

We are going to see some very sad and shocking media over the coming days.  

 

I hope the Barbuda info was incorrect.

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The 1,000 Barbuda death number IS NOT CORRECT. The tweet later repeatedly mentions the line was awful and they weren't clear on that number and likely meant buildings. 

Only 1 fatality reported to date. 

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18 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said:

Richard Branson hasn't tweeted in almost 8 hours-his last tweet came about 3-4 hours before his tiny island went into the eye.  He also tweeted a photo with what looks like a bunch of teens/twenty-somethings he was staying with.  

I was watching the radar and his island took about as bad a hit as one could draw up.  When you compare the scenes emerging from other islands that did the same, one has to wonder if he had a survivable structure/bunker. St Martin looks bad.

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8 minutes ago, Michigander said:

I listened live to the Prime Minister's report from Barbuda and his sat phone audio quality was terrible. Sounded to me like he said "1 fatality". No one should take the 1,000 report seriously until we get more info. Hopefully it's wrong.

It is wrong.  Have been listening and they repeated that it was just 1 fatality and are trying to get that info out there to correct the other info.  The PM had been on a Sat phone when he had originally called.

Back on topic - Jose just declared a Hurricane but am wondering how much Irma has contributed to upwelling and SST cooling.  If I am reading this right, it looks like it is cooler closer to the coast of FL vs by the Gulf Stream and wonder if it will weaken as it approaches that area if it stays just off the coast-

 

florida-sst-09062017.jpg

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