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About jpeters3

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  1. This is plausible, given that the left quadrant winds are going to be weaker, and the potentially reduced rainfall totals.
  2. The system motion itself does not generate shear. Shear is actually weak right now because there is 20-25 kt of wind throughout the depth of the troposphere, so the speed and direction changes little with height.
  3. Correct. The best-track wind speed estimates are ground-relative, not system-relative.
  4. Check out the strange meso-vortex located at 24-25 N, 94-95 W in the satellite loop..
  5. Ugh. You're right. That's probably an unfavorable scenario. Can't really win at this point.
  6. Ugh! Given the unfavorable wobble over Dominica, maybe we'll get a favorable wobble offshore (or westward) upon landfall away from San Juan and population. A guy can hope...
  7. HMON pressures are not reliable. HMON predicted something like 857 mb over the FL keys with Irma, which didn't even come close to happening.
  8. Yeah - the average wind from ~ 900 hPa to ~ 920 hPa was greater than 160 kts. Pretty incredible.
  9. That's still pretty spectacular, given that it was the SW eyewall. And it hit the surface at 921 hPa, which suggests to me that the center might have gone below 909.
  10. Does this graphic show 10s average or gust?
  11. I don't typically use this site, but is this forreal? 168 kt at surface?
  12. Looks like that one is a "news summary" of the same article I posted the abstract for.
  13. Agree. I for one appreciate the Raw T updates (they save me from having to go look them up myself!)
  14. To summarize, the abstract does not indicate a direct connection between typhoons and ordinary earthquakes. Rather, the authors seem to connect rainfall in typhoons to slow earthquakes, and there is a possible (but unproven) connection between slow earthquakes and regular earthquakes (e.g. the kinds you feel).
  15. See my above edited post with the abstract. I don't have access to the actual article, but the abstract seems to clear a few things up.