Baroclinic Zone Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Not weak either. 961mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 That H builds in to the E too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Yeah 960s is quite a bit deeper than last night's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Stalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Stalls. I would have such a woody right now if this was Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 981 100 miles off SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Storm is going ET starting after 12z Wed and the SLP rises but the wind fields expand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Would definitely present some coastal flooding concerns with that stall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Actually winds up about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 That's a meh solution for 90 % of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Rough on the beaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Next...I mean literally, next. The next one is right behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's a meh solution for 90 % of us The Euro does have a decent NE LLJ. I would imagine a lot of 40 knot gusts with that kind of setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 So close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The Euro does have a decent NE LLJ. I would imagine a lot of 40 knot gusts with that kind of setup. He'll meh everything tropics related for us. Always has always will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's a meh solution for 90 % of us If you're using New England as the area, yes. SE MA/ CC/ Islands is where its at. Road trip to ACK. Blair will be hosting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 OH ... the most likely track is, of course, going to tease and torment storm enthusiast close to the very tolerance of man ...ultimately on route to an end description of having never actually done schit to anyone.. we all know that... Kidding aside, I'm sort of with Nick on this - I don't see any reason why it should "necessarily" come up this far north and/or west. I stand by my reasoning (still) that it's merely moving (in the models) along a path of lease resistance (so far) and pending any more coherent steering (such as a trough or some such) to really latch on.. Put it this way, it's almost like the models are "defaulting" to that path? in any case... drifting and meandering up this far and over cold shelf waters isn't really climo supported for hurricanes in SNE. i guess stranger things have happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: If you're using New England as the area, yes. SE MA/ CC/ Islands is where its at. Road trip to ACK. Blair will be hosting. Time for a 10 year anniversary trip...Noel redux chase on outer Cape. (can't believe that was actually 10 years ago) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Faster AmWx server meltdown... SuperStorm '93 redux or what the 216-228 Euro shows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Time for a 10 year anniversary trip...Noel redux chase on outer Cape. (can't believe that was actually 10 years ago) wait 'till ur my age bro - and lookin' back at the last 25 years of stolen time due to the oddity of lost perception while still being theoretically alive - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Time for a 10 year anniversary trip...Noel redux chase on outer Cape. (can't believe that was actually 10 years ago) Pretty nuts. Looks like some fun on the later panels on the Euro with the follow storm and Jose remnants looping around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Trying to figure out what in the heck is going to happen in the West Atlantic next week. Way beyond my knowledge set. So Jose makes a pass at us. 150 miles of track difference makes a huge difference in sensible weather. Not too concerned about Jose. Probably more of a nor'easter event unless the track gets closer which could happen. Then what happens to Jose? Tracks ENE out to sea or makes the crazy Euro loop thing? Brings Jose up towards us and then a large loop back down to the latitude of Virginia and then back north for landfall around the Cape Cod Canal around day 9. At the same time we have a deepening hurricane over the SE Bahamas moving NW. Does Lee/Maria start moving north towards Jose? Does this new hurricane wait and get yanked up the east coast by the strong fall trough that is moving east through the midwest. The strong trough interactions give us the big hurricanes! How cool does water of the West Atlantic get with Jose churning around for days? So many interesting possibilities and fun to watch. Don't wish a hurricane on anyone but the Meteorological pattern and interactions make for fun times to see how this all plays out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 10 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Trying to figure out what in the heck is going to happen in the West Atlantic next week. Way beyond my knowledge set. So Jose makes a pass at us. 150 miles of track difference makes a huge difference in sensible weather. Not too concerned about Jose. Probably more of a nor'easter event unless the track gets closer which could happen. Then what happens to Jose? Tracks ENE out to sea or makes the crazy Euro loop thing? Brings Jose up towards us and then a large loop back down to the latitude of Virginia and then back north for landfall around the Cape Cod Canal. At the same time we have a deepening hurricane over the SE Bahamas moving NW. Does Lee/Maria start moving north towards Jose which is now moving west at day 8? Or does this new hurricane wait and get yanked up the east coast by the strong fall trough that is moving east through the midwest. The strong trough interactions give us the big hurricanes? How cool does water of the West Atlantic get with Jose churning around for days? So many interesting possibilities and fun to watch. Don't wish a hurricane on anyone but the Meteorological pattern and interactions make for fun times to see how this all plays out! So ... fill a big tub with water and let it still.... take 4 pipettes of blue, red, green, and yellow dyes ... drop one of each in different regions of the tub of water ... take a paddle oar, and make a single swipe down the middle of the water with the nebular blobs of dispersing dyes: predict the swirls of the dyes - that is what you are essentially asking... I mean, in other times, you have these locked-in, well-behaved patterns that are inherently more predictable ...timing and spatially both geometric and in time... You know - the winter of 1995-1996 was a bad year for weather forecasting? OH - people were throwing out storm threats ...10 days ahead and nailin' 'em... It wasn't predictability that was the problem. The problem became... we haven't seen a year of modeling performance really like that since... We've had singular events do okay ...some better than others. Some remarkably well. But, 1995-1996 was the absolute acme of performing years, with storm after storm showing exotically well-behaved (relative to expectation) results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He'll meh everything tropics related for us. Always has always will Hmm, I remember you saying how much I hyped Irene and Sandy, hmm, but since then what have we seen, seems like I am pretty even keel with expectations, always have always will. you get your rocks off on model porn, I wanna see her in my bed before the wheels come off, sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Time for a 10 year anniversary trip...Noel redux chase on outer Cape. (can't believe that was actually 10 years ago) I need to find my pic of Scooter on NECN, storm chaser weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Time for a 10 year anniversary trip...Noel redux chase on outer Cape. (can't believe that was actually 10 years ago) This had better not be an Eduoard/Hermine redux- at least we have the next hitter stepping up to the plate even if this one swings and misses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 40 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's a meh solution for 90 % of us The WNE weenies would be looking at breezy overcast day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 17 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Pretty nuts. Looks like some fun on the later panels on the Euro with the follow storm and Jose remnants looping around. Kevin will say I am being a Debbie but here goes, Euro loops 994 occluded remnants up over Narry Bay, then the follow up is running into strong westerlies so where that would end up would be speculation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 20 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Trying to figure out what in the heck is going to happen in the West Atlantic next week. Way beyond my knowledge set. So Jose makes a pass at us. 150 miles of track difference makes a huge difference in sensible weather. Not too concerned about Jose. Probably more of a nor'easter event unless the track gets closer which could happen. Then what happens to Jose? Tracks ENE out to sea or makes the crazy Euro loop thing? Brings Jose up towards us and then a large loop back down to the latitude of Virginia and then back north for landfall around the Cape Cod Canal around day 9. At the same time we have a deepening hurricane over the SE Bahamas moving NW. Does Lee/Maria start moving north towards Jose? Does this new hurricane wait and get yanked up the east coast by the strong fall trough that is moving east through the midwest. The strong trough interactions give us the big hurricanes! How cool does water of the West Atlantic get with Jose churning around for days? So many interesting possibilities and fun to watch. Don't wish a hurricane on anyone but the Meteorological pattern and interactions make for fun times to see how this all plays out! I am hoping for a Fujiwara effect with each storm taking turns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Jose's so nice he visits twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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