• Member Statistics

    16,251
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Mindlesssheep
    Newest Member
    Mindlesssheep
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
Typhoon Tip

Model Mayhem VII

Recommended Posts

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Because dry humping models that show snow  for your backyard is a win? when it just shat the bed with major leakage. My bad, I forgot this is model mayhem and not neccesarily a logical discussion of how we interpret said models. Carry on then. 

His post was actually a logical interpretation of what the model was showing. :facepalm:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The upper levels have improved on this the past 48 hours so that's often a good sign for future guidance. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There's little doubt this is coming 

Not this again, I had to take the day off and continue to shovel your forcasted 26". 

obv I kid, I went 22" ftl. But man, you are always certain in an uncertain hobby. Magician?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There's little doubt this is coming 

Almost every model has shown the potential for a Saturday storm. we need another day to see what that potential actually is and for who. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think its coming, but unlike last event, there will be limit to how far west...and it may very well tick back east late in game.

UK looked crazy?No....lol.

Yea, west zones need alot more earlier diggin, which can happen....but it can also be overdone and correct itself. It's back to climo again, e sne looking good. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think its coming, but unlike last event, there will be limit to how far west...and it may very well tick back east late in game.

UK looked crazy?No....lol.

1005mb low SE of the BM at 96hr.

GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
55 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The April 1987 storm gave 17" to ORH while 25" fell in Princeton. I have a map I made of that storm on my home computer...I'll pull it up later. 

This storm actually does have the same kind of H5 look but obviously you need the clean organized moisture injection to have prolific amounts like '87. We're not in the same ballpark in even entertaining those yet. 

That's all I was really after in making the comparison .. It was done so to hone attention to dynamics and how/why we should discount that look .. If we can work with that on 28, April, ...we prooobably can in March - just a hunch. 

But yes ...the other parameters may or may not leave something to be desired -

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Perhaps some on this thread might do well with a little anger management course. It's fun to play the model game and even to invest a LITTLE bit of emotion (caps pun intended) into it. But, really, it isn't necessary to smash people in the face. Save that for our esteemed politicians (Republodyte and Dimmyrat, alike); they've earned it. Dudes and dudettes on this board shouldn't be subject to personal slams (or dish them out, either) Just sayin.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Right now this is reading as an inverted trough with the parent low digging out of the GL and the developing SLP offshore.

Gonna need more digging to make it something more.

And the GEFS at 84hr.

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_15.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

1005mb low SE of the BM at 96hr.

GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.gif

Let's just allow our crazy uncle into this weekend's event wearing that low right where he has it and he will be sure to be the life of the party for all.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, weathafella said:

I thought the weekend system most resembled 3/17-19, 1956.  I remember some incredible drifts with that one.

Two feet in NNJ, zilch for the foothills in the 18-19 storm.  Saw some runs with central Maine getting near warning-criteria snow for the weekend (unless it's 7:1 like yesterday), but many changes between here and there.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
28 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said:

Perhaps some on this thread might do well with a little anger management course. It's fun to play the model game and even to invest a LITTLE bit of emotion (caps pun intended) into it. But, really, it isn't necessary to smash people in the face. Save that for our esteemed politicians (Republodyte and Dimmyrat, alike); they've earned it. Dudes and dudettes on this board shouldn't be subject to personal slams (or dish them out, either) Just sayin.

That would be uber boring and besides, it is all in good fun. If anyone takes words on here seriously, they probably should step away from the internet....it is a cruel place but being affected by it, is a cause for concern in itself.

Euro, meh. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Close but no you know what 

It was pretty darn close to something.  When I saw 72-78 I thought something was going to blow up off NJ or DE at 84

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

It was pretty darn close to something.  When I saw 72-78 I thought something was going to blow up off NJ or DE at 84

I agree-wouldn't take much

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Euro is digging things a bit more and also actually partially phasing the backside of today's upper low into the trough...so it ends up a little too positively tilted, but that's plenty correctable with 3-4 days to go. It does give us some snow, but more like the 1-3 nuisance variety.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Hazey said:

That's some pretty chilly air set to move in middle of next week. No Braless weather in sight.

Speak for yourself.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

Lol not really. BOS got less than anticipated. And deform set up father West.

Yeah the last storm def trended west...no doubt about it. Some of the mesos maybe got a last little tick to the east at the end inside of12-18 hours...so that places like ORH didn't end up mixing, but the overall trend from like 48 hours out was definitely west.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.