CoolMike Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 25th-26th looks interesting for NNE to me - 10 days away and all caveats apply of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Uncle anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: QPF was too high up here....very few amounts over 1.70". Slicing about 25-30% off QPF forecasts was probably the best move. Ironically, the GFS was the closest to QPF in this area of SNE...but it had a track that was too far east, so its QPF amounts were probably horrible out west, esp in NY State. Cocorahs totals were pretty high up here (1.50"-2.00"+). I didn't check Mass, but I sorta tossed the ASOS liquid numbers. CON reported 0.96" from the ASOS, but they went with a straight 10:1 of 1.56" from the observer's 15.6" report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Uncle anyone? for Tuesdays storm or this weekends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Uncle anyone? East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 GEFS look pretty sweet: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Randolph did have nearly 2" QPF. It was close, but the ratios of 6-7:1 were definitely in the uncommon category. Over 2" at TAN. I had 2" of rain alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Over 2" at TAN. I had 2" of rain alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 1 hour ago, dryslot said: lol, Met on Met pig pile FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 These troughs always end up further north. Why would anyone in new england give up this early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 9 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: GEFS look pretty sweet: grain of salt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Thank you Jeff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Thank you Jeff. well maybe not so fast James Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 35 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Great post. Regarding group think I believe the worst trap gets set when guidance and group (forecaster) consensus are aligned inside 48 hrs. You, the individual may be incredulous -- but do you have enough to go against the herd (model consensus + forecaster consensus)? Another issue is overestimating the power of ensemble forecasts. How many times do we see a final solution that was outside the envelope of solutions inside 48 hr...All too often. Yes, our ensembles are underdispersive. That said there were EPS members that did show a far western solution - a handful on Monday (both 00z and 12z) did bring the sfc low west of BID/FOK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Euro is south for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Just now, CT Rain said: Euro is south for the weekend. Progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Cape scrape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: well maybe not so fast James Not being James my post is apt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 There were also several members that were hanging on the far east side of the envelope almost every run, with near or outside BM tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 We don't snow :-( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 We're having post mortem intermingled with model mayhem. Might I suggest one of you open a post mortem thread separate from this which is supposed to be future based? TYIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: We're having post mortem intermingled with model mayhem. Might I suggest one of you open a post mortem thread separate from this which is supposed to be future based? TYIA. Sorry i saw some ppl talking about and i forgot what thread we were even in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Sorry James, you can hope for a better future next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 There isn't much of any threat here. One more threat next week, then the season is over imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There isn't much of any threat here. One more threat next week, then the season is over imo. At this point I agree and frankly if it's not going to snow let's warm things up...#pipedream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: At this point I agree and frankly if it's not going to snow let's warm things up...#pipedream Monday Tuesday bluebird sky 40 degrees on the MT, yes!!! Wed Thursday back in the freeza Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 After 50's tuesday in SNE with hacky sack games breaking out winter flys in again with windchills below zero Wed To Fri on the Euro, yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 GEFS/GEPS still pretty juicy, but it would be nice if any OP runs besides the NAM were biting. Meh until further notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: After 50's tuesday in SNE with hacky sack games breaking out winter flys in again with windchills below zero Wed To Fri on the Euro, yuck Gotta tell you....I'm done, man....at this point, the reward isn't event worth it. I just want warmth...although I would like to scrape another inch together just to verify the low end of my seasonal range. Kev is in the middle of my forecast range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Gotta tell you....I'm done, man....at this point, the reward isn't event worth it. I just want warmth...although I would like to scrape another inch together just to verify the low end of my seasonal range. Kev is in the middle of my forecast range. that cold punch surprised me, damn cold for March, probably the last one then misery mist shows up. I would not be surprised if there is one more snow "event". Traditionally after I get home from vacation we start baseball practices, may be a delay ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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