March 14/15 W & NNE weenies jumping from the Tobin Coastal Storm Discussion

[Cold Miser]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Amazing how clearly you took in the point as usual ... 

lol. As always, dude has the sense of humor and and social skills of a mosquito, even on an internet forum.  

...More talk of above average temps for Kansas please.

[dryslot]

7 minutes ago, BRSno said:

Probably giving us 5:1 or 7:1 ratios at some parts of the storm reducing totals + the taint/change. The 10:1 map is much nicer but probably slightly overdone here. 

I find many times here on the coastal plain in these types with marginal temps that 7-10:1 happens so that sounds about right but you can overcome that with rates too.

[Cold Miser]

Kids school (NFA in Norwich) already sent the "closed tomorrow" text.

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

It's punishing BOS right on the water because the sfc is above freezing for a chunk of the snow....like 33F for several hours. So the algorithm greatly reduces the ratio even though that 32-33F temp would be no match for 3" per hour rates.

Same down in SE areas.  Good ole fashioned

coming.

[Ginx snewx]

41 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

The Euro has PWATs of 1.5" tickling the Cape tomorrow. That's like 250% of normal.

IF it is onto something with that moisture, we could see some of these widespread 15" amounts from just the WCB.

That was the point I was trying to make yesterday when you thought my panties were in a bunch. 

[jbenedet]

Any thoughts on wind and coastal flooding? 

[OceanStWx]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

That was the point I was trying to make yesterday when you thought my panties were in a bunch. 

Well it's still probably not going to be enough to save those that mix and/or dry slot. Sorry to James.

[Hoth]

I think James is probably more fixated on the wind threat at this point.

[LakeEffectKing]

Good luck to you all in SNE!  Nice to have multiple regions getting hit hard!  You guys get the qpf bomb with the coastal, we get decent qpf from primary/secondary and lake enhancement with better ratios!  Win win!

[moneypitmike]

I would have thought the ratios would be better than 10:1.  I didn't expect insane amounts but I would have thought somewhat north of that.

[Ginx snewx]

17 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Euro dropped 10" here on Sunday next weekend @10:1....................

Hello Maine meet Ginx

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

lol. As always, dude has the sense of humor and and social skills of a mosquito, even on an internet forum.  

...More talk of above average temps for Kansas please.

[MaineJayhawk]

8 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Kids school (NFA in Norwich) already sent the "closed tomorrow" text.

Same here.  Closing up shop for the day

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Well it's still probably not going to be enough to save those that mix and/or dry slot. Sorry to James.

The convo was Rays/Wiz's area, rest sounds like typical SE SNE Noreaster climo. 

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Kids school (NFA in Norwich) already sent the "closed tomorrow" text.

Tribal govt closed 2 days!! Baring any emergency, we play at home in 12-18

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said:

Same here.  Closing up shop for the day

 

We'll be announcing here shortly.

 

Time to start a new thread for the 18Z run?

[OceanStWx]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

The convo was Rays/Wiz's area, rest sounds like typical SE SNE Noreaster climo. 

Well Ray does care about the jackpot and deformation, so it was pretty relevant to him.

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said:

Good luck to you all in SNE!  Nice to have multiple regions getting hit hard!  You guys get the qpf bomb with the coastal, we get decent qpf from primary/secondary and lake enhancement with better ratios!  Win win!

Yea George it is a slamma

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, OceanStWx said:

Well Ray does care about the jackpot and deformation, so it was pretty relevant to him.

He'll enjoy his 2 feet , AWT

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro still rips 50-60 inland and up to 75mph gusts coast  for everyone except CTRV. Wildness

[Ginx snewx]

Euro back down to earth with max wind gusts in the 50's down here cept end of LI and Cape Cod, has an odd wind max near Dendrite in the Monads

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro still rips 50-60 inland and up to 75mph gusts coast  for everyone except CTRV. Wildness

where do you see that? Max gusts, take the under inland

[ORH_wxman]

Euro ensembles are essentially dead nuts with the OP...maybe literally like 5 miles east, lol.

[Snowedin]

I'm getting a little nervous about power outages here along the coast with the heavy wet snow+ strong wind combo that's forecasted tomorrow. I'd rather we have all snow or just plain rain with any storm system but I shouldn't be surprised based on where we live.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

where do you see that? Max gusts, take the under inland

What? I see 50-60+ inland and 70(actually higher on the islands) and CTRV is less in the lighter contours.

[Hoth]

Wonder if Wiz is still going 6-10"?

[Mr. Windcredible!]

Most of Eastern PA and NNJ in Blizzard Warnings now. I'll say...someone at high elevation in the CCB is gonna get 3'. My money is on somewhere in the Poconos or Catskills.

[Damage In Tolland]

4k NAM drops over an inch in 1 hour over W CT. 10-12" per hour

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What? I see 50-60+ inland and 70(actually higher on the islands) and CTRV is less in the lighter contours.

That product does pretty good near the ocean seems to over do inland by 10-15, but hey with those rates maybe?

[SlantStickers Anonymous]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

where do you see that? Max gusts, take the under inland

Looks good to me.