kurtstack Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Nam is slowly getting a clue. babysteps. but who cares when you have all the globals in line for a significant snow.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 NCAA Basketball Conference Championships on a Saturday, a little bourbon to drink, some Ben and Jerry's Half Baked to eat, and a storm to track. #winningoffthefield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Damn, Im even surprised at yall. the NAM talk in the model thread has mostly ceased. It's a gd miracle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Damn, Im even surprised at yall. the NAM talk in the model thread has mostly ceased. It's a gd miracleYou have taught us well obi wanSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Damn, Im even surprised at yall. the NAM talk in the model thread has mostly ceased. It's a gd miracle you and mappy scared them away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 The physics don't add up here! The low is hundreds of miles south of the other models, yet "it" rains. #BantheNAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: You're going to have to go around me because I already have the RPM face down on the bed... Lol That is some funny S right there. It's ok though. I just candidly dropped a pill in the para nam's drink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 36 minutes ago, MountainGeek said: Any suggestions for good sources for additional reading on this effect? I'm sitting at 800ft about a mile west of that ridge (ridge is about 1500 ft). Does the upslope only help on the east side of the ridge, or does the lift effect "carry over" some distance past the initial ridge? I will try to keep an eye on how this pans out vs the totals a few miles on either side of the AT. I know from skiing up in Vermont that there can be some blowover effect where the winds carry the snow from upslope enhancement over the other side of the ridge. Stowe is actually on the lee side but due to this effect they get dumped. But it tapers off quick as you head down such that if the ski resort is getting a 20" dump from upside the town only 3 miles away in the valley might only get a couple inches. Plus those mountains are 4000 feet and at a perfect alignment to get upslope off lake Champlain. So the effect there is extreme. In general you want to be on the windward side of the slope to get help from upslope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 People always talk about various models having clear, known, confirmed biases... if the biases are so well-known and confirmed, why haven't the powers that be adjusted the algorithms to account for it? Is it because once a model is established, they don't tweak them or is it too hard to tweak or what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I felt something just now - did we just get PNAM'DSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 10 minutes ago, BTRWx said: The physics don't add up here! The low is hundreds of miles south of the other models, yet "it" rains. #BantheNAM This thing is on complete crack. Even with the damn dropsonde in there jesus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Oh why oh why did I get involved in nam posts. I need to put myself in timeout. Wtf was I thinking. 10:40 can't get here soon enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, kurtstack said: I felt something just now - did we just get PNAM'D Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Almost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 13 minutes ago, BTRWx said: The physics don't add up here! The low is hundreds of miles south of the other models, yet "it" rains. #BantheNAM Stop trying to figure out the NAM. Lol. But part of the problem is the primary in Ohio. In effect since that's closer and still the dominant feature at that time the low is to our northwest. But it's coming around each run. I bet by tomorrow it's in line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I'm not gonna lie, I'm totally good with the para nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 10 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Lol That is some funny S right there. It's ok though. I just candidly dropped a pill in the para nam's drink You all are a riot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: I'm not gonna lie, I'm totally good with the para nam. good as in its good for your yby? or good as in its at the point where you want it right now? I don't judge either way, just interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 good as in its good for your yby? or good as in its at the point where you want it right now? I don't judge either way, just interested.I think he would prefer RPM but since it is occupied at the moment PNAM is looking mighty attractive.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, snjókoma said: good as in its good for your yby? or good as in its at the point where you want it right now? I don't judge either way, just interested. My back yard. Most of my posts in banter are humor. On a serious note, the 3k nam has a tuck and stall and deform love. It's dicey but a big hit. I want the gfs or the rpm or whatever model gives us all a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I started a.....the 3k nam doesn't look awful.....then I deleted it. Don't want the wrath of randy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 After 18z the GFS and I have been serious. I might pop the question tonight if it answers all my questions.Think any of these models are interested in hooking up with a zombie?Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Isn't the 3k NAM a high-res nest within the para NAM? I'm looking forward to the new NAMs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Anyone have 4k nam info? It stops at 42... but radar goes to 60 and it looks good... I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 17 minutes ago, snowfan said: I started a.....the 3k nam doesn't look awful.....then I deleted it. Don't want the wrath of randy. That would have been fine. The problem comes when people try to get deep with the regular sh*t NAM and get emotional either way based off of it when we've been told countless times by mets and experienced hobbyists alike that it's crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That would have been fine. The problem comes when people try to get deep with the regular sh*t NAM and get emotional either way based off of it when we've been told countless times by mets and experienced hobbyists alike that it's crap. So would posting this be okay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: So would posting this be okay? The best NAM out of all 4 NAMs so far. NAMs ranked worst to best 12K 3K 12K para 4K The GFS better come out soon lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 There you are! I regret to inform you that you have died. Again. Now, what was your question? Damn you reaper, damn you!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, yoda said: So would posting this be okay? Sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 The NAM is acceptable if it shows good snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Damn, 3k puts out 5.2 inches of snow at JFK between 6-7 AM Tues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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